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Southampton vs West Brom predictions: Championship play-off tips and odds
James Milton’s Southampton vs West Brom betting tips include 23/10, 9/2 and 18/5-priced selections, with Che Adams backed to score first
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Our betting expert has three Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion tips for the Championship play-off semi-final, second leg at St Mary’s Stadium on Friday (kick-off, 8pm). Scroll down for the analysis behind his selections.
Southampton vs West Brom betting tips
- Southampton -1 on handicap @ 23/10 with Betano
- Che Adams to score first @ 9/2 with Betano
- Bet builder – Over 2.5 goals, Adam Armstrong to score any time and over 3.5 West Brom corners @ 18/5 with Betano
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
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Saints to turn on the style
The first leg at The Hawthorns was only Southampton’s second goalless draw of the season but they can make the most of their home advantage in the return.
Saints boss Russell Martin was pleased with his side’s defending but he will demand a more proactive display from his forwards in the final third at St Mary's.
Southampton have been irresistible at times on their own patch, scoring an average of 2.35 goals per home game, and they finished 12 points ahead of the Baggies in the regular season.
Albion lost the first two meetings with the Saints this term and their poor away record suggests they could be in for a tough trip to the south coast.
Carlos Corberan’s men picked up only six of their 21 league wins on the road, losing 3-0 at struggling Sheffield Wednesday in their most recent away fixture.
They took just three points from seven away games against their fellow top-eight clubs, so Saints are worth backing to cover a one-goal handicap in the second leg.
Southampton vs West Brom tip 1: Southampton -1 on handicap @ 23/10 with Betano
Adams eager to extend home run
One factor behind Southampton’s lack of a cutting edge in the first leg was the absence of Che Adams, who was not risked due to a tight calf.
The Scotland forward is expected to be unleashed for the return fixture and he is a tempting alternative to strike partner Adam Armstrong in the first goalscorer betting.
Adams has netted 16 league goals this season and his strike rate of one goal every 144 minutes compares favourably with Armstrong's rate of one every 183 minutes.
The forward, who will be a free agent in the summer, has been linked with several Premier League clubs. He can extend his hot streak at St Mary’s, where he has scored five goals in his last three starts.
Southampton vs West Brom tip 2: Che Adams to score first @ 9/2 with Betano
Albion away days are good for goals
Seven of West Brom’s last nine away matches have featured over 2.5 goals and the other two ended 1-1, so a repeat of the first-leg stalemate looks unlikely.
Over 2.5 goals is a solid first selection for our bet builder and Southampton's top scorer, Adam Armstrong, is worth backing to score at least once.
The forward has been outstanding this season, contributing 21 goals and 13 assists in the Championship, and he can be expected to trouble the visiting defence.
Albion had seven of the 16 corners in the first leg and they could threaten down the flanks at St Mary's.
The Baggies racked up six corners away to champions Leicester last month and 12 in their defeat at Sheffield Wednesday, so they can win at least four on Friday.
Southampton vs West Brom tip 3: Bet builder – Over 2.5 goals, Adam Armstrong to score any time and over 3.5 West Brom corners @ 18/5 with Betano
Southampton vs West Brom odds
Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.
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