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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund predictions: Champions League tips and odds
William Maxwell’s PSG vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips include 17/10, 5/4 and 17/1-priced selections, with a high-scoring game predicted
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Our betting expert has three Paris Saint-Germain vs Borussia Dortmund tips for tonight’s Champions League semi-final, second-leg at the Parc des Princes (kick-off, 8pm BST). Dortmund hold a 1-0 lead from the first leg. Scroll down for the analysis behind his selections.
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips
- PSG to win and both teams to score @ 17/10 with Betfair
- Over 3.5 goals @ 5/4 with Betfair
- Bet builder: Kylian Mbappe to score any time, Donyell Malen 2+ shots on target and Nico Schlotterbeck to be carded @ 17/1 with Betfair
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
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PSG to have final word
Dortmund hold a 1-0 advantage from the first leg but PSG overturned a single-goal deficit in the last eight, winning 4-1 in Barcelona to complete a 6-4 aggregate victory after a 3-2 home defeat.
The Parisian club have lost only two of their 25 home matches in all competitions this season, while Dortmund have lost two of their previous three away games, to Atletico Madrid and RB Leipzig.
PSG have also scored twice in all but one of their five home Champions League fixtures this season, although they have looked vulnerable in defence at home, keeping just nine clean sheets. In addition, Dortmund have netted in all but one of their last 12 on the road.
So while PSG should be able to overturn the deficit and reach their first Champions League final since 2020, the visitors could make their task trickier by scoring on the night.
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund tip 1: PSG to win and both teams to score @ 17/10 with Betfair
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High-scoring contest on cards
Last week’s 1-0 defeat in Dortmund was something of an anomaly for PSG, whose previous five matches had produced 21 goals. The quarter-final tie with Barcelona featured 10 of those and was followed by 4-1 wins at home to Lyon and away to Lorient, plus a 3-3 draw with Le Havre.
The last result secured a third consecutive Ligue 1 title for Luis Enrique’s side and they were perhaps unfortunate to leave Dortmund empty-handed after creating a number of excellent chances.
Three of Dortmund’s previous six matches have comfortably passed the 3.5-goal mark: the 4-2 and 5-1 home wins over Atletico and Augsburg respectively, plus the 4-1 defeat at Leipzig.
With a place in the final at Wembley on the line, both sides will look to attack and both possess the quality in attack to trouble the opposition defences, so our money is on at least four goals.
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund tip 2: Over 3.5 goals @ 5/4 with Betfair
Bank on Mbappe in bet builder
PSG’s talismanic forward Kylian Mbappe is the joint-leading goalscorer in the Champions League this season with eight goals and, after netting four goals across his previous four games, will be expected to rise to the occasion again tonight. An Mbappe goal is the first leg of our 17/1 bet builder.
Dortmund possesses plenty of firepower themselves and striker Donyell Malen is our choice to test the home goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma. His tally of 11 shots in this season’s competition is the highest of any player from the German club.
Completing the bet builder is a selection from the cards market and we expect visiting defender Nico Schlotterbeck to fall foul of the referee. He has picked up four yellows in the competition this season, two of them against tonight’s opponents.
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund tip 3: Bet builder: Kylian Mbappe to score any time, Donyell Malen 2+ shots on target and Nico Schlotterbeck to be carded @ 17/1 with Betfair
PSG vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.