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General election TV Q&A: Sunak refuses to accept tax burden will definitely rise during next parliament – as it happened

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Wed 12 Jun 2024 17.19 EDTFirst published on Wed 12 Jun 2024 03.52 EDT
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Taxes, child benefit and migration: Sunak and Starmer quizzed before election – video highlights

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Starmer and Sunak in Sky's leaders special - snap verdict

I’ve just heard a (normally wise) Sky presenter ask if this is going to change the election campaign. Of course it won’t (although that does not stop TV bosses hoping otherwise.) But what this might do is change the way these encounters are scheduled. This was a more sensible and revealing programme than the ITV leaders’ debate we had last week, partly because Beth Rigby was good, but mostly because Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak were subject to robust challenge, from the presenter (Rigby) and from the audience. Debating each other, they were also subject to challenge, but challenge that felt trite, misleading or feigned.

The audience was much more sceptical about Sunak (which is what you would expect, if it was representative of the nation as monitored by polling companies) and it would be surprising if any snap polling doesn’t favour the Labour leader. There was nothing particularly new in what Sunak had to say. But he sounded less tetchy and thin-skinned than in some of his campaign appearances, and he did not say anything that will cause his campaign fresh problems.

As explained earlier, Starmer was thrown onto the defensive right at the start as Rigby questioned him cleverly and consistently about Jeremy Corbyn. (See 8.21pm.) After that Starmer was fine. He did not really make big news either, but he was quite interesting when he talked about how, over time, he has become “much clearer in my own mind that the country must come first” (see 8.13pm), he did not seriously push back when Rigby helpfully interpreted what his answers about not ruling out tax rises meant (see 7.48pm), and he actually sounded as if he meant it when he talked about relishing the chance to take big decisions (see 7.56pm). Of the two, he seemed more prime ministerial.

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Key events

Evening summary

Rishi Sunak at the Sky News leaders special. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/Reuters

Sky leaders special - verdict from commentariat on X

And here is more analysis of who did best from journalists and political commentators. Generally they think Keir Starmer had the happier evening.

From the FT’s Lucy Fisher

First time this campaign that Starmer has been properly quizzed on his past support for Corbyn; u-turns on his leadership pledges; and the various tax rises he isn't ruling out

What a breath of fresh air this format is... & Beth Rigby is absolutely on fire - forensic and…

— Lucy Fisher (@LOS_Fisher) June 12, 2024

First time this campaign that Starmer has been properly quizzed on his past support for Corbyn; u-turns on his leadership pledges; and the various tax rises he isn’t ruling out What a breath of fresh air this format is... & Beth Rigby is absolutely on fire - forensic and focussed

Far from easy evening for Sunak either, as he was challenged on broken promises, the breakdown of trust in his leadership after partygate, D-Day error & more... PM looked deflated as he faced a tough audience

From Lewis Goodall from the News Agents podcast

Points of jeopardy for both leaders. Sunak still seems defeated. Starmer was bruised but kept the ming vase intact. But there were reminders of what could be frailties to come for him. He (like Sunak) can be deeply rigid. That'll be a problem for him when times are less good.

— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) June 12, 2024

Points of jeopardy for both leaders. Sunak still seems defeated. Starmer was bruised but kept the ming vase intact. But there were reminders of what could be frailties to come for him. He (like Sunak) can be deeply rigid. That’ll be a problem for him when times are less good.

From Kate McCann from Times Radio

So where are we at the end of that? Sunak came across as flat and defensive, Starmer was flat-footed at times but clearly more support in the room for him. Most revealing sense at the end of that was audience has priced in a Tory loss. They may not be thoroughly convinced by…

— Kate McCann (@KateEMcCann) June 12, 2024

So where are we at the end of that? Sunak came across as flat and defensive, Starmer was flat-footed at times but clearly more support in the room for him. Most revealing sense at the end of that was audience has priced in a Tory loss. They may not be thoroughly convinced by Starmer but they’ve largely stopped listening to Sunak and it felt like he knew that too.

From Harry Cole from the Sun

LIVE BLOG:

No knock out blows for either leader, but plenty of punches landed by the crowd and the presenter.

Starmer did better than BBC outing, but Sunak desperately needs to perk up despite his rough few days.

Easily the TV event of the campaign, so far... But not the last…

— Harry Cole (@MrHarryCole) June 12, 2024

No knock out blows for either leader, but plenty of punches landed by the crowd and the presenter.

Starmer did better than BBC outing, but Sunak desperately needs to perk up despite his rough few days.

Easily the TV event of the campaign, so far... But not the last time these two will be grilled.

From Kitty Donaldson from the i

My snap verdict on the leader's debate:

Starmer did struggle, but Sunak looked hangdog. Contempt for the political class shone through the audience reactionshttps://t.co/8cWLfNhiV1

— Kitty Donaldson (@kitty_donaldson) June 12, 2024

My snap verdict on the leader’s debate:

Starmer did struggle, but Sunak looked hangdog. Contempt for the political class shone through the audience reactions

From Darren McCaffrey from Sky

🗳️#BattleForNo10

Most uncomfortable part overall was Starmer on Corbyn, he really had no answer. For the PM, his continual expression of frustration with tax, migration and NHS doesn’t really work when you are the PM

Both did much better with audience Q+A

— Darren McCaffrey (@darrenmccaffrey) June 12, 2024

Most uncomfortable part overall was Starmer on Corbyn, he really had no answer. For the PM, his continual expression of frustration with tax, migration and NHS doesn’t really work when you are the PM

Both did much better with audience Q+A

Overall I think it was a score draw for both, again this is not good for Sunak as he really needs to win these things to move public open The audience though were great, properly engaged and ballsy

From David Maddox from the Independent

Sunak is much better on detail than Starmer. He is keeping his calm against a hostile audience. His answers to the audience members actually engage with their concerns.

— David Maddox (@DavidPBMaddox) June 12, 2024

Sunak is much better on detail than Starmer. He is keeping his calm against a hostile audience. His answers to the audience members actually engage with their concerns

From Adam Bienkov from Byline Times

Rishi Sunak looked tonight like a man who was desperate to be literally anywhere else but fighting an election campaign pic.twitter.com/ih2ijaeiEx

— Adam Bienkov (@AdamBienkov) June 12, 2024

Rishi Sunak looked tonight like a man who was desperate to be literally anywhere else but fighting an election campaign

From Matthew d’Ancona from the New European

Rishi Sunak is a suboptimal advert for AI

— Matthew d'Ancona (@MatthewdAncona) June 12, 2024

Rishi Sunak is a suboptimal advert for AI

From the writer and broadcaster Steve Richards

Rishi Sunak has kept going in recent months in spite of traumatic setbacks..he looks crushed tonight.

— steve richards (@steverichards14) June 12, 2024

Rishi Sunak has kept going in recent months in spite of traumatic setbacks..he looks crushed tonight.

From the writer Robert Harris

Beth Rigby proving by far the best interviewer in this election campaign. Far sharper than the party leaders. Pity she isn’t on the ballot paper.

— Robert Harris (@Robert___Harris) June 12, 2024

Beth Rigby proving by far the best interviewer in this election campaign. Far sharper than the party leaders. Pity she isn’t on the ballot paper.

From Sophia Sleigh from the Sun on Sunday

Winner of this debate has to be the audience. Taking no prisoners. 💥🥊

Polite heckling, interrupting, cynical. Love to see it.

— Sophia Sleigh (@SophiaSleigh) June 12, 2024

Winner of this debate has to be the audience. Taking no prisoners. 💥🥊

Polite heckling, interrupting, cynical. Love to see it.

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What Labour, Tories, Lib Dems and SNP say about Sky's leaders special

This is what the main political parties are saying about the Sky leaders special.

From Labour

Keir Starmer showed in his answers tonight that he will always put country before party. That’s what has driven the changes he has made to Labour over the past few years.

Rishi Sunak showed tonight that he’s out of touch and unable to deliver. The Conservatives will leave mortgage holders £4,800 worse off.

From the Conservatives

Keir Starmer wasn’t honest when he ran to be Labour leader and he’s not being honest now.

He said he wouldn’t pay for private healthcare for his loved ones last week. This week he’s admitted he has it.

From the Liberal Democrats

Rishi Sunak blaming others for soaring NHS waiting lists under his watch shows just how out of touch he is.

The legacy of his government is one of crumbling hospitals, people waiting hours for an ambulance and patients being treated in corridors.

From the SNP

Tonight’s debate was another depressing watch for viewers in Scotland - without anything more than a passing mention of Scotland across the 90-minute broadcast.

Most notable was Sir Keir Starmer’s shameful refusal to lift 1 million children out of poverty by scrapping the two-child limit. That is quite simply unforgivable.

Why experts say tax burden would rise in next parliament under Tory plans, despite PM refusing to accept that

During his interview with Beth Rigby, Rishi Sunak refused to accept that the tax burden would definitely go up over the next parliament. He argued you could not say, without knowing how big the economy might be at that point. (See 8.40am.)

Rigby was asking about an analysis by Ed Conway, Sky’s economics editor. Here is the chart.

The chart of mine @rishisunak says he hasn’t seen.
The tax burden WILL be higher at the end of the next parliament - even after his manifesto tax cuts come into force. pic.twitter.com/PiPjD1v9cI

— Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky) June 12, 2024

As Conway says, the Institute for Fiscal Studies also says the tax burden would go up in the next parliament under Tory plans.

Despite proposing significant tax cuts, today's Conservative manifesto would – if implemented – still leave the forecast for tax revenue as a share of national income at its highest level since the 1940s.https://t.co/WYRWLbilwo pic.twitter.com/ElWQoFiO5C

— Institute for Fiscal Studies (@TheIFS) June 11, 2024

Starmer won Sky News leaders special, beating Sunak by 64% to 36%, poll suggests

A snap poll by YouGov suggests that, by a margin of almost two to one, viewers thought Keir Starmer was better than Rishi Sunak. This is from Sky’s Sam Coates.

Who won Sky Event according YouGov?

Sunak 36%
Starmer 64%

1864 respondents

— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) June 12, 2024

Starmer and Sunak in Sky's leaders special - snap verdict

I’ve just heard a (normally wise) Sky presenter ask if this is going to change the election campaign. Of course it won’t (although that does not stop TV bosses hoping otherwise.) But what this might do is change the way these encounters are scheduled. This was a more sensible and revealing programme than the ITV leaders’ debate we had last week, partly because Beth Rigby was good, but mostly because Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak were subject to robust challenge, from the presenter (Rigby) and from the audience. Debating each other, they were also subject to challenge, but challenge that felt trite, misleading or feigned.

The audience was much more sceptical about Sunak (which is what you would expect, if it was representative of the nation as monitored by polling companies) and it would be surprising if any snap polling doesn’t favour the Labour leader. There was nothing particularly new in what Sunak had to say. But he sounded less tetchy and thin-skinned than in some of his campaign appearances, and he did not say anything that will cause his campaign fresh problems.

As explained earlier, Starmer was thrown onto the defensive right at the start as Rigby questioned him cleverly and consistently about Jeremy Corbyn. (See 8.21pm.) After that Starmer was fine. He did not really make big news either, but he was quite interesting when he talked about how, over time, he has become “much clearer in my own mind that the country must come first” (see 8.13pm), he did not seriously push back when Rigby helpfully interpreted what his answers about not ruling out tax rises meant (see 7.48pm), and he actually sounded as if he meant it when he talked about relishing the chance to take big decisions (see 7.56pm). Of the two, he seemed more prime ministerial.

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A young man asks the next question, saying various policies, like national service, imply Sunak does not have the interests of young people at heart.

Sunak says he has two young girls. He thinks the national service plan will make a difference. Parents are excited by it, he says.

He says the government will also curb investment in “rip-off degrees”, and fund more apprenticeships.

And there is help for young people to buy a home, he says.

These are bold ideas that will make a difference.

Q: What will happen if people say no. Will they get criminal records?

Of course not, says Sunak. He says he would set up a royal commission to recommend how this should happen. There would be “an appropriate mix of incentives and sanctions”, he says.

Q: But young people are the future. You are moving away from them.

Sunak says he does not view society as us versus them. Young people have grandparents. Government can introduce policies that help both, he says.

And that is the end of the core part of the programme. Sky is now broadcasting reaction.

Rishi Sunak. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/Reuters

The next questioner, Amy, says she is a former Tory party chair but is ashamed of the way he missed part of the D-day commemoration.

Sunak repeats his apology, and says he did not mean to cause offence. Under his plans, he would deliver a secure future.

Amy refers to the picture of the Queen on her own at Philip Philip’s funeral, when they were holding parties in No 10. She says the party has a lot to do to rebuild trust.

Sunak says the rules should have been followed. He deeply regrets what happened. Trust takes time to rebuild, he says. The manifesto sets out a direction for the future.

Q: Should people who want a Tory government vote Reform?

Sunak says a vote for Reform will let Keir Starmer back into No 10.

Someone shouts at Sunak, saying he has failed.

Starmer won’t match the triple lock plus, he claims.

This is from Kate McCann from Times Radio in the spin room at the event.

Something telling... Spin room was attentive right til the end of Starmer's audience Q section. Fair to say there's a lot more chatting/wandering/scrolling through Sunak's answers here.

— Kate McCann (@KateEMcCann) June 12, 2024

Something telling... Spin room was attentive right til the end of Starmer’s audience Q section. Fair to say there’s a lot more chatting/wandering/scrolling through Sunak’s answers here.

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Christina goes next, asking about racism and misogyny in the police.

Sunak say misogyny, racism and discrimination has no place in the police.

He says a small number of people were behaving in a way that was reprehensible.

And there are particular problems in the Met, he says.

He says police numbers are at a record high. And the Tories would put another 8,000 officers on the street, he says.

The next question is from someone working in the NHS.

Q: Staff are burnt out. I have experienced being left eight hours on a stretcher in A&E. How will you restore the NHS?

Sunak says he is sorry to hear about the questioner’s experience. He comes from an NHs family, he says. His dad was a doctor and his mum was a pharmacist. He says the NHS does not train enough staff. Now it has a long-term workforce plan.

A woman in the audience intervenes. She says the NHS is short of staff. Creating new hubs won’t help, she says.

Sunak says the government is recruiting more members of staff too.

And he says he disagrees with the questioner. Doing things in hubs outside hospital can improve the service, he says.

Rishi Sunak speaking with Sky's political editor Beth Rigby. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/AP

Sunak takes questions from audience

The first questioner, Ian, says mortgages have become less affordable since Liz Truss’s mini-budget. Why have you ruined things for young people, and will you do it again?

Sunak asks about Ian’s daughter, who is 19 and was thinking of buying a home.

He says there are two plans in the Tory manifesto that would help: abolishing stamp duty up to £425,000, and a new version of Help to Buy, letting people buy a home with a 5% mortgage.

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Q: You were once popular. Can you tell us something that might make people like you again?

Sunak says people think he has a healthy diet. But he eats a lot of sugar – lots of haribos and Twixes. He is not sure if that will make people like him, but it is something about him, he says.

Sunak refuses to accept tax burden will definitely rise over course of next parliament

Rigby turns to tax. She says Ed Conway, Sky’s economics editor, says the tax burden is going up.

Sunak says he has not seen that analysis. He says he is cutting taxes for people now.

Q: Taxes as a proportion of national income are going up from 36.5% to 36.7% at the end of the next parliament.

Sunak says his plans will bring down tax. He says he has not seen Conway’s numbers.

“Do your homework,” someone shouts.

Q: Are you saying it is not going up a proportion of national income?

Sunak says he does not know how big the economy will be at the end of the next parliament.

Rishi Sunak. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/Reuters
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Q: People voted for Brexit to control immigration?

Yes, says Sunak.

Rigby quotes net migration figures – 1.9 million in the last three years, but 836,000 in the three years to Brexit.

Sunak says the numbers are too high. But he is starting to bring them down, he says. The government is on track to halve net migration in a year’s time, he says. He lists measures that have affected this.

Q: What will the legal cap on migration be?

Sunak does not answer that.

Rigby quotes Sunak’s predecessors all saying they would bring immigration down.

Q: Why should anyone believe what you are saying?

That prompts a round of applause.

Sunak says he is bringing net migration down.

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