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Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois tips and predictions: Ukranian the heavy favourite
We expect Oleksandr Usyk to beat Daniel Dubois within six rounds and you can find all our tips for tonight’s fight in Poland here
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Our betting expert has provided three tips for the highly anticipated Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois fight, which takes place tonight at the Tarczynski Arena in the Polish city of Wroclaw. The ring walk is set to begin at 10pm BST. Below you can analyse the reasons behind his recommendations.
Usyk returns to the ring, after failing to line up a unification bout with WBC holder Tyson Fury, to decide the WBA, IBF, WBO and IBO heavyweight titles against mandatory challenger Dubois.
Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois betting tips
- Under six rounds @ 9/4 with Sky Bet
- Oleksandr Usyk to win in rounds 4-6 @ 11/4 with Sky Bet
- Daniel Dubois to be knocked down 3+ times @ 10/1 with Sky Bet RequestABet Specials
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Expect an early finish in Wroclaw
This is almost the very definition of a “boxer versus brawler” bout as the super-slick Usyk takes on KO specialist Dubois for the WBA, IBF and WBO heavyweight world titles.
The Ukrainian has incredible speed, unrivalled and verging on unnatural in the heavyweight division, and he should be able to open up Dubois from the get-go.
The two are also former sparring partners, so Usyk should have a solid plan on how he can cause problems and make inroads without needing too much time to work his opponent out.
Dubois’ only defeat so far came in a 10th-round stoppage at the hands of Joe Joyce, but he has been in early trouble recently, as he was knocked down three times inside the first round by Kevin Lerena before recovering to win in the third.
If Usyk does manage to put that kind of pressure on Dubois he is unlikely to ease up, which could easily happen in the first half of the fight.
Despite taking down Anthony Joshua twice, there are still questions about whether the former unified cruiserweight champion Usyk can handle the power of a natural heavyweight – largely because nobody has managed to catch him with a true power shot yet.
If Dubois is to win, he will need to be the first man to do that as claiming a stoppage is his only realistic route to victory here. The Londoner does not have the skill set to win on points and lacks Usyk’s speed and precision.
Joshua is technically a better boxer than Dubois and he had little success trying to work behind his jab against Usyk, so “Dynamite” will have to adopt a different approach.
Dubois needs to find a way to impose himself and get his big shots away, and that will be more effective in the earlier rounds. As an aside, if you are planning on backing Dubois in this fight, take the KO/TKO or disqualification odds over the standard bout betting price.
With Usyk more than capable of landing his best shots in the early exchanges and Dubois expected to go hunting for a stoppage from the off, the standout bet here could well be the 9/4 on offer for under six rounds.
Tip: Under six rounds @ 9/4 with Sky Bet
Usyk can claim an early stoppage
Usyk has won all 20 of his fights, but has a fairly modest 13 victories inside the distance. Even when he was campaigning at cruiserweight, he only recorded five wins inside the first six rounds.
However, Dubois almost looks like a tailor-made opponent for “The Cat” to make a statement against as he tries to tie down Tyson Fury to an agreement.
Usyk will also be well aware that Dubois has incredible power as 18 of his 19 wins have come inside the distance, and he has survived being knocked down himself and gone on to victory.
As such, the Ukrainian superstar will not want to leave anything to chance in Poland and can score a stoppage of his own in rounds 4-6 after breaking Dubois down in the opening rounds.
Tip: Oleksandr Usyk to win in rounds 4-6 @ 11/4 with Sky Bet
Two Dubois knockdowns have appeal
A Usyk stoppage should be expected, but Dubois will not give up easily as he challenges for a world title for the first time. The Briton responded to being knocked down three times by Lerena in the first round of their contest and should be able to get up from the canvas at least once against Usyk.
The champion does not possess one-punch knockout power, but he picks his shots well and his accuracy is exceptional.
Those qualities mean he can end this bout early, but it is also likely to result in a few knockdowns for Dubois before either the referee or the challenger’s corner decide to call a halt to proceedings.
Tip: Daniel Dubois to be knocked down 3+ times @ 10/1 with Sky Bet RequestABet Specials
Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois odds
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Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois round betting
If you are looking for all the odds on Usyk vs Dubois, round betting is often a popular avenue to explore, with the odds below for either fighter to win in certain rounds.
Check out more Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois odds here.
All odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change