Why Those Statistics About The Patriots' Fumbles Are Mostly Junk
Statistics can say whatever you want it to, drolls the dull old axiom. But that tack has always placed the onus more on the numbers than on the ones manipulating them; more correctly, you might say, Statistics can say whatever you want it to when it's used irresponsibly or haphazardly. This is esp...
Do Tough Calls Favor The Home Team? One Explanation For Pats-Panthers
What do the following plays have in common?...
NFL Statheads Are Losing Their War With The Spread. Here's Why.
In last week’s post, we showed that several of the larger statistically-inclined websites which offer NFL picks have had a rough go of it to start the season, at least as far as their picks against the spread. This was a surprise, because these results come on top of a string of several successful s...
Why Are NFL Statheads Struggling So Much With Their Picks This Year?
It's still relatively early in the NFL season, but signs point to this being one of the worst seasons ever for simulation & statistics based predictors of game results. In fact, having followed several websites for the last few years, this is by far the worst I can remember each one doing as far as ...