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Horse racing tips: Kempton, Newcastle and Southwell – ITV Racing Saturday picks
Predictions and analysis for Saturday’s ITV Racing from Kempton, Newcastle and Southwell, plus a free bets offer to back our selections
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There are eight ITV4 races to enjoy on Saturday afternoon from Kempton, Newcastle and the all-weather at Southwell.
The bulk of the action is at the Surrey course, featuring the Coral Trophy Premier Handicap Chase and preceded by the Grade 2 Adonis Juvenile and Dovecote Novice Hurdles.
The marathon Eider Handicap Chase will be broadcast from Tyneside, as well as the Group 3 Winter Derby at its new home on the Tapeta at the all-weather at the Nottinghamshire venue.
ITV Racing tips – Kempton, Newcastle and Southwell, Saturday February 24
Rob Eddy has recommendations for all eight races today and you can read the analysis behind his selections below.
Add these tips directly to your bet slip by clicking on each pick.
- 1.15, Kempton – Up For Parol @ 22/1 with Betfred
- 1.50, Kempton – Kalif Du Berlais @ 10/11 with Betfred
- 2.08, Newcastle – Tommie Beau @ 8/1 with Betfred
- 2.27, Kempton – Arclight @ 4/1 with Betfred
- 2.27, Southwell – Clarendon House @ 1/1 with Betfred
- 3.00, Kempton – Lump Sum @ 7/4 with Betfred
- 3.20, Southwell – Lord North @ 13/8 with Betfred
- 3.37, Kempton – Forward Plan @ 7/1 with Betfred
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
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Kempton, 1.15 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Hurdle (2m 5f, Class 3)
The going here was officially described as soft, heavy in places at the close of play on Thursday evening, and this longish 15-runner trip is going to take some getting.
Betfred is offering four places each-way and so UP FOR PAROL makes some appeal at relatively large double-figure odds. This eight-year-old gelding has had a break since a below-par effort in the better-class Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle over course and distance (C&D) on better ground in January, and a reproduction of the form of his third in the 2023 Lanzarote on really testing ground from a 5lb higher mark would be particularly competitive for trainer Jamie Snowden, whose charges been performing positively recently.
Selection: Up For Parol @ 17/2 with Betfred
Kempton, 1.50 – Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (2m, Grade 2)
Paul Nicholls is 2-15 with five others placed in this contest since 2014. The champion trainer has two runners this time, and KALIF DU BERLAIS, the chosen mount of Harry Cobden, is considered one of the most likely winners on ITV4 on the day.
The market has been an excellent guide in the past decade, and the bookies are considered to be correct in taking no chances with Nicholls’ imposing French recruit. Now a four-year-old, the Masked Marvel gelding was successful on heavy ground at Compiègne before joining the Ditcheat yard and won unchallenged by 7½ lengths over C&D on his British debut last month. He can remain unbeaten.
Selection: Kalif Du Berlais @ 10/11 with Betfred
Newcastle, 2.08 – Betting.Bet Eider Handicap Chase (4m 1½f, Class 2)
Betfred is offering four places when betting each-way on this marathon 13-runner handicap chase – and TOMMIE BEAU, representing an in-form Seamus Mullins, has plenty of appeal. He is a sound jumping out-and-out stayer who goes well on testing ground and would appear to have the perfect credentials for this step up to beyond four miles for the first time.
Selection: Tommie Beau @ 8/1 with Betfred
Kempton, 2.27 – Coral Pendil Novices’ Chase (2m 4½f, Grade 2)
Five of the six runners are priced between 3/1 and 4/1 with Betfred. The selection ARCLIGHT is representing leading Kempton trainer Nicky Henderson. The Champs Elysees mare does have a bit to find on these terms with a couple of her rivals, but she remains open to further progression, and arrives 3-3 over fences, 2-2 on this course and 2-2 on soft ground. Her latest Listed mares’ novice chase success at Wincanton, on December 19, was franked earlier in the week when the second, Marsh Wren, successfully raided a similar contest at Thurles, and she makes the most appeal in receipt of upwards of 6lb all round.
Selection: Arclight @ 4/1 with Betfred
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Southwell, 2.45 – BetUK Hever Sprint Stakes (5f, Listed)
CLARENDON HOUSE registered a Racing Post rating of 118 when winning a C&D handicap off 105 in December and a reproduction of that level of form may suffice. Now a six-year-old, he has had a break since running fourth in Group 2 company at Meydan last month and he makes plenty of appeal, stepping down in class on his return to the all-weather.
Selection: Clarendon House @ 1/1 with Betfred
Kempton, 3.00 – Coral Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle (2m, Grade 2)
The current favourite, LUMP SUM makes plenty of appeal on his fourth start over hurdles. The son of Authorized has won a bumper and two hurdles and goes particularly well on testing ground. He sets the form standard after reaching an encouraging second in the Grade 2 Rossington Main Novices’ Hurdle on good going at Doncaster last month and the return to a softer surface should really suit.
Selection: Lump Sum @ 7/4 with Betfred
Southwell, 3.20 – BetUK Winter Derby Stakes (1m 3f, Group 3)
The Winter Derby has a new home and a slightly longer distance, but there is no getting away from how impressive LORD NORTH was in this contest last year on the Polytrack at Lingfield. Provided he has been readied for this return as in 2023, the slight changes in circumstance should not inconvenience him too much. The market is likely to be a good guide nearer post time as he hardened to 8/11 favourite when successful 12 months ago and really should take all the beating once again.
Selection: Lord North @ 13/8 with Betfred
Kempton, 3.37 – Coral Trophy Premier Handicap Chase (3m)
If FORWARD PLAN copes well enough with the testing ground, he should have every chance in the feature Premier Handicap Chase in suburban Surrey. The Anthony Honeyball-trained eight-year-old has a textbook profile for success in this contest, as an improving Irish-bred gelding who is 3-8 over regulation fences.
Admittedly, his latest progress came when just failing to get up from a 4lb lower mark in the Great Yorkshire Premier Handicap Chase at Doncaster last month on good ground against Annual Invictus, but he has won on really heavy going in the past, and is capable of performing well from a considered sweet handicap spot – rated 133 and with Ben Godfrey, on pilot duties, claiming 3lb.
Selection: Forward Plan @ 7/1 with Betfred
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