IL-03: Poll Puts GOP Fricilone 3 Points Behind Democrat Newman

ILLINOIS 3RD DISTRICT — A new Cook County GOP poll claims to show a tightening race between Democrat Marie Newman and Republican Mike Fricilone in the Illinois 3rd Congressional District race. In a poll of likely general election voters, Newman leads Fricilone by 2.2 percent.

The poll was conducted on Sept. 7 by the polling firm Ogden Fry LLC and included responses from 759 likely voters from Chicago, Suburban Cook, Will and DuPage counties in the upcoming general election.

Asked if the election were being held that day, 46.1 percent said they backed Newman, and 43.9 percent supported Fricilone, with 10-percent undecided.

>>> Newman and Fricilone Face Off In IL03 Virtual Candidate Forum

Illinois Republicans view the IL-03 seat — under Democratic control for 38 years by Bill Lipinski, and later, his son, Dan Lipinski — as a once-in-a-generation chance to flip the seat in the heavily Democratic district. The GOP is counting on Democrats who traditionally supported the socially conservative Lipinski to cross party lines and vote for Fricilone in the Nov. 3 election.

Newman told supporters in a campaign email not to panic because “we’ve always been campaigning like we were in a neck-and-neck race.”

The poll also asked IL03 respondents who they favored in the presidential race, with 48.4 percent favoring Democrat Joe Biden over 39. 8 percent who said they supported Republican Donald Trump.

Likely IL-03 voters, which includes areas heavily populated by police officers, firefighters and government workers, said they were more likely to vote for Republican challenger Pat O’Brien (57.9 percent) over the incumbent Democrat Kim Foxx (30.9 percent).

Respondents were also probed if they supported defunding police and their likelihood of voting for a “law and order” candidate.

Women favored Biden over men, 54.4 percent to 42.3 percent to men backed Biden; whereas more men supported Trump (44.2 percent) compared to women (35.4 percent).

See the full polling results

Ogden and Fry GOP Poll Sept. 7, 2020 on Scribd