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Chris Minns celebrates historic victory as Labor returns to power – as it happened

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Dominic Perrottet concedes defeat and says he will step down as Liberal leader. This blog is now closed

 Updated 
Sat 25 Mar 2023 08.56 EDTFirst published on Fri 24 Mar 2023 16.59 EDT
Chris Minns claims victory in front of Labor party supporters in Sydney
NSW election 2023: Chris Minns claims victory in front of Labor party supporters in Sydney. Follow live results and updates. Photograph: Dean Lewins/AAP
NSW election 2023: Chris Minns claims victory in front of Labor party supporters in Sydney. Follow live results and updates. Photograph: Dean Lewins/AAP

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Key events

Train service outages hit Sydney

In a very Sydney thing to happen on election day – there’s another train outage.

Trains are not running on the T1 (western line), T2 (inner west and Leppington line) and T9 (northern line) due to urgent signal repairs at Homebush. There are flow-on effects throughout the network – screens have gone blank at Milsons Point station, for example.

In a statement, Transport for NSW has said services on the North Shore, Bankstown, Cumberland, Airport & South, and Central Coast and Newcastle lines are also affected.

It has prompted Transport for NSW to issue a warning that anyone travelling to an NRL game at Olympic Park tonight should avoid taking the train.

Train outages across the Sydney network have plagued the Coalition in recent weeks. It remains to be seen if they will be punished for the outages at the ballot box.

A train pulls up to the platform at Milsons Point station in Sydney. Photograph: Bianca de Marchi/AAP
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‘Gina’s an old family friend’

Liberal MP Anthony Roberts has confirmed that Gina Rinehart visited a polling booth in his electorate of Lane Cove today and handed out food.

A volunteer who was handing out at Putney Primary told Guardian Australia a white SUV pulled up around 4pm and Rinehart got out to hand Liberal volunteers meat pies.

Crossing live to Sky News just now from an election night function in his seat – where he is facing down a tough test from Climate 200-backed independent Victoria Davidson – Roberts confirmed Rinehart’s visit.

“Well Gina’s an old family friend,” he said.

Roberts said she handed out sandwiches and pies to volunteers of all candidates, not just Liberal volunteers.

“In the rain she was out there delivering to all booth workers,” Roberts said.

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Key seats to watch tonight

Here are some of the key seats to keep an eye on as results start coming in:

  • Penrith - held by former deputy Liberal leader Stuart Ayres on a wafer-thin 0.6% margin. Is seen as key for Labor’s chances to win government

  • East Hills - held by Labor on a 0.1% margin.

  • Murray - held by former former Shooters party MP turned independent Helen Dalton on a 2.8% margin. Dalton, her former party and Nationals make this a potential three-cornered contest.

  • Balmain - Held by retiring Greens MP Jamie Parker on a 10% margin.

  • Lane Cove - Held by Liberal frontbencher Anthony Roberts on a 14.7% margin. Being targeted by Climate 200-backed independent Victoria Davidson.

  • Wollondilly - Held by the Liberals on a 6% margin. Also being targeted by a Climate 200-backed independent.

  • Kogarah - Held by Labor leader Chris Minns on a 0.1% margin.

  • Heathcote - Held by the Liberals. But notionally Labor has a 1.7% margin.

  • Leppington - New seat. Notionally a Labor seat with a 1.5% margin.

  • Parramatta - Held by the Liberals on a 6.5% margin.

  • Goulburn - Held by the Liberals on a 3.1% margin.

Read more about the key seats to watch

People arrive to vote in the seat of Parramatta at the polling booth at Arthur Philip high school, Parramatta. Photograph: Jessica Hromas/The Guardian
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TV networks’ live coverage

We’ll keep you updated on the results as they come in, but here’s a quick guide for those of you wishing to tune in to the televised coverage at the same time!

The ABC’s coverage is being helmed by Sarah Ferguson, with David Speers and - of course - Antony Green leading the panel. Treasurer Matt Kean and senior Labor MP Penny Shape will join the panel.

Nine’s coverage is being led by Peter Overton and will feature two former premiers - Labor’s Morris Iemma and Liberal Mike Baird - as well as NSW education minister Sarah Mitchell.

Seven will have outgoing Liberal minister David Elliott, Labor frontbencher Jo Haylen and One Nation’s Mark Latham featuring in its coverage, which is being hosted by Amelia Brace and Michael Usher.

Kieran Gilbert is helming Sky News’ coverage, which will feature Peta Credlin, Graham Richardson, Joel Fitzgibbon, Barnaby Joyce and NSW metropolitan roads minister Natalie Ward.

ABC’s election analyst Antony Green. Photograph: ABC
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Michael McGowan
Michael McGowan

Latest from Labor HQ

Polls have closed across New South Wales and a few staffers are starting to file into the Labor party function at Brighton-Le-Sands in Chris Minns’ seat of Kogarah.

The party is favourite to form government - either in minority of majority - ending 12 years in opposition. The final Newspoll of the election has raised hopes within Labor that majority government could be in reach.

The stage is set for Labor’s election-night function at Brighton-Le-Sands in Chris Minns seat of Kogarah. pic.twitter.com/oDPfquAxVC

— Michael McGowan (@mmcgowan) March 25, 2023

But the expectation management game is already underway with party figures stressing that with a minimum nine seats required to form majority government and only four Coalition seats with a margin under 5%, it remains a narrow path to victory.

One of those seats, Goulburn in the state’s south, has not been held by Labor since 1965.

NSW Labor has only formed government twice from opposition, in 1976 and in 1995.

On the ABC, Coalition treasurer, Matt Kean, is also talking down the government’s chances of hanging on, saying the “deck is stacked against us” and that the party has “Mount Everest to climb”.

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Want to know a bit more about who could be the premier after the votes are counted?

My colleague Michael McGowan has sat down with both leaders ahead of today’s poll.

Read about why Dominic Perrottet has put his career on the line by poking the ClubsNSW beast and how Chris Minns has traded his charming firebrand persona for pragmatic centrism while we wait for the first results from today’s election.

Labor leader Chris Minns (left) and NSW premier Dominic Perrottet. Photograph: Dean Lewins, James Gourley/AAP
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Gina Rinehart reportedly spotted at Sydney voting booth

Tamsin Rose
Tamsin Rose

Volunteers for Lane Cove ‘teal’ candidate, Victoria Davidson, have told Guardian Australia that booths in Liberal Anthony Roberts‘s leafy north shore seat were visited by mining magnate Gina Rinehart this afternoon.

A volunteer called David who was handing out at Putney Primary told Guardian Australia a white SUV pulled up around 4pm and Rinehart got out to hand Liberal volunteers meat pies.

David said:

She was handing pies to the Liberal volunteers and she was saying what a great job they were doing. She was probably there for 10 minutes or so.

Apparently, they were warm, delicious pies.

A photo from another booth in the electorate appeared to show Rinehart beside a large white car with Australian flags attached to the top.

Mining magnate Gina Rinehart has been handing out pies in the the Liberal-held seat of Lane Cove this afternoon. A volunteer told me the recipients reported the pies were “warm and delicious”. pic.twitter.com/6to0kkLzVw

— Tamsin Rose (@tamsinroses) March 25, 2023

Guardian Australia has not confirmed with Rinehart herself.

The Daily Telegraph reported Rinehart sent Roberts meat pies while he was in Covid isolation in 2021.

Will we see a hung parliament?

It’ll be about half an hour before we start to see the first results.

Labor have been considered favourites heading into today, but polling has been tight.

There’s a chance that a winner won’t be clear tonight.

A hung parliament is also a strong possibility.

The magic number of seats needed to form government is 47.

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