With the outright odds, we can easily calculate the probability that each team will be relegated from Serie A, according to the bookmakers.
Team | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Venezia | 8/11 | 57.89% |
Empoli | 10/11 | 52.38% |
Verona | 10/11 | 52.38% |
Cagliari | 5/4 | 44.44% |
Parma | 7/4 | 36.36% |
Lecce | 5/2 | 28.57% |
Udinese | 3/1 | 25.00% |
Genoa | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Torino | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Monza | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Como | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Bologna | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Fiorentina | 25/1 | 3.85% |
Lazio | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Roma | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Atalanta | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Napoli | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Juventus | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Milan | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Inter | 300/1 | 0.33% |
As of 12 August 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be relegated from Serie A is Venezia, best priced at 8/11 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Venezia to be relegated is 57.89%.
The bottom three teams in Serie A at the end of the season are relegated to Serie B, replaced by the top two teams and the play-off winner of the second tier. Serie A recently changed the rules for tiebreakers as well, which apply to both the relegation and title fight. If two teams finish on the same points, it will be decided by a one-off clash instead of going by goal difference or head-to-head.
This actually happened in the 2022/23 season of Serie A, when Hellas Verona and Spezia finished on the same points. The do-or-die clash took place at neutral ground, more specifically at Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium, and Verona prevailed 3-1 after four goals in the first half. The Bentegodi side thus escaped relegation, while Spezia failed to do so.