Government investment in energy generation and storage can ensure a reliable NEM over the next decade – provided they keep up the pace.
The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) recently released their 2024 Electricity Statement of Opportunities Report (ESOO). It surveys current and committed investments to provide an outlook on grid reliability within the National Energy Market over the next decade.
Our Takeaways:
➡ Federal and State government investment programs in new generation, transmission and storage must be delivered “in full and on time” if reliability risks are to be managed.
➡ The outlook has improved since the last ESOO. In the past year, 5.7GW of generation capacity has progressed to anticipated and committed status – of which batteries comprise 3.9GW.
➡ Consumer energy resources (CER) – meaning household solar and batteries, and certain EVs – will play an increasingly important role in grid stability. Some estimates predict CER will supply over 20% of total demand, and CER contribution to supply will reach 5 times the current supply by 2054.
➡ Queensland is leading the way in renewable energy delivery and supporting commercialisation of local battery technology.
Our Outlook:
The AEMO notes that “for longer duration peak demand events, battery storage duration will also influence the capability for battery projects to mitigate reliability risks." This is why evaluating and adopting long-duration batteries, like grid-scale flow batteries, will be crucial as fossil fuel generators are retired.
Australia has several long-duration battery manufacturing proponents. Since its inception, the AMBC has highlighted the benefits of deploying locally manufactured products for economic development and jobs. As well as why policy support for the battery supply chain needs to be maintained to facilitate more local content in batteries. The AMBC is formulating its next stage of policy recommendations and contributions are welcome.
🔗 Find the full report linked in the comments.
Department of Industry, Science and Resources, Department of Energy and Climate, Department of Resources (Queensland), Department of State Development and Infrastructure, Ed Husic MP, Paul Martyn, Mick de Brenni, Michele Bauer, Carlye Sycz, Gavin Loyden, Dominic Spooner, Tom Northcott, Allegro Energy, Redflow.