Cavaliers vs Magic Odds, Pick | Back Cleveland on Road?

Here's everything you need to know about Cavaliers vs. Magic on Friday, May 3 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today's game.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the brink of winning their first playoff series since LeBron James (don't underestimate that being a huge deal). Now up 3-2 on the Orlando Magic, they'll try and wrap up this series on the road, despite home teams winning every game thus far.

I actually think the Cavs get it done here. Cleveland is still the superior team, they have all the reasons and narrative angles to play with a large sense of urgency, and Orlando has had a few outlier shooting performances.

I expect an offensive boost for the Cavaliers — who have the worst net offensive rating in the first round — and a dip for the Magic.

Lastly, the health of Jarrett Allen will be key. As of this writing, he's questionable but likely to give it a go, so I'm factoring in a "probable" Allen into my cap.

The Orlando Magic lost by one point in Game 5, but upon a closer look, there's a different story to be told. They were down pretty much the entire game, and the one-point loss was due to late-game fouling and a 3-pointer being hit as time expired that made no difference (except for spread bettors).

Paolo Banchero is coming off a playoff breakout 39-point performance, which also to my observant eye felt a bit lucky. He hit some consistent 3s and even long fade away 2s, which are generally not part of his game.

The Cavaliers know how intense closeout games can be, but I'm excited to see how the Magic fare with the increased intensity. They looked a bit overwhelmed in the first two games, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them overwhelmed by the heightened physicality and mental focus needed in a closeout games, too.

The market read shows some value on the Cavaliers. In Games 3 and 4 in Orlando, the Magic closed as a spread favorite of -2.5 and obviously won and covered both games.

As mentioned above, the one-point loss in Game 5 is a bit of a false flag because it was a desperation and meaningless 3 to close the gap.

Finally, the uncertainty around Allen is also factored in. I ultimately think Allen is active, and this moves a full point back towards the Cavs to close at +3. Thats why I like grabbing the value now at the 4, as it probably just stays there if Allen is out.

There has been consistent steam towards the under. I personally played under 203.5, and I would take the under at any number above 200. Game 6 unders is a solid trend explored on recent episodes of the 'BUCKETS' podcast.

Pick: Cavaliers +4 | Cavs +150 Moneyline | Cavs -4 Alt Spread (+215) | Under 200.5