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Jake Paul vs Ryan Bourland predictions and tips: Paul big favourite
Read why our betting expert is backing Jake Paul to beat Ryan Bourland as one of his tips for their fight in Puerto Rico this weekend
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Jake Paul made a statement in his last outing with a first-round KO win over Andre August and he will be looking to back that up with another convincing victory when he faces another American, Ryan Bourland in Puerto Rico this weekend.
Jake Paul vs Ryan Bourland betting tips
- Jake Paul to win in rounds 5-6 @ 17/2 with Betfair
- Jake Paul to win in round 6 @ 20/1 with Betfair
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Bourland may have been underestimated
Ohio-born Paul is looking to work his way towards a world title shot in the cruiserweight division and his huge online following means he may just get that wish at some stage – if he can keep winning.
The social-media-star-turned-boxer showed awesome power and precision in dispatching Texan August with a brutal uppercut in his previous bout and will be seeking a similar result against California-born Bourland, but this fight may not be quite so straightforward.
Bourland has a very respectable 17-2 record and only one of his losses has been by a stoppage. The 35-year-old does not have anything spectacular on his CV, although neither does Paul, and his best wins are probably a pair of victories over Mexican Gilberto Rubio and a rematch victory against Jose Hernandez – but he still has more experience than “The Problem Child” ahead of their clash.
Paul is rightly the clear favourite, having stopped August without breaking a sweat. This is his fourth fight in just over a year. In contrast, Bourland has been inactive since September 2022, when he stopped Santario Martin, and he does not carry a great deal of power. Only six of his 17 wins have come inside the distance.
This is a tough fight for punters to navigate as Paul is such a heavy favourite, and the best way to approach this clash could be by picking a round or groups of rounds.
After his demolition of Bourland, another early finish for Paul is a short price so taking a chance on Bourland to reach the second half of the fight by backing a Paul victory in rounds 5-6 is worth a small stake.
Bourland has only been stopped once and that came against Israel Duffus back in 2015. That was a first-round stoppage, but Bourland has clearly wised up since then and he will be on high alert after Paul’s win over August last time out.
Before his last victory, the jury was still out on whether Paul could really cut it in the professional ranks but there should be no question about that now. So Bourland will not be complacent and he can take this contest beyond the halfway point.
Ultimately, a Paul knockout does look the most likely way for this contest to finish as he has plenty of natural power. At 35 and after a period of inactivity, it remains to be seen just how much Bourland has left in the tank. Paul will keep looking for the KO from the first bell to the last so may well claim an early finish, but Bourland can at least reach the start of the fifth.
Tip: Jake Paul to win in rounds 5-6 @ 17/2 with Betfair
Pick a round with a small stake
Going for an individual round with a small wager is one betting angle to consider and Paul in the sixth at 20/1 looks a value shout.
The 27-year-old demonstrated his fitness in defeat to Tommy Fury and then went 10 rounds with MMA star Nate Diaz, an exceptional athlete, so Paul should be able to keep putting the pressure on as the contest progresses.
Bourland’s conditioning is harder to gauge but he has only been beyond eight rounds once in his past five fights and most of his recent outings have been six-round affairs. So there is a chance he could be tiring by this point in proceedings – and that is where Paul can take advantage.
Tip: Jake Paul to win in round 6 @ 20/1 with Betfair
Jake Paul vs Ryan Bourland odds
Jake Paul is 1/25 to win with Ryan Bourland at 20/1 and the draw priced at 10/1.
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.