SHORT TERM BETS
Daily Trading Desk: Short term trading bets. First, a tech stock for 6% and a real estate stock for 7% gain
The markets experienced little action with negligible gains as the Nifty 50 Index remained in a flat range. The breakout is spreading to more sectors as market breadth turns better. Tata Tech shows signs of trend reversal, while Century Textiles broke out from a horizontal resistance, suggesting a potential 7% upmove.
Why this Adani bull is raising its bet on Ambuja Cements
Ambuja Cements, owned by Adani Group, saw an investment boost from GQG Partners, increasing their stake to 2.04%. Shares rose 4% following the deal. The Adani Group plans to raise Rs 30,000 crore by selling shares in its listed firms. Adani is aggressively expanding its cement business to challenge market leader UltraTech.
Indian state-run firms set to issue long term bonds to meet investor demand
At least four state-run firms-THDC India, NHPC, India Infrastructure Finance, and Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency - which have not been frequent issuers, are set to tap the market with bond offerings ranging from 10 to 15 years, according to three merchant bankers.
Here's why media or exhibition stocks can be short-term tactical bets
So, we are really seeing a lot of these companies changing the business model and having a far faster path to profitability and low cash burn and hence as they are all sort of doing this, you are seeing the market starting to re-rate them.
More Indian firms on US short-sellers' target? What they can do
Hindenburg Research's second report on the Adani Group, targeting SEBI chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch, has had minimal impact on markets. Analysts view the report as sensationalist, with Adani stocks remaining stable compared to the previous Hindenburg report. Despite this, Hindenburg has stood by its claims, and the short-seller's practices continue to be a concern for global companies.
Mark Mobius will invest 50:50 in US and India for next 6 months, 1 year and beyond 3 years. Here’s why
Mark Mobius emphasized the global influence on the US markets, with significant earnings from emerging countries like India. He recommended a diversified portfolio focusing on US and Indian equities for the short and long term and highlighted the potential short-term gains from fixed income investments. Mobius cautioned against certain Latin American and African markets.
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Traders lose billions on big volatility short after stocks rout
A sudden stock market selloff led to massive losses for those betting on market stability. The CBOE VIX index spiked sharply, erasing billions from short-volatility ETFs. Both retail and institutional investors suffered, highlighting the dangers of betting against market volatility.
Rohit Srivastava on 3 sectors to bet on for near term
In India also, if I look at the breadth indicator, advance decline line, that has also reached oversold and it has gotten there not just because of the last four days. In India, we have actually been seeing stocks weaken against the market for a couple of weeks.
A ‘textbook turnaround Tuesday’ doesn’t mean meltdown is over
Even a healthy Tuesday rebound in equities is unlikely to temper the broad unease growing across financial markets. Investors that buy and sell based on quantitative measures, such as volatility, have offloaded $130 billion of stock bets the past few weeks and that process may accelerate in the days and week ahead.
Wall Street 'fear gauge' logs record jump as investors bet on more turbulence
The Cboe Volatility Index had its largest intraday jump on Monday and closed at its highest level since October 2020 due to U.S. recession fears and global market sell-offs. The S&P 500 witnessed substantial declines, causing investors to scramble for hedging strategies, leading to the surge in the volatility index.
Budget 2024: Realty, banks, defence among 9 sectors that appear short term losers. Here's why
As the dust around the Union Budget 2024 settles down, potential losers in the market as a result of announcements or rather lack of it, are coming to the fore.
Short term, avoid defence & EMS; better to bet on 5 other themes: Sandeep Tandon
The hotel sector has the potential to move up. One can also consider the insurance sector. Within the BFI side space, insurance has been a laggard for the last four years both on the general and health side. There is good opportunity, both in the private as well the public sectors. Quant likes that also apart from FMCG, pharma and larger infra themes.
Rising F&O trade a macro issue; household savings going into speculation: Sebi chief Madhabi Buch
Sebi chief raises concerns about investor safety as F&O volumes increase. Young investors experiencing significant losses in the segment. Turnover in derivatives market sees a substantial rise, prompting regulatory shifts. Retail traders shown to lose money in majority of trades.
It is a struggle to invest money in short-term now, says Madhu Kela; points to best way to regulate F&O market
The smartest way to regulate the F&O market is to increase the lot size so that the retail people cannot get in basically, says Madhu Kela. You do not want to kill the market. Already there is so much taxation that is unreal. There is STT, income tax, dividend distribution tax, buyback tax, long-term capital gains tax and short-term capital gains tax.
No tax rebate u/s 87A allowed on short term capital gains from equities despite being eligible, what experts demand from govt
Income tax rebate u/s 87A: No tax rebate is being given if you have sold mutual fund or shares and earned short term capital gains. This issue is happening when ITR utity is being used for filing the tax return. All Gujarat Federation of Tax Consultants and Income Tax Bar Association and Bombay Chartered Accountants' Society (BCAS) have sent a representation to the FM.
Gold extends record rally on Fed rate-cut bets, softer dollar
Gold prices surged to a record high due to expectations of a Fed rate cut and a weaker dollar. Spot gold briefly reached $2,483.60 before a slight drop. Fed officials hint at upcoming rate cut amidst economic uncertainty. Other precious metals like silver, platinum, and palladium also experienced price fluctuations.
Betting on 4 pockets with valuation comfort & earnings visibility: Hemang Jani
Valuation-wise there is not much of a scope in HCL Tech. At 25 times 25 earnings, the best-case earning growth that one is looking at is 7- 8%. So, there is a certain degree of interest but it is not as if things are going to be great in terms of earnings growth. Hemang Hani preferred TCS and some of the midcap companies on meaningful corrections.
Asian stocks fall after US tech slump; Yen swings: Markets wrap
Asian equities fell amid US inflation signs. Yen fluctuated due to Bank of Japan actions. Japanese shares, Kospi dropped, while Australian shares rose. Nasdaq 100 fell 2.2%. S&P 500 and small-caps gained. Rate cut optimism drove riskier investments. West Texas Intermediate rose; gold steady. July rate cut a longshot. AI boosts megacap tech. Treasury yields down.
Jump in FII long-short ratio sans correction may be a new Normal
Market confuses with record FII long-short ratio surge, hinting at shifting dynamics post-election. Chandan Taparia notes unusual stability despite ratio near 5, credits India's growing equity culture for market surge.
Capture the theme at the right time: Is investment in EV a good long-term bet?
The rise in EVs can be attributed to two main factors, first, a substantial global push by governments to achieve net zero emissions through various policy measures; and second, a nearly 90% decrease in battery costs over the past ten years, which has made EVs more affordable and, as a result, brought them closer to cost parity with internal combustion engines (ICE)
Retail traders are getting bigger than ever in US stock options
Retail traders were responsible for 18.3% of the total options activity in June, a record, the bank’s strategists led by Bram Kaplan wrote Friday in a note to clients on Friday. More than 60% of their orders were for contracts expiring a week out or less, with technology options being of the highest demand among single-stock trades.
India story strong but vulnerable to bit of profit taking in short term: Jonathan Schiessl
I think the underlying India story still looks very strong and so that yes, it is at the moment just the market is probably vulnerable to a bit of profit taking in the very short term.
FMCG to outperform in near term; bet on Bata, Marico and Nestle: Sanjiv Bhasin
FIIs outlook will keep rotating on sectors. But sectoral outperformance is there. You are getting a trading opportunity in some of the PSUs and we continue to think AB Birla Group is being re-rated and that is going to be a star performer this year.
FPIs may cut bearish bets, releasing bulls on D-Street today
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) hold record bearish positions in index futures - mainly the Nifty - pegged at $2.8 billion, or ₹23,400 crore, in terms of contract value, according to Nuvama Research data.
2 large-cap stocks Sandip Sabharwal is bullish on for near term
I think when I am saying that you should have some cash at that time, recommending stocks to buy is tough. But I think where people should be looking at is trying to buy into I think consumer names which have not participated so much and which will actually outperform if there is a correction also.
Feroze Azeez on what one should bet on with a 1-year, 3-year and five-year horizon
Feroze Azeez, Deputy CEO of Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, provides insights on market triggers, FII positioning, earnings growth, valuations, investor sentiment, and recommended sectors for investment, including financial services, rail and highways, and renewable energy. Azeez also points out that earnings have doubled in the five-year fiscal, which is a great five-year earning cycle.
Bet on PSUs only if bullish on India growth story; never in the short-term: Anand Sharma
Anand Sharma discusses the extensive impact of public sector enterprises in various sectors under government control, emphasizing the wide theme of PSU equity with a focus on power, oil, financials, logistics, metals, and mining. Sharma says , PSU equity fund is a thematic fund and should be a smaller part of any investors investable corpus.
Sanjiv Bhasin on 3 bets that’ll make you money in near and medium term
Sanjiv Bhasin says the "Nifty now looks poised to regain 22,500, 22600. So, largecaps should be the biggest beneficiaries as we plough back and metals and commodities are leading. But Elon Musk's visit is not just symbolic, it is a showcase of the potential of what our economy holds for investing after China plus one will be even bigger icing on the cake."
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