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Women’s French Open singles 2024 outright betting tips: Swiatek can win
Our expert tipster is backing Iga Swiatek to win the French Open, with the competition set to begin on Sunday
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It is no secret that Iga Swiatek’s biggest inspiration in tennis is Rafael Nadal – and just as the Spaniard has done on clay in the men’s game, the Polish phenomenon looks like dominating the women’s French Open for many years to come.
The 22-year-old has already won three grand-slam titles on the Parisian dirt and her hopes of claiming a third successive crown at Roland Garros could not be much higher after recent title triumphs in Madrid and Rome.
The Pole arrives in Paris on a 12-game winning streak and she is going to be difficult to contain on a slow surface.
That said, Elena Rybakina, Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff join Swiatek in a formidable four at the top of the women’s game and will believe they have what it takes to stop her.
French Open women’s tennis betting tips
- Iga Swiatek to win the French Open without dropping a set @ 7/2 with bet365
- Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka final @ 11/4 with bet365
- Qinwen Zheng each-way @ 33/1 with bet365
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
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Swiatek poles apart from the opposition
Simona Halep and Maria Sakkari are the only two women to have beaten Swiatek at the French Open, with the Pole claiming the title in three of her five visits.
The world No 1 got the crown without dropping a set in 2020, while in her 2022 success she lost only one set, which came in a tiebreak in round four against Qinwen Zheng.
The only set that Swiatek lost in last season’s title defence came in the final against Karolina Muchova, so odds of 7-2 for her to succeed without dropping a set this year make plenty of appeal.
Swiatek is far ahead of the rest of the opposition on clay and that was evident in Rome last time out as she claimed the title without dropping a set in any of her six matches.
That reads even better when you consider she faced Gauff in the semi-final and Sabalenka in the final, yet won 6-4, 6-3 and 6-2, 6-3 respectively.
The early draw looks particularly generous for Swiatek and it is unlikely that she will have to get out of first gear until a potential quarter-final with the rejuvenated Danielle Collins.
Tip: Iga Swiatek to win the French Open without dropping a set @ 7/2 with bet365
Top two could renew rivalry in final
Swiatek and Sabalenka are currently the top two players in the women’s rankings and it would come as no surprise to see them battling it out for the title on June 8.
Interestingly, Swiatek has had Sabalenka’s measure in recent finals in Madrid and Rome, so they are in line to compete for the silverware for a third consecutive tournament.
Swiatek’s claims are crystal-clear on her favourite surface, and Sabalenka has become such a model of consistency in grand-slam events that she has to be taken seriously.
The Belarusian claimed her second consecutive Australian Open title in January, and she has made at least the semi-final in eight of her past 10 grand-slam appearances.
It is difficult to see Swiatek faltering before the final and Sabalenka is taken to outperform world No 4 Rybakina, whom she could meet in the last four but has not ever gone beyond the quarter-final at Roland Garros.
Tip: Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka final @ 11/4 with bet365
Zheng may be the surprise package
If there is going to be an upset at this season’s French Open, Zheng may be the player to produce it, just as she did when finishing runner-up to Sabalenka at the Australian Open in January.
That is an experience that should have taught the 21-year-old Chinese plenty and she looks capable of building on that in the near future.
Avoiding Swiatek until the final is a big incentive to back her each-way and she has landed in a nice section of the draw, with Jasmine Paolini the highest-ranked opponent she can face before the quarter-final.
Zheng’s recent run to the last eight in Rome and the fact that she took Swiatek to a deciding set at Roland Garros two years ago show there is nothing wrong with her clay-court game – and suggest she could outperform her odds of 33/1.
Tip: Qinwen Zheng each-way @ 33/1 with bet365
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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