Another tropical disturbance has been spotted in the southeastern U.S. coast after Beryl transitioned from a tropical disturbance to a post-tropical cyclone, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
NHC forecasters say that the disturbance could develop over the next couple of days as it moves inland and produces disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the area. The system has a 10% chance of forming into a stronger storm in the next week.
Beryl — the first named hurricane to form in the Atlantic this season — shifted to Arkansas Tuesday and weakened into a tropical depression. As of Wednesday, remnants of the post-tropical cyclone have traveled to the Indiana and Ohio border, threatening the northeast region with flash flooding and possibly tornadoes.
The disturbance and Beryl remnants do not pose a threat to Louisiana.
On Monday, the hurricane broke records as the earliest Category 5 to form the Atlantic, while slamming the Texas coast with heavy rainfall and damaging winds. Reported tornadoes and showers swept through northwest Louisiana as a result of the storm. The southeast portion of Louisiana was under a coastal flooding advisory while the hurricane brought humidity to the Gulf.
Busier season than expected
Researchers at Colorado State University announced an updated July forecast Tuesday, anticipating that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season would be busier than previously expected.
CSU researchers predict that there will be 25 named storms, with 12 forming into hurricanes and five becoming Category 3 or higher hurricanes. A similar CSU forecast in June said that there would be 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes.
An average hurricane season typically consists of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes, according to CSU data from 1991 and 2020.
While this season is expected to be above-normal, in part because of heated temperatures in the Atlantic and Gulf and the return of La Nina, CSU researchers said that the likelihood of hurricanes making landfall within a 50-mile radius of Louisiana this season is 52%. The probability of storms making landfall within a 50-mile radius of the state 80%.
CSU researchers predict that hurricanes pose the biggest threat to Florida this season, with a 71% chance of hurricanes making landfall within a 50-mile radius.
Alberto, Beryl and Chris have been the three named storms this hurricane season, which starts June 1 and ends November 30.
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