The credential-jobs misalignment among middle-skill workers has an impact on the economy, causing inefficiencies in employer-employee matching. Rethinking how community colleges and universities approach transfer agreements could provide better alignment.
Education
![Kids raising their hands in class](/https/www.richmondfed.org/-/media/RichmondFedOrg/assets/images/standard/stock/focus_areas/educationandpreparation_pisi.jpg)
Our research explores the issues and opportunities surrounding education at both the K-12 and postsecondary levels, including the benefits and risks of educational investments.
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David Cox, Adin Hammond and Tyrese Wheaton describe their summer at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond interning in three different departments.
With an anticipated decline in the college-age population, high costs of four-year degrees, and changing demands among employers, parents, and students, higher education seems to be at a crossroads.
College degree attainment is associated with higher labor force participation, and although better data is needed to understand fully, this seems to also be true for those who have some college but no degree.
Stephanie Norris and Laura Ullrich explain how an effort to make it easier for prospective college students to apply for federal financial aid has had ripple effects on enrollment at community colleges and other institutions of higher education. Norris is a senior research analyst and Ullrich is a senior regional economist at the Richmond Fed.
How has college tuition trended recently, and why?
Grey Gordon, Aaron Hedlund and Brennan Merone
Community colleges serve students in many ways depending on their educational goals, so much of the value these institutions provide for their communities is overlooked when measuring success.
This paper provides evidence on the regional resiliency impact of research universities by estimating the effects of recent U.S. recessions on local unemployment.
Robert Calvert Jump and Adam Scavette
The looming FAFSA crisis has continued into June, likely leading to a decrease in enrollments for grant and federal loan dependent schools. In turn, community colleges may see an enrollment increase.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Historically, most higher education state and local spending has gone to four-year institutions. As community colleges play an increasing role in training workers for high-demand jobs, have funding patterns kept up?
Issues surrounding the new FAFSA form have led to a sharp decline in form completions for the coming academic year. This could result in overall enrollment declines across higher education, but it is likely to hit some groups of students and institutions harder than others.
Borrowers didn't have to make payments for three and a half years. How will they — and the economy — weather a rapidly changing student loan landscape?
The motivations behind the new gainful employment policy are noble, but community colleges, especially in rural areas, could be disproportionately harmed by the earnings premium test.
In this article, we discuss the history and motivation of federal gainful employment legislation and what the new rules entail.
Laura Ullrich and Jacob Walker review data they have gathered from the Richmond Fed Survey of Community College Outcomes about high school students who take dual enrollment classes. They also discuss differences in how these classes are funded.
Dual enrollment programs can play an important role in creating a strong, educated workforce, but they need to make sure the funding policies are available and effective.
Community colleges offer non-credit workforce training programs that prepare students for high-demand jobs. Data on these programs and their students are limited. The Richmond Fed's Survey of Community College Outcomes aims to bridge the data gap.
Laura Dawson Ullrich and Jacob Walker
Pell Grants make community college more accessible for low-income students, but those enrolled in non-credit coursework aren't eligible. Expanding eligibility would be significant for both institutions and students.
Jacob Walker
Data on dual enrollment programs is limited, but through the Richmond Fed's Survey of Community Colleges Outcomes, we now have a better understanding of how Fifth District community colleges serve high school students and how these students perform.
Jacob Walker
Community colleges started out as junior colleges and meant to restrict access to higher education. However, they have evolved to increase access to higher education and the workforce.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Upcoming Event: What do Uber and the Federal Reserve have in common? They both hire economists! Did you know that some of your favorite brands also hire economists? But what do economists actually do? Registration required.
The Richmond Fed hosted two programs on November 15 that unveiled a new approach to measuring the success of community colleges.
Laura Ullrich provides an update on the Richmond Fed Survey of Community College Outcomes, which aims to provide more accurate and detailed data on the performance of community colleges and their students. Ullrich is a senior regional economist at the Charlotte branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
In order to observe Fifth District community college outcomes, we decided to collect consistent data that would enable us to calculate a new success metric: the Richmond Fed Community College Success Rate.
Jason Kosakow, Laura Dawson Ullrich and Jacob Walker
Upcoming Event: The general public is invited to join the Richmond Fed on Wednesday, Nov. 15 for an enlightening conversation on the evolving role community colleges play in workforce development. Registration required.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has developed the Survey of Community College Outcomes to better define student and institution success and to provide insight into the wide variety of programs offered and students served across the Fifth District. After a successful initial pilot in 2022, The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond moved into an extended pilot phase in 2023. Join Richmond Fed leaders Laura Ullrich and Jason Kosakow, along with two community college administrators, to learn more about the survey and its goals, and to view results from the extended pilot.
More than 100 college students from across the nation attended the Richmond Fed's fifth annual Diverse Economics Conference.
Community colleges differ from four-year institutions in important ways, but they are often measured by the same metrics.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Santiago Pinto provides evidence of learning losses among K-12 students during the COVID-19 pandemic. He also discusses the causes, distribution and consequences of these losses. Pinto is a senior economist and policy advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
Funding formulas for higher education have traditionally been based primarily on full-time equivalent enrollment. This creates disparities between funding for four-year institutions and community colleges that may worsen over time.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
The STEM East initiative aims to show students in eastern North Carolina how they can stay and thrive in their home communities.
North Carolina has taken dual enrollment/dual credit one step further with its Cooperative Innovative High Schools: high schools that are specifically designed for co-enrollment at a university or community college.
Jacob Walker
HEERF dollars helped community colleges and their students withstand pandemic disruptions. But schools that used the money for revenue replacement or other recurring items may have difficulty operating in a post-HEERF world.
Laura Dawson Ullrich and Meher Narielvala
How far behind did students get during the pandemic, why did they get behind, and how can they catch up?
As the economy continues to normalize from the shock of the pandemic, what changes have we seen in terms of mothers' labor force participation?
Erin Henry and John O'Trakoun
A recent study suggests that admission restrictions for certain college majors are pushing some students into lower-earning career paths. What could this mean for students transferring from community colleges to four-year institutions in the Fifth District?
Jacob Walker
Join fellow economic educators as Federal Reserve Bank education specialists share their content knowledge and lots of complimentary teaching tools for the economics classroom.
Community college graduation rates lag those of their four-year counterparts in the Fifth District. Is this evidence of failure or mismeasurement?
Jacob Walker and Laura Dawson Ullrich
The calculation of college graduation rates is complicated, and many community college students are left out of the formula altogether.
A large number of high school students attend community college in the United States, with higher rates observed in rural areas. While this enrollment trend has grown over the past twenty years, data on these students' success has not.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Non-credit programs provide community college students an opportunity to obtain shorter-term training and credentials. These programs are becoming more popular, but we currently know very little about non-credit students.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Even though Black and White college graduates borrow similar amounts for school, Black grads are significantly more likely to default on student loans.
Sierra Latham and Sarah Gunn discuss the current shortage of teachers nationally and in the Fifth Federal Reserve District, how supply-demand forces have contributed to this labor market gap, and what is happening in response. Latham is a senior research analyst and Gunn is director of economic education at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
Many students use two-year colleges to determine whether they should go on to a four-year college.
Samira Gholami and Nicholas Trachter
Hispanic postsecondary enrollment has nearly doubled in the Fifth District over the past decade, contributing to increased diversity across college campuses. Organizations work to engage Hispanic youth throughout the college application and attendance process to ensure their success as college students.
Monetary policy, marriage, college admissions, and discrimination and socioeconomic outcomes were among the topics discussed at our recent conference.
After accounting for cost of living, teachers' salaries go further in some rural communities throughout the Fifth District.
Grey Gordon discusses his research and other economists' work on the macroeconomic and policy factors that shape the price of higher education. Gordon is a senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
The Richmond Fed's Survey of Community College Outcomes presents a new way to measure success that includes previously underrepresented cohorts of students, including those receiving Pell grants.
Laura Dawson Ullrich and Jacob Walker
To the best of their ability, school districts set salary and benefit schedules to be competitive with outside employment opportunities.
States and school districts are using a variety of policies – including financial incentives – to try to combat a teacher shortage.
There can be high returns to earning an economics degree, helping to draw students to the profession.
John Mullin
President Tom Barkin explores some of the crucial segments lagging behind in the jobs recovery.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Some believe rises in financial aid such as student loans cause corresponding rises in tuition. But reality seems much more nuanced.
Grey Gordon and Aaron Hedlund
How many more borrowers working in public services recently became eligible for student loan forgiveness in the Fifth District?
Elizabeth Link, Jessie Romero and Sarah Turner
How does immigration policy impact economic growth? Do firms that hire more skilled immigrants perform better? These and other questions were addressed during a recent Richmond Fed conference.
Abhimanyu Banerjee
Laura Ullrich and Jason Kosakow discuss how community colleges contribute to their local economies, especially rural communities, and how their new survey addresses knowledge gaps about these important contributions. Ullrich is a regional economist based at the Richmond Fed's Charlotte office and Kosakow is the Bank's survey director.
Numerous factors — including population growth, education, housing, transportation, child care, health, and broadband availability — are shaping the differences in employment outcomes between rural and urban communities.
Fewer veterans are using their education benefits. Is this trend a problem — or a sign of a more welcoming job market?
This new system for measuring community college outcomes better reflects how the institutions are serving their students and communities than current data collection methods.
Learning loss has the potential to set students back for years to come, affecting not only their development, but also the economy.
For the 50th episode of the podcast, hosts Jessie Romero, Charles Gerena and Tim Sablik use previous episodes to explore how labor markets are shaped by the economic choices we make throughout our lifetimes, from childhood to adulthood to old age.
Mark Bils of the University of Rochester and Niklas Engbom of New York University discuss their research on how easily labor is substituted or shifted between jobs and its implications for policies to bolster human capital.
Will four-year degrees become less of a gateway for high-paying jobs? Should they?
Neeraja Deshpande
Rural America Week brings together community leaders, policymakers, and representatives from financial institutions and foundations.
Laura Ullrich and Urvi Neelakantan discuss trends in enrollment at community colleges and the role of these educational institutions in the economy.
In Florence County, the Southeastern Institute of Manufacturing Technology and its Gould Business Incubator are fostering an entrepreneurial ecosystem and fueling small business development in South Carolina.
Erika W. Bell
Community Development Regional Manager
While all sectors of higher education have experienced declines, community colleges have been hardest hit: this fall, community college enrollment declined significantly for the second consecutive year.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
Maia Linask and Tatyana Avilova share their career journeys in the field of economics and discuss what motivated them to organize the Diverse Economics Conference this November.
The Danville region in Virginia has moved the needle on early childhood education and now has an ecosystem in place to help address future challenges.
Renee Haltom
Vice President and Regional Executive
Angela Wells, executive director of Smart Beginnings Danville Pittsylvania, discusses how her Southside Virginia organization supports parents, schools and early child care providers in preparing children for success in school and in life.
Vance-Granville Community College's early college high schools and workforce programs are improving education and job opportunities for area residents.
Laura Dawson Ullrich and Lucas Moyon
People who pay student loans back using income-driven repayment plans are less likely to default than those who use standard repayment plans.
Sarah Gunn, Nicholas Haltom and Urvi Neelakantan
President Tom Barkin shares what he learned from conversations with educators and policymakers about the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on students.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
What explains diverging employment outcomes for college graduates and older workers? Read more in President Tom Barkin’s latest essay.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Regional economist Laura Ullrich shares her insights on historically black colleges and universities and their role in workforce development and the economy in general.
Community college enrollment declined significantly across the country in fall 2020, breaking the typical pattern of increased enrollment during a recession.
Roisin McCord and Laura Dawson Ullrich
For Financial Literacy Month, two teachers in South Carolina discuss how they help high school students learn about economics and personal finance.
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, public school enrollment has decreased overall and across racial groups, with the steepest declines in grades Pre-K through elementary.
Abigail Crockett and Hailey Phelps
Andy Bauer provides an update on economic conditions in Maryland as the state recovers from the severe downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Kartik Athreya shares his experiences on the Back to Work Virginia Task Force, which is developing policies and practices for strengthening the child care industry.
UC San Diego economics professor on fiscal stimulus, technological lull, and the rug-rat race.
The number of women in economics decreases at every professional step, starting at the undergraduate level.
Hailey Phelps
President Tom Barkin talks about the effects of COVID-19 on students and the Richmond Fed’s new District Dialogues series exploring educational disparities.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Alex Marré discusses the ongoing challenges of bringing broadband Internet service to everyone who needs it.
Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin discusses how community colleges can help workers affected by COVID-19 job loss.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Santiago Pinto discusses the potential long-term consequences of disruptions to K-12 education as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The COVID-19 pandemic is forecast to negatively affect state and local government revenues. In the absence of sizable federal transfers, this is likely to disrupt spending on critical services — including education — in ways that may have long-lasting effects.
John Mullin and Santiago Pinto
Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin spoke about the importance of early childhood education and the health of the child care industry at the VECF/VA Chamber’s 7th Annual Executive Briefing on the Economics of Early Childhood.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
As the COVID-19 pandemic forced schools to shift their approach to instruction, the Fed and other economic and financial literacy organizations pivoted, too.
Sarah Gunn, Nicholas Haltom and Donovan Pearce
Research indicates that one promising strategy for rural development is maintaining and improving the quality of an area's public schools.
Alexander Marre, David A. Price and Anil Rupasingha
Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin discusses racial inequality in the Fifth District and how the Richmond Fed is working to make a positive difference.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
MIT economist on charter schools, the elite illusion, and the "Stones Age" of econometrics.
Some schools are offering to buy a share of students' future income in exchange for funding their education.
According to Marx and Turner, receiving a nonzero loan offer increases students' likelihood of borrowing, which, on average, increases educational attainment.
Molly Harnish
Northwestern University economist on firms' investment decisions, intangible capital, and the college premium
Community colleges serve a larger share of minority students than public or private four-year schools.
Laura Dawson Ullrich
Senior Regional Economist
College attainment differs greatly between Fifth District counties, as do unemployment rates and earnings by education level from state to state.
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin highlighted themes for rural communities — education, jobs, de-isolation, and participation — at the Virginia Governor's Conference on Agricultural Trade.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Although changes in educational attainment, employment status, and median earnings were inconsistent across Fifth District jurisdictions in 2017, most saw lower unemployment and higher median earnings.
Joseph Mengedoth
Regional Economist
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin delivered remarks to a Federal Reserve conference on minorities in banking.
Tom Barkin
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
In 2016, every Fifth District jurisdiction, along with the nation, saw an increase in the share of the over-25 population with a bachelor's degree or higher. What else changed since 2015?
Joseph Mengedoth
Regional Economist
There are large differences across school districts in enrollment and attendance at high-resource colleges and universities.
Emily E. Cook, Jessie Romero and Sarah Turner
This post takes a look at the current state of educational attainment across jurisdictions and highlights some of the information available in new reports published by the Richmond Fed.
Michael Stanley
Presidents Message
The debt of the U.S. government is at historically high levels, but how do we know whether debt levels are worrisome? What are the potential consequences for the U.S. economy and monetary policy if large fiscal imbalances persist? This issue of 5E Educator explores these questions and highlights the distinctions between monetary and fiscal policy through an article excerpt, classroom activities and other resources.
What does it mean to live in poverty? How is poverty measured? Why do some countries thrive while others do not? This edition of the 5E Educator explores the issue of poverty and the role of institutions in fostering economic growth and reducing poverty. Article excerpts, a classroom activity and additional resources are included to help you and your students explore these questions.
In this edition of the 5E Educator, two articles shed light on the causes of – and possible impediments to – recoveries. These articles pose such critical questions as: What factors determine the strength of recoveries? Why has unemployment been so severe? We hope these articles and accompanying activities encourage students to consider the underlying causes and complexities of economic recoveries and generate meaningful discussion about what lies ahead.
This issue of the 5E Educator focuses on a key financial decision – financing higher education. Inside the issue is a feature article on student loan debt, complemented by several activities and lesson plans, designed to prompt thoughtful discussion about this decision and the expected returns from investment in human capital.
This issue considers whether quantitative measures alone capture quality of life. Also discussed are important economic concepts relevant to the recent recession and recovery along with several lesson plans and resources specially selected to enhance your 21st Century classroom.
President Lacker addresses the National Council for Economic Education
Jeffrey M. Lacker
President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Read Chairman Ben Bernanke's take on the financial turmoil and the Fed's response. Also download a lesson that will give your students insight into the next FOMC meeting.
Reviews the Bank's operations and includes the article entitled "The Financial Crisis: Toward an Explanation and Policy Response"