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Who are the teams to back in the goal-kicks market at Euro 2024?
With the Euros around the corner, we look at the goal-kicks stats ahead of the tournament with some teams expected to have more than others
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The European Championship finally begins on Friday evening and there’s lots of value on offer in the different prop markets that are available for every game of the tournament.
Below, we look more closely at the goal-kicks market to see which teams could represent good value in both the over and under lines at the tournament in Germany.
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What is the goal-kicks market?
The goal-kicks market has increased in popularity in recent seasons with many bookmakers now offering prices on teams to have a certain number of goal kicks in a fixture.
Usually, you can bet over or under a certain line. For example, in the match between Germany and Scotland on Friday evening you can bet on over/under 14.5 goal kicks at 5/6 either way, and also bet on the number of goal kicks each team has.
Often, there’s a lot of value to be found in this market for punters who ensure that they put in the time and effort to assess how certain teams play, with more shots leading to more goal kicks.
Here, we identify some of the teams to look out for at the Euros in the goal-kick market.
Albania on back foot
Albania have been drawn with Spain, Italy and Croatia in Group B and could find themselves under pressure for the majority of their three group matches.
It’s likely they will have to sit back and soak up plenty of pressure, playing on the counter-attack to have the best chance of winning.
That could lead to a high number of goal kicks for Albania, which was a feature of their qualifying games when they had 11 against Poland and 12 against Czechia.
Spain often look to dominate sides and Northern Ireland had 15 goal kicks against Spain in their most recent friendly. Wales had 13 against Croatia in a huge Euro qualifying affair.
We’re expecting a line of 9.5-10.5 for their matches and it’s definitely worth taking the overs when they’re released.
England worth mentioning
It’s also worth mentioning that there are some nations that have a surprisingly high number of goal kicks – and they include England.
Gareth Southgate’s side had 11 in the round-of-16 tie with Senegal at the World Cup, although their line is often much lower than other sides at around 5.5.
They also had seven against the United States in the group stage of that tournament and there’s no reason why sides like Serbia and Denmark can’t trouble the England goal with attempts.
Harry Maguire’s injury is a blow for the defence and Luke Shaw isn’t fit to start the first game, while Trent Alexander-Arnold may not shield the defence as well as other holding midfielders.
This could lead to some nice goal-kick numbers with England not shy of conceding chances and goal kicks in major tournaments.
One-sided fixtures lead to goal kicks
A lot of the time one-sided fixtures can lead to lots of goal-kicks, especially if the more fancied side fall behind.
A good example of this is England’s recent match-up with Iceland at Wembley Stadium where the Scandinavian side had 17 goal kicks, priced around 5/1.
If you can predict a side to be that dominant in the match then there are some good prices to be had throughout the tournament.
Sides to look out for include Scotland, Albania, Slovenia and Georgia, who are all expected to let the opposition dominate possession, leading to efforts on goal and therefore goal kicks.
There are sure to be lots of good prices released in the goal-kick market throughout the tournament, so it’s definitely worth checking out.
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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