Euro 2024: England vs. Slovenia
Tip Overview
If you would like to read our full preview of the game, and not just the tips, scroll down or use the table of contents above to navigate.
England vs Slovenia: Betting Tips Outlined
Below, we have picked out five betting tips for the game, listing where you can find the best odds for said bets and why they might be worth a punt.
Conor Gallagher Over 1.5 Tackles - 6/5 Bet365
Similar to the Pickford selection (see below), this is one that just makes sense. For Chelsea, their two midfielders make at least two tackles on average per game, and one of those players is Conor Gallagher.
Declan Rice has certainly been the ball winner so far, but with Gallager, he can certainly advance and also play a more defensive role, so we could see him contesting for the ball fairly regularly, so the odds of over evens are fantastic.
Jordan Pickford to make 2.5+ Saves - 13/8 at Bet365
Looking at the odds on this selection, it seems like a steal. In the past two games, Pickford has averaged 3.5 saves per game, and whilst Slovenia have only forced four saves from their opposition this tournament, we think this pick has value.
With six shots from outside the box in their last game, we think they could look to test Pickford heavily, especially from range, given the Three Lions will not allow them bundles of space in this game.
England to Win & BTTS - 13/5 BetVictor
Tipping England to concede feels like a risk in itself, but they have proven to have issues so far in this tournament. Against Serbia, it seemed a goal could come at any time, and against the Danes, the Three Lions were flat after scoring and then conceded.
This is no new thing, though, and there have been plenty of occasions where this has happened in recent years, we think England could find themselves a goal, maybe two ahead, and concede late.
Adam Gnezda Cerin Booking - 4/1 at BoyleSports
At 4/1, this seems like a massively overpriced market and one that we want to take advantage of. In his first two games, Cerin fouled five and four times respectively, and didn't get a booking. However, against England, we think the trend of fouls will continue, but the lack of cards will stop.
Against the Three Lions' attack, we think the midfield will succumb to a lot of pressure, and Cerin could be forced to take a booking. Furthermore, 2/3 of the cards against England have been given to players in central areas, and Cerin should be a perfect player to make that three.
Under 7 Corners - 11/4 at Bet365
In the first two games, we have found huge success in the corner market, and we want to try again in the final game of the group, after all, don't fix a winning formula. Previously, we have had the line at under 8 corners, but this time, we're going to drop it one further.
Slovenia have conceded nine corners in both of their opening two games, but when the same sides faced England, Denmark managed four corners, and Serbia got two. Additionally, England have only had three corners in two games, and we think this game will follow the pattern, so we're taking a risk with under 7.
Accumulator Pays 110/1 on Bet365
If you are looking to combine the five selections, you can get a generous price of 110/1 on Bet365. We don't recommend placing all of these in an acca, but it could be a nice low-stake bet.
England vs Slovenia: Preview
On FIFA rankings, this is England's easiest game of the tournament so far, but we do not think Slovenia will be a rollover. Therefore, this could be a very exciting fixture with a lot still to play for.
England - Team News and Key Players
If England were not feeling the pressure before, the result against Denmark will likely have piled some on. Against the Danes, the Three Lions succumbed to their own tactics and played to hold a 1-0 win after taking an early-ish lead.
Now where does that sound familiar...
After the opposition equalised, and England failed to attack with any threat, the atmosphere became somewhat toxic, with fans happy to display their frustrations, an understandable outcome, when a favourite for the tournament look so passive.
Regardless of the result, Gareth Southgate's men have qualified, and this would be a perfect time to experiment with new players. Give Kobbie Mainoo a chance, Adam Wharton, and Eberechi Eze, just because following this point, are they going to get a look in?
Instead, there is no experimentation, rather just the rectification of a failed one, and even then, it is not a rectification, but rather another test, much to the despair of the England faithful. Instead of offering one of the young stars of midfield a chance, Gallagher is believed to be set to start this game, after Trent Alexander-Arnold had a poor game against Denmark.
Again, this has been met with frustration, which is understandable, but now Southgate and his team must show this is a smart choice, and it cannot be a decision that the Three Lions are left to rue.
This is a fantastic chance to prove to everyone why they can go far in this tournament, and prove why the English arrogance is valid, rather than displaying a performance similar to their first two - a team who has talent but struggles to deliver a killing blow.
If you are looking to back England to win, you will struggle to find better odds than 3/10 (1.3) with most of the best bookmakers, but be on the lookout for any price boosts.
England possible XI vs. Slovenia (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Walker, Guehi, Stones, Trippier; Rice, Gallagher; Saka, Bellingham, Foden; Kane
Slovenia - Team News and Key Players
Ahead of this tournament, we selected Slovenia to be one of the underdogs, and so far, they have proved they can be a pain to their opposition. This fixture could be their final chance to do so.
Coming into this game, anything other than a win makes it look bleak for them to enter the Round of 16. Therefore, we expect this to be a game in which Slovenia attack heavily. So far, they have scored in both of their games, caused a huge shock against Denmark on Matchday 1, and looked on course to win their game against Serbia in Matchday 2, had it not been for a Luka Jovic late equaliser.
Against England, their game plan will not change. The Dragons are not a possession-based team, and this has shown so far in this group stage, given they have only had around 35% possession in each game, so with England likely to dominate the ball, this will not be a scare.
Instead, they will attempt to play a cagey game, one that is defensively resolute by defending in numbers in a solid block, something which is expected when playing a 4-4-2. However, they will look to counter quickly as well, something that England must be wary of.
Furthermore, as much as they like to transition quickly, if they are not able to deliver passes into the area, they have proven that they like an attempt from range, and this is again something that the Three Lions must be wary of.
Their attacking line has perhaps not been as impressive as some may have thought before the tournament, but entering the final game with a chance, albeit slim, of entering the last 16 is a fantastic achievement.
If you want to take England on and back the underdog for this fixture, you can get odds of around 10/1 (11.0) with most of the best UK football bookmakers.
Slovenia possible XI vs. England (4-4-2): Oblak; Karnicnik, Brekalo, Bijol, Janza; Mlakar, Elsnik, Cerin, Stojanovic; Sporar, Sesko
Accredited football journalist with a focus on Italian football, working for the likes of SempreMilan and Serie A Total. As an avid punter, I enjoy browsing sportsbooks for the best-value bets.