Five charts that show why the BJP expects to win India’s election

WHEN THE Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won India’s general election in 2019, its campaign slogans also set its target: “ab ki baar, 300 paar” (this time 300 seats). It worked—the party and its allies swept back to power by winning 353 of 543 seats in the lower house of the national parliament, earning Narendra Modi a second term as prime minister. Ahead of this year’s election, for which the first of seven phases of voting begins on April 19th, the BJP has adopted an almost identical slogan. But what that lacks in creativity, it makes up for in ambition: the bar is now at 400. That threshold has been breached only once before: in 1984, by Congress, the main opposition party today. Can the BJP repeat that feat?