Below are betting odds for the top contenders to be the next permanent Conservative leader after Rishi Sunak.
With the betting odds, we can easily calculate the probability for each candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative party, according to the bookmakers.
Candidates | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Robert Jenrick | 13/8 | 38.10% |
Kemi Badenoch | 9/4 | 30.77% |
Priti Patel | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Simon Clarke | 18/1 | 5.26% |
Mel Stride | 33/1 | 2.94% |
James Cleverly | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Brandon Lewis | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Ranil Jayawardena | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Penny Mordaunt | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Steve Baker | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Graham Brady | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Tobias Ellwood | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Ben Wallace | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Nadhim Zahawi | 50/1 | 1.96% |
Liz Truss | 80/1 | 1.23% |
Tom Tugendhat | 100/1 | 0.99% |
David Cameron | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Stephen Crabb | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Liam Fox | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Robert Buckland | 100/1 | 0.99% |
Anne-Marie Trevelyan | 150/1 | 0.66% |
Boris Johnson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
Alicia Kearns | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Geoffrey Cox | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Bernard Jenkin | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Green | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Damian Hinds | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Helen Whately | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Gavin Williamson | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Claire Coutinho | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Esther McVey | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Ben Houchen | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Chris Philp | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Iain Duncan Smith | 250/1 | 0.40% |
David Davis | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Kit Malthouse | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Andy Street | 250/1 | 0.40% |
David Frost | 250/1 | 0.40% |
Nigel Farage | 300/1 | 0.33% |
Jeremy Hunt | 400/1 | 0.25% |
Suella Braverman | 400/1 | 0.25% |
John Glen | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Danny Kruger | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Steve Barclay | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Oliver Dowden | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Laura Trott | 500/1 | 0.20% |
Mark Francois | 550/1 | 0.18% |
As of 12 August 2024, according to the odds, the favourite to be the next Tory leader is Robert Jenrick, best priced at 13/8 with William Hill.
The odds mean that the probability for Robert Jenrick to be the next Conservative leader is 38.10%.
Steven is an experienced iGaming content writer who has been working in the industry since 2018. He is passionate about sports betting and enjoys writing about all aspects of the industry, including bookmaker reviews, betting tips and strategies, and news and analysis. If you have any questions about online gambling in the UK, please don't hesitate to contact him.