With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will win La Liga, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Real Madrid | 4/9 | 69.23% |
Barcelona | 7/2 | 22.22% |
Atletico Madrid | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Real Sociedad | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Athletic Bilbao | 33/1 | 2.94% |
Girona | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Real Betis | 40/1 | 2.44% |
Villarreal | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Sevilla | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Valencia | 125/1 | 0.79% |
Alaves | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Celta Vigo | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Espanyol | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Valladolid | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
Getafe | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Las Palmas | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Leganes | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Osasuna | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Rayo Vallecano | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
Real Mallorca | 1500/1 | 0.07% |
As of 12 August 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to win La Liga is Real Madrid, best priced at 4/9 with bet365.
The odds mean that the probability for Real Madrid to win is 69.23%.
Of course, lifting the La Liga trophy comes with a lot of prestige and bragging rights. In addition to this, there is also a huge financial incentive for finishing in first place rather than, say, second as roughly €7m separates the two positions in terms of prize money. The winner is also seeded in the first pot for the Champions League league stage draw.
The 2023/24 edition of La Liga was certainly an entertaining one, with the Man City-backed Girona fighting for the title at one point. Real Madrid came out on top in the end, quite convincingly as well, before winning the Champions League. Can they be taken down a peg this upcoming season, or will they prevail again?