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Luton Town vs Chelsea predictions: Premier League tips and odds
James Milton’s Luton Town vs Chelsea betting tips include 8/5, 7/5 and 12/1-priced selections, with a high-scoring game expected
![Our tips for Luton vs Chelsea include a 12/1 selection](/https/www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/betting/better-collective-new/luton-v-chelsea-kits-23.jpg?imwidth=680)
Our betting expert has three Luton Town vs Chelsea tips for today’s Premier League game at Kenilworth Road (kick-off, 12.30pm). Scroll down to see the analysis behind his selections.
Luton vs Chelsea betting tips
- Over 3.5 goals @ 8/5 with Paddy Power
- Half-time draw @ 7/5 with Paddy Power
- Bet builder: Ross Barkley to have 1+ shots on target, Cole Palmer to be shown a card and Chelsea to receive the most cards @ 12/1 with Paddy Power
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Hatful of goals on the cards
Luton are chasing a third consecutive league win after victories over Newcastle United and Sheffield United, while Chelsea arrive at Kenilworth Road on a four-game losing streak away from home.
The Hatters scored only 57 goals in 46 Championship matches in 2022-23, so there were major concerns about how their attacking unit would cope in the Premier League.
However, Rob Edwards’ men have been more competitive than expected, especially at Kenilworth Road, where in their previous five games they have beaten Newcastle and Crystal Palace, drawn with Liverpool, and lost only 2-1 and 4-3 to Manchester City and Arsenal respectively.
The Hatters followed up their victory over the Magpies with a dramatic 3-2 win at survival rivals Sheffield United and over 3.5 goals is worth a bet when they host Chelsea.
Five of Luton’s previous 10 league games have surpassed that number and two others have yielded over 2.5, while they lost 3-0 in August's reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea’s goal threat is increased by Christopher Nkunku’s recovery from injury. He scored on his league debut at Wolves on Christmas Eve with one of four attempts in just 31 minutes on the pitch.
Mauricio Pochettino’s side have created bundles of chances this season but Luton will be confident of troubling an injury-hit defence that has shipped 10 goals in their previous four away matches.
Luton vs Chelsea tip 1: Over 3.5 goals @ 8/5 with Paddy Power
Tight first-half expected
While an entertaining contest is expected at Kenilworth Road, most of the action in Luton’s matches tends to come in the second half, so backing a half-time draw looks a decent option.
The Hatters’ first 18 league games this season have produced only 14 first-half goals, compared with 41 after the break.
Eight of their previous nine opponents, including Liverpool, Manchester United and Manchester City, failed to score in the first half and Chelsea’s games are often finely poised at the interval.
Nine of the Blues’ last 10 top-flight matches were level at half-time, including their 4-1 win at Spurs, the 4-4 draw with Manchester City and the 4-1 defeat at Newcastle United.
Luton vs Chelsea tip 2: Half-time draw @ 7/5 with Paddy Power
Bank on Barkley and bookings
Eyebrows were raised when promoted Luton signed Ross Barkley and Andros Townsend, but both have impressed and Barkley will be particularly keen to shine against one of his former clubs.
The midfielder is worth backing in a bet builder to have a shot on target. He scored in the 4-3 defeat by Arsenal, hit the crossbar with one of five attempts against Newcastle and had a shot on target at Bramall Lane last time out.
Cole Palmer was suspended for Chelsea’s win over Crystal Palace, having picked up five yellow cards in his first 11 league starts for the Blues, and he could add to his tally of bookings on Saturday.
Pochettino’s attacking players have got stuck in this season – Raheem Sterling also served a ban against Palace and striker Nicolas Jackson has been booked eight times in 15 starts – so backing Chelsea to receive more cards than Luton completes our tasty 12/1 bet builder.
Luton vs Chelsea tip 3: Ross Barkley to have 1+ shots on target, Cole Palmer to be shown a card and Chelsea to receive the most cards @ 12/1 with Paddy Power
Luton vs Chelsea odds
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.