Connecticut's Fall Forecast Looks Warmer Than Usual

It hasn't been an exceptionally hot summer, but warm temperatures are expected to linger a little later than usual this year. The beginning of fall is expected to be warm — perhaps a little more than usual — two recently released long-range forecasts said.

It's anticipated the summer warmth will stick around in New England, including Connecticut. "That doesn’t mean it’s going to be exceptionally warm, but we do feel [temperatures are] going to run above normal," AccuWeather long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

The AccuWeather forecast, simply pictured above as "warm," is backed up by The Weather Channel's look into September, October and November. That forecast says to expect "near or slightly above average" temperatures.

So what is "average?" In September, it's often highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. In October, highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. And in November, it can get from the low 50s to the 30s. What these forecasts mean is you can expect temperatures on the high side.

Longe-range forecasts can be risky, of course. One major factor is based on the fact that El Niño is not likely to develop the rest of this year. That helps forecasters determine a rough temperature range months in advance.

"It appears as though the weak attempt at El Niño has failed, and latest models and observations suggest that the La Niña base state is here to stay," said Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company.

Story by Mike Carraggi, Patch National Staff

Image by diana MĂRGĂRIT via Flickr