The Marlins have surprisingly won two of the first three games in this series, but they're especially bad against left-handed pitching and now have to deal with Ranger Suarez (10-2, 1.83 ERA). Even with the Phillies missing several big bats, I like them to improve to 19-10 on the run line following a loss.

The Cardinals are 10-5 in their past 15 games despite Thursday's loss. I like them to get back on track behind Andre Pallante, who is 4-0 with a 1.55 ERA in 13 all-time appearances versus Cincinnati. Reds starter Frankie Montas has struggled versus this St. Louis lineup, allowing a .999 OPS over 32 collective at-bats. Look for the Reds to fall to 16-30 as underdogs.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez has been brilliant lately and takes on a Marlins team that has been horrific versus lefties. Overall, Miami ranks second-to-last with a .632 OPS. Despite their injuries, I like the host Phils to bounce back strong from Thursday's 7-4 loss and cover the run line.

Tigers starter Jack Flaherty isn't getting distracted by trade rumors; he's 5-1 with a 1.56 ERA over his last six starts, fanning 45 in 34.2 innings. By many metrics he's a Top-3 starter in MLB right now. Look for another dominant performance Thursday as the Tigers grab a lead against Angels starter Davis Daniel, who was just called up from Triple-A Salt Lake.

Bryce Harper has scored in 10 of the past 12 games, and I like him to do it again Thursday against the lowly Marlins. Harper has an 1.197 OPS in June, a 1.086 OPS at home, and a 1.003 OPS against left-handed pitching. Miami lefty Trevor Rogers comes in with a career-high hard-hit percentage of 44.5, and a 5.10 expected ERA.

Carlos Carrasco, 37, doesn't typically pitch on four days' rest. But he's on four days' rest Wednesday in a very difficult matchup at Baltimore. The Orioles, despite their losing skid, sport an .847 OPS in June (2nd, MLB) while slugging an MLB-best .514. Cleveland's bullpen is taxed, so Carrasco could get somewhat of a long leash. Carrasco owns a 5.95 road ERA and has surrendered exactly five earned runs in two of his last four starts overall.

The Blue Jays wasted a monster three-run home from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. on Monday. They blew a 6-2 lead thanks to shoddy defense and a leaky bullpen, dropping their seventh straight. Toronto now owns a bullpen ERA of 4.60, which ranks sixth-worst. Kevin Gausman owns a 5.12 expected ERA this season and has been hit especially hard by AL East foes familiar with him. Boston got to him for five runs (four earned) in 5.2 innings last Wednesday. Even with Bo Bichette potentially returning for Toronto, I'll back the surging Red Sox to stay hot.

The Blue Jays found out Sunday their top prospect had been suspended for 80 games, then lost their sixth straight. They continue their road trip in Boston, which has won nine of 11 and owns a run differential that's 98 runs better than Toronto's. Both teams trot out strong starters in Tanner Houck and Chris Bassitt, but the Red Sox boast the better offense and bullpen. Over the last 15 days, Boston owns an .833 OPS compared to Toronto's .666. If the losing continues this week for Toronto, the Jays could start looking toward 2025.

Look for the Orioles to avoid the sweep behind Albert Suarez, who owns a 2.35 ERA in five starts since rejoining the rotation. The Astros have never faced him. Baltimore's potent offense (No. 2 in OPS at .772) should rebound following an uncharacteristic performance Saturday. In 61 at-bats, current Orioles hold a collective .923 OPS against Houston starter Framber Valdez. The Orioles have only lost three in a row once all season.

Boston has won seven of eight and has a starting pitching advantage Friday behind Kutter Crawford. The Red Sox lead MLB with a .366 weighted on-base average in June and rank third in scoring behind the Mets and Orioles this month. Over the last 15 days, Cincinnati ranks 29th in OPS (.596). The Reds have lost four of five while mustering a total of eight runs. Lay the reasonable price.

Jordan Montgomery shut down the White Sox last time out, but against tougher competition he has struggled. The host Phillies own a .764 OPS against left-handed pitching (sixth-best in MLB). Back Philadelphia to improve to 30-11 at home.

Giants starter Keaton Winn has a 13.02 ERA over his last five starts, a span in which he's surrendered five homers and 28 hits in 18.2 innings. For the season he's allowed a 50 percent hard-hit rate and is bottom-of-the-barrel in average exit velocity (92.9 mph). Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has been much better since joining the rotation, posting a 3.63 ERA in four starts. Despite the absence of Nolan Arenado, look for the Cardinals to lead after five innings.

Teoscar Hernandez leads MLB in slugging percentage against left-handed pitching since 2020, and this year he has 18 RBIs in only 79 at-bats against southpaws. He's batting cleanup behind Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith and Freddie Freeman. The Rockies are starting left-handed Ty Blach at Coors Field; look for Hernandez to record at least one RBI.

It's a battle of left-handers, and the Mets own a .754 OPS against southpaws compared to the Rangers' .659. New York won its seventh straight with a dramatic comeback Tuesday despite going 2 for 12 with runners in scoring position. The Mets' decided bullpen edge came into play and it could be the difference again Wednesday.

The Mariners are 12-4 in June and their offense has woken up dramatically since they fired Brant Brown. In the 17 ensuing games, Seattle has averaged 5.0 runs while hitting 22 homers. The Mariners might not need a ton of run support Wednesday if Bryan Woo continues his current form. He's 3-0 with a 1.07 ERA and microscopic 0.53 WHIP. The Guardians have never seen him.