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Golf betting tips: Dubai Invitational and Sony Open
This week our expert’s golf betting tips cover the DP World Tour Dubai Invitational and the PGA Tour Sony Open
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There’s a golf double-header taking place this week and Rory McIlroy is the main attraction at Dubai Creek Golf & Yacht Club as he returns to action at the Dubai Invitational, a new DP World Tour event.
McIlroy is 5/2 to win the title while his Ryder Cup colleagues Matt Fitzpatrick and Ludvig Aberg are 16-1 joint favourites for the PGA Tour Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu, Hawaii.
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Dubai Invitational golf betting tips
- Outright winner – Nicolai Hojgaard @ 10/1 with bet365
- Outright winner – Thorbjorn Olesen @ 18/1 with bet365
- Outright winner – Ewen Ferguson @ 45/1 with bet365
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Hojgaard to upstage McIlroy again
In the most recent DP World Tour event to take place in Dubai, Nicolai Hojgaard held off a host of European big guns at the DP World Tour Championship, and the ever-improving Dane has the ability to double up in a weaker field at Dubai Creek.
Hojgaard has finished in the top five in four of his previous five DP World Tour appearances and he looks a serious contender again with Rory McIlroy expected to be rusty and Tommy Fleetwood having flown halfway around the world after finishing down the leaderboard in the Sentry last week.
Tip: Outright winner – Nicolai Hojgaard @ 10/1 with bet365
Dangerous Dane a Dubai dark horse
The next best bet could be another Dane, Thorbjorn Olesen, who won the Thailand Classic in February and finished his 2023 campaign with form figures of 17-9-9-3-26 for the closing five events of the DP World Tour season.
Former Ryder Cup player Olesen has long enjoyed himself in this part of the world, contending for several big titles in Dubai, Qatar and Abu Dhabi over the years, and recent results suggest an eighth DP World Tour title might not be far away.
Tip: Outright winner – Thorbjorn Olesen @ 18/1 with bet365
Ferguson can find form in the desert
At a decent each-way price, take a swing at Ewen Ferguson, the Scot who claimed the first of his two DP World Tour titles at the neighbouring Qatar Masters in March 2022.
Ferguson ended 2024 with a couple of lacklustre showings in South Africa but he had previously finished in the top 20 in five consecutive DP World Tour events, including when defending his title in Qatar and at the DP World Tour Championship.
Tip: Outright winner – Ewen Ferguson @ 45/1 with bet365
Sony Open golf betting tips
- Outright winner – Brian Harman @ 20/1 with bet365
- Outright winner – Justin Rose @ 40/1 with bet365
- Outright winner – An Byeong-hun @ 35/1 with bet365
Harman on right track in Hawaii
Waialae Country Club, a narrow Hawaiian layout that has hosted the Sony Open in various guises since 1965, has long been regarded as a test of tee-to-green accuracy, and it ought to provide the perfect opportunity for Brian Harman to gain an early 2024 victory.
Harman took his game to a new level in 2023, winning the Open at Royal Liverpool, and he has since followed major success with some rock-solid performances on the PGA Tour, including a fifth-place finish at last week’s season-opening Sentry.
Those who play Kapalua the week before this tournament have a fine record at Waialae and Harman, who was fourth in the 2018 Sony Open, is poised for a big week.
Tip: Outright winner – Brian Harman @ 20/1 with bet365
Accuracy test is one Rose will relish
Justin Rose has seldom teed it up at Waialae but the Englishman has tended to enjoy himself when he has made the trip to Honolulu, posting form figures of 20-MC-12-13-2 from five previous Sony appearances.
The modern-day Rose is quite happy to sacrifice length for accuracy off the tee, which should serve him well at Waialae, while his last PGA Tour victory came by the coast at Pebble Beach in February 2023. A Sentry pipe-opener should have him spot-on for this assignment.
Tip: Outright winner – Justin Rose @ 40/1 with bet365
An can build on solid Sentry start
An Byeong-hun remains a PGA Tour maiden but he finished fourth in strong company at the Sentry last week and his performances from mid-July onwards suggest that a victory might not be far away.
The South Korean finished third at the co-sanctioned Scottish Open and 23rd at the Open, and was then runner-up at the Wyndham Championship in August. One previous trip to Waialae – in 2023 – resulted in a 12th-place finish at a venue where debutants have traditionally struggled.