2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
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All 14 North Carolina seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold
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Elections in North Carolina |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 8, 2022, to elect U.S. representatives from the state of North Carolina, concurrent with nationwide elections to the House of Representatives and U.S. Senate (including in North Carolina), alongside legislative elections to the state house and senate. Primaries were held on May 17, 2022.[1]
Background
[edit]As a result of population growth over the preceding decade, the state's Congressional delegation increased from thirteen seats to fourteen in 2022. Republican-drawn districts adopted by the state legislature were struck down by the North Carolina Supreme Court as an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander, and court-drawn maps issued in their place.[2] Democrats flipped the redrawn 13th district from Republican control, and won the newly created 14th district, yielding an even 7–7 House delegation.
District 1
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![]() County results Davis: 50–60% 60–70% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Davis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Smith: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who was re-elected with 54.2% of the vote in 2020.[3]
The 1st district includes Vance, Warren, Franklin, Halifax, Northampton, Nash, Wilson, Edgecombe, Greene, Martin, Bertie, Hertford, Gates, Chowan, Perquimans, Pasquotank, Washington, and Tyrell counties. It also includes the majority of Pitt County.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Don Davis, state senator from the 5th district[4]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Julian Bishop Sr.[5]
- Erica Smith, former state senator from the 3rd district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 and 2022[6]
- Jason Spriggs, Henderson city councilor[7]
Withdrawn
[edit]Declined
[edit]- G. K. Butterfield, incumbent U.S. Representative[9] (endorsed Davis)[10]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. representatives
- G. K. Butterfield, U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 1st congressional district (2004–2022)[10]
- Jim Clyburn, U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 6th congressional district (1993–present) and House Majority Whip (2007–2011, 2019–2023)[11]
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[12]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[13]
- New Politics[14]
- North Carolina AFL–CIO[15]
- Sierra Club[16] (post primary)
- Vote Vets[17]
U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[18]
U.S. representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative for Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[19]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. Representative for Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district (2013–)[20]
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. Representative for Maryland's 8th congressional district (2017–)[20]
Organizations
- Brand New Congress[21]
- Congressional Progressive Caucus[22]
- Democracy for America[23]
- J Street[24]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[25]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[26]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[27]
- Progressive Democrats of America[28]
- Sierra Club[16]
- Sunrise Movement[29]
- Working Families Party[30]
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[31]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Davis |
Erica Smith |
Other | Undecided |
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GQR Research (D)[32][A] | May 6–8, 2022 | 407 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 31% | 3% | 22% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Don Davis | 42,693 | 63.2 | |
Democratic | Erica D. Smith | 21,012 | 31.1 | |
Democratic | Jason Spriggs | 2,123 | 3.1 | |
Democratic | Julian Bishop Sr. | 1,752 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 67,580 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Will Aiken, police officer and businessman[5]
- Brad Murphy, tech entrepreneur[5]
- Ernest Reeves, retired U.S. Army captain[5]
- Brent Roberson, businessman[5]
- Sandy Roberson, Mayor of Rocky Mount[5]
- Billy Strickland, attorney and former chairman of the Wayne County Republican Party[5]
- Henry Williams II, perennial candidate[5][35]
Endorsements
[edit]State legislators
U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[37]
Organizations
- FreedomWorks for America[38] (post primary)
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Sandy Smith | 13,621 | 31.4 | |
Republican | Sandy Roberson | 11,603 | 26.7 | |
Republican | Billy Strickland | 6,050 | 13.9 | |
Republican | Brent Roberson | 5,992 | 13.8 | |
Republican | Brad Murphy | 4,128 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Will Aiken | 1,285 | 3.0 | |
Republican | Ernest Reeves | 523 | 1.2 | |
Republican | Henry Williams II | 202 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 43,404 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely D | October 25, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Likely D | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Lean D | October 12, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Likely D | May 23, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Tossup | September 29, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Lean D | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Lean D | October 18, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D | October 26, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Don Davis (D) |
Sandy Smith (R) |
Undecided |
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GQR Research (D)[48][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 402 (LV) | – | 54% | 39% | 7% |
RMG Research[49] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
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GQR Research (D)[48][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 402 (LV) | – | 52% | 43% | 5% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Don Davis | 134,996 | 52.4 | |
Republican | Sandy Smith | 122,780 | 47.6 | |
Total votes | 257,776 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
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![]() Precinct results Ross: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Villaverde: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Deborah Ross, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]
The 2nd district includes most of Wake County, including the state capital of Raleigh and surrounding towns such as Apex and Cary.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Michael Camero - Democratic party North Carolina District 2
Nominee
[edit]- Deborah Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative[5]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Christine Villaverde | 19,650 | 55.1 | |
Republican | Max Ganorkar | 9,133 | 25.6 | |
Republican | Adina Safta | 6,872 | 19.3 | |
Total votes | 35,655 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Labor unions
Organizations
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Deborah Ross (incumbent) | 190,714 | 64.7 | |
Republican | Christine Villaverde | 104,155 | 35.3 | |
Total votes | 294,869 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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![]() County results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Murphy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Gaskins: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Greg Murphy, who was re-elected with 63.4% of the vote in 2020.[3]
The 3rd district includes Beaufort, Camden, Carteret, Craven, Currituck, Dare, Hyde, Jones, Lenoir, Pamlico, Sampson counties, as well as portions of Pitt and Wayne counties.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Greg Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative[54]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Tony Cowden, small business owner[5]
- Eric Earhart[5]
- Brian Michael Friend[5]
- George Papastrat, business owner[5]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 50,123 | 75.7 | |
Republican | Tony Cowden | 9,332 | 14.1 | |
Republican | Eric Earhart | 3,274 | 4.9 | |
Republican | George Papastrat | 1,789 | 2.7 | |
Republican | Brian Michael Friend | 1,698 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 66,216 | 100.0 |
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[55]
Organizations
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Barbara Gaskins, nonprofit founder[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Joe Swartz, U.S. Army veteran[5]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Barbara Gaskins | 23,051 | 80.8 | |
Democratic | Joe Swartz | 5,495 | 19.2 | |
Total votes | 28,546 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 166,520 | 66.9 | ||
Democratic | Barbara Gaskins | 82,378 | 33.1 | ||
Total votes | 248,898 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 4
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![]() County results Foushee: 50–60% 70–80% 80–90% Geels: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Foushee: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Geels: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat David Price, who was re-elected with 67.3% of the vote in 2020.[3] On October 18, 2021, he announced his retirement.[57]
The 4th district includes Durham, Orange, Alamance, Granville, and Person counties, as well as a small section of Caswell County.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Valerie Foushee, state senator (since 2013)[58]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Clay Aiken, former American Idol runner-up, activist, and nominee for NC-02 in 2014[59]
- Nida Allam, Durham County Commissioner (since 2020)[60]
- Crystal Cavalier[5]
- Matt Grooms[5]
- Stephen Valentine[5]
- Ashley Ward, Duke University Senior Policy Associate[61]
- Richard Watkins III, scientist and candidate for NC-04 in 2018[58]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Wiley Nickel, state senator (since 2019)[5][62] (running in North Carolina's 13th congressional district)
Declined
[edit]- Zack Hawkins, state representative (since 2019)[62]
- Jessica Holmes, former Wake County Commissioner and nominee for Commissioner of Labor in 2020[62]
- Matt Hughes, Hillsborough Town Commissioner[62]
- Floyd McKissick Jr., former state senator (2007–2020)[62]
- Graig Meyer, state representative (since 2013)[62]
- Natalie Murdock, state senator (since 2020)[62][58]
- David Price, incumbent U.S. Representative[57]
- Mike Woodward, state senator (since 2013)[62][58]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present)[65]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[18]
U.S. representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[66]
- Raja Krishnamoorthi, U.S. Representative from Illinois's 8th congressional district (2017–present)[67]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from New York's 14th congressional district (2019–present)[67]
- Ilhan Omar, U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 5th congressional district (2019–present)[68]
- Rashida Tlaib, U.S. Representative from Michigan's 13th congressional district (2019–present)[69]
State officials
- Keith Ellison, Attorney General of Minnesota (2019–present) and former U.S. representative from Minnesota's 5th congressional district (2007–2019)[29]
State legislators
- Marcia Morey, state representative (since 2017)[70] (previously endorsed Foushee)[58]
Individuals
- Don Cheadle, actor[71]
Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[72]
- Brand New Congress[21]
- Democracy for America[23]
- End Citizens United[73]
- North Carolina Democratic Party Progressive Caucus[74]
- Peace Action[75]
- Sunrise Movement[29]
- Working Families Party[76]
Labor unions
Newspapers and publications
U.S. representatives
- G. K. Butterfield, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 1st congressional district (2004–present)[18]
State officials
- Josh Stein, North Carolina Attorney General (2017–present)[77]
State legislators
- Graig Meyer, state representative (since 2013)[58]
- Mickey Michaux, former state senator (2020) and former state representative (1973–1977; 1985–2019)[58]
Marcia Morey, state representative (since 2017)[58] (switched endorsement to Allam)[70]- Natalie Murdock, state senator (since 2020)[58]
- Sam Searcy, former state senator (2019–2020)[58]
- Mike Woodard, state senator (since 2013)[58]
Newspapers
Organizations
- AIPAC[81]
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[77]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[82]
- EMILY's List[83]
- Equality North Carolina[52]
- Giffords (post primary)[84]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[85]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America (post primary)[86]
- Sierra Club[16]
Labor unions
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Clay Aiken |
Nida Allam |
Valerie Foushee |
Other | Undecided |
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Impact Research (D)[88][B] | April 25–28, 2022 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 10% | 16% | 35% | 8% | 30% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Valerie Foushee | 40,806 | 46.1 | |
Democratic | Nida Allam | 32,731 | 37.0 | |
Democratic | Clay Aiken | 6,529 | 7.4 | |
Democratic | Ashley Ward | 4,767 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Richard Watkins III | 1,155 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Crystal Cavalier | 1,116 | 1.3 | |
Democratic | Stephen Valentine | 1,023 | 1.2 | |
Democratic | Matt Grooms | 435 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 88,562 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Courtney Geels, healthcare worker[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Courtney Geels | 19,645 | 64.5 | |
Republican | Robert Thomas | 10,793 | 35.5 | |
Total votes | 30,438 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Valerie Foushee | 194,983 | 66.9 | |
Republican | Courtney Geels | 96,442 | 33.1 | |
Total votes | 291,425 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results Foxx: 70–80% 80–90% Parrish: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Foxx: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Parrish: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican Virginia Foxx, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2020.
The 5th district includes Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Davie, Mitchell, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes, and Yadkin counties. It also includes portions of Caldwell and Forsyth counties.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Virginia Foxx, incumbent U.S. Representative[90]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Ackerman, former CCSO deputy[91]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[92]
Organizations
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 61,680 | 76.6 | |
Republican | Michael Ackerman | 18,868 | 23.4 | |
Total votes | 80,548 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kyle Parrish, IT worker[5]
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
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Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 175,279 | 63.1 | ||
Democratic | Kyle Parrish | 102,269 | 36.9 | ||
Total votes | 277,548 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 6
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![]() County results Manning: 50–60% Castelli: 40–50% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Manning: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Castelli: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Democrat Kathy Manning, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2020.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Kathy Manning, incumbent U.S. Representative[94]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Christian Castelli, Army veteran[95]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Gerry Austin, former police officer[5]
- Marvin Boguslawski[95]
- Mary Ann Contogiannis[5]
- Lee Haywood, nominee for North Carolina's 6th congressional district in 2020[96]
- Laura Pichardo[5]
- Bill Schuch, former police officer[5]
Endorsements
[edit]Individuals
- Mark Robinson, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina[97]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christian Castelli | 15,450 | 36.2 | |
Republican | Lee Haywood | 14,390 | 33.7 | |
Republican | Mary Ann Contogiannis | 5,211 | 12.2 | |
Republican | Gerry Austin | 2,568 | 6.0 | |
Republican | Laura Pichardo | 1,889 | 4.4 | |
Republican | Marvin Boguslawski | 1,716 | 4.0 | |
Republican | Bill Schuch | 1,452 | 3.4 | |
Total votes | 42,676 | 100.0 |
Independents and third parties
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Thomas Watercott (Libertarian)[5]
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Likely D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid D | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Likely D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Lean D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Likely D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Likely D | August 22, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Likely D | November 8, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D | August 2, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Likely D | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kathy Manning (D) |
Christian Castelli (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RMG Research[101] | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kathy Manning (incumbent) | 139,553 | 53.9 | |
Republican | Christian Castelli | 116,635 | 45.0 | |
Libertarian | Thomas Watercott | 2,810 | 1.1 | |
Total votes | 258,998 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 7
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![]() County results Rouzer: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Rouzer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Graham: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The incumbent was Republican David Rouzer, who was re-elected with 60.2% of the vote in 2020.[3]
The 7th district includes Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Pender, and Robeson counties, as well as a portion of Cumberland County.
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- David Rouzer, incumbent U.S. Representative[102]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Max Southworth-Beckwith, businessman and U.S. Marine veteran[5]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[103]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 39,203 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Max Southworth-Beckwith | 10,300 | 20.8 | |
Total votes | 49,503 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Charles Graham, state representative (since 2011)[104][105]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Charles Evans, Cumberland County commissioner[106][5]
- Yushonda Midgette[5]
- Steve Miller, retired chemist[107][34]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Jason Minnicozzi, assistant public defender[108] (running for N.C. Senate)
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- North Carolina AFL–CIO[15]
- Sierra Club[16]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charles Graham | 13,054 | 31.2 | |
Democratic | Charles E. Evans | 12,263 | 29.3 | |
Democratic | Steve Miller | 9,744 | 23.3 | |
Democratic | Yushonda Midgette | 6,738 | 16.1 | |
Total votes | 41,799 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | November 7, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 164,047 | 57.7 | ||
Democratic | Charles Graham | 120,222 | 42.3 | ||
Total votes | 284,269 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 8
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results Bishop: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Bishop: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Huffman: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Dan Bishop, who was re-elected with 55.6% of the vote in 2020.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Dan Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 9th congressional district[109]
Declined
[edit]- Jon Hardister, state representative (running for re-election)[110][111]
- Richard Hudson, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in North Carolina's 9th congressional district)[109]
- Mark Walker, former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district (2015–2021)[112] (running for U.S. Senate)[110]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[113]
Organizations
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Scott Huffman, businessman and nominee for North Carolina's 13th congressional district in 2020[115][116]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dan Bishop (incumbent) | 183,998 | 69.9 | ||
Democratic | Scott Huffman | 79,192 | 30.1 | ||
Total votes | 263,190 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 9
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results Hudson: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Clark: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Hudson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Clark: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, Republican Representatives Richard Hudson and Ted Budd were moved to the same district. Budd declared his candidacy for U.S. Senate.[117]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Richard Hudson, incumbent U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 8th congressional district[109]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]- Peter Boykin, political commentator (running for NC House District 63)[5]
- Grayson Haff (running for NC House District 83)[115]
- Nat Robertson, former mayor of Fayetteville (2013–2017)[118] (previously filed to run in the new 4th district drawn by the state legislature, then withdrew due to court redistricting)[119]
- John Szoka, state representative (since 2013)[120][121] (running for Cumberland County Commissioner at-Large)[122]
Declined
[edit]- Dan Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative (running in North Carolina's 8th congressional district)[109]
- Ted Budd, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for U.S. Senate)[117]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 38,117 | 79.2 | |
Republican | Jennyfer Bucardo | 4,175 | 8.7 | |
Republican | Michael Adriani | 3,950 | 8.2 | |
Republican | Francisco Rios | 1,891 | 3.9 | |
Total votes | 48,133 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Withdrawn
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | April 19, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Likely R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 131,453 | 56.5 | ||
Democratic | Ben Clark | 101,202 | 43.5 | ||
Total votes | 232,655 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 10
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results McHenry: 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results McHenry: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Genant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Patrick McHenry, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Patrick McHenry, incumbent U.S. Representative[128]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States (2017–2021)[132]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 49,973 | 68.1 | |
Republican | Gary Robinson | 11,671 | 15.9 | |
Republican | Michael Magnotta | 4,703 | 6.4 | |
Republican | Jeff Gregory | 3,649 | 5.0 | |
Republican | Richard Speer | 3,381 | 4.6 | |
Total votes | 73,377 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Michael Felder[5]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Pam Genant | 13,028 | 77.5 | |
Democratic | Michael Felder | 3,790 | 22.5 | |
Total votes | 16,818 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 194,681 | 72.6 | ||
Democratic | Pam Genant | 73,174 | 27.3 | ||
Write-in | 352 | 0.1 | |||
Total votes | 268,207 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 11
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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![]() County results Edwards: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Beach-Ferrara: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Edwards: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Beach-Ferrara: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Republican Madison Cawthorn, who was elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[3] Due to Cawthorn's role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack, and other controversies, he was primaried by North Carolina State Senator Chuck Edwards. Cawthorn was defeated by Edwards in the primary election.
The 11th district includes Cherokee, Graham, Clay, Macon, Swain, Jackson, Haywood, Transylvania, Henderson, Buncombe, Madison, Yancey, Polk, and McDowell counties, as well as the western half of Rutherford County.
Republican primary
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Chuck Edwards, state senator[134][5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Matthew Burril[5]
- Madison Cawthorn, incumbent U.S. Representative[135][136][137]
- Rod Honeycutt, former U.S. Army colonel[138]
- Wendy Nevarez, social security claims specialist and U.S. Navy veteran[139]
- Bruce O'Connell, hotel manager[140]
- Kristie Sluder[5]
- Michele Woodhouse, North Carolina Republican Party District Chair for NC-11[141]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Eric Batchelor, Haywood County deputy sheriff[142][143]
Declined
[edit]- Kevin Corbin, state senator[144][145]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[146][147]
Organizations
U.S. senators
- Thom Tillis, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2015–present)[149]
State legislators
- Phil Berger, President pro tempore of the North Carolina Senate (2011–present) from the 30th, 26th, and 12th districts (2001–present)[149]
- Tim Moore, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives (2015–present) from the 111th district (2003–present)[149]
U.S. senators
- Richard Burr, U.S. Senator from North Carolina (2005–2023), former U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 5th congressional district (1995–2005)[149]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Matthew Burril |
Madison Cawthorn |
Chuck Edwards |
Rod Honeycutt |
Bruce O'Connell |
Wendy Nevarez |
Kristie Sluder |
Michele Woodhouse |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Differentiators Data (R)[150][C] | April 25–26, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 5% | – | 21% |
Differentiators Data (R)[151][C] | March 10–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 3% | 49% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | – | 23% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[152][D] | March 10–13, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | – | 52% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 17% |
Spry Strategies (R)[153][E] | March 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 62% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 11% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chuck Edwards | 29,496 | 33.4 | |
Republican | Madison Cawthorn (incumbent) | 28,112 | 31.9 | |
Republican | Matthew Burril | 8,341 | 9.5 | |
Republican | Bruce O'Connell | 6,037 | 6.8 | |
Republican | Rod Honeycutt | 5,775 | 6.5 | |
Republican | Michele Woodhouse | 4,668 | 5.3 | |
Republican | Wendy Nevarez | 4,525 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Kristie Sluder | 1,304 | 1.5 | |
Total votes | 88,258 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jasmine Beach-Ferrara, Buncombe County commissioner[154]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jay Carey, U.S. Army veteran[155][34]
- Katie Dean, auto repair shop owner[140][34]
- Marco Gutierrez[5]
- Bo Hess, psychotherapist[156][34]
- Bynum Lunsford[5]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Eric Gash, pastor[157][158]
- Josh Remillard, veteran[159] (running for N.C. House)[160]
- Brooker Smith, U.S. Air Force veteran[161][34]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Equality North Carolina[52]
- Equality PAC[162] (post primary)
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[163]
- LPAC[164]
- North Carolina AFL–CIO[15]
- Sierra Club[16]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jasmine Beach-Ferrara | 32,478 | 59.7 | |
Democratic | Katie Dean | 13,957 | 25.6 | |
Democratic | Jay Carey | 3,858 | 7.1 | |
Democratic | Bo Hess | 2,082 | 3.8 | |
Democratic | Marco Gutierrez | 1,040 | 1.9 | |
Democratic | Bynum Lunsford | 1,002 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 54,417 | 100.0 |
Independents and third parties
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- David Coatney (Libertarian)[165]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid R | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid R | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid R | May 23, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Likely R | November 4, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Chuck Edwards (R) |
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) |
David Coatney (L) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey 160 (D)[166][F] | May 18–20, 2022 | 308 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 46% | 40% | 6% | 8% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Chuck Edwards | 174,232 | 53.8 | ||
Democratic | Jasmine Beach-Ferrara | 144,165 | 44.5 | ||
Libertarian | David Coatney | 5,515 | 1.7 | ||
Total votes | 323,912 | 100.0 | |||
Republican hold |
District 12
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
![]() Results Adams: 60–70% Lee: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Adams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lee: 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
|
The incumbent was Democrat Alma Adams, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.[3]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Alma Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative[167][109]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- John Sharkey[5]
Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
- Equality North Carolina[52]
- Feminist Majority PAC[53]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[168]
- North Carolina AFL–CIO[15]
- Progressive Democrats of America[169]
- Sierra Club[16]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 37,984 | 91.7 | |
Democratic | John Sharkey | 3,460 | 8.3 | |
Total votes | 41,444 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Tyler Lee, real estate investor[170]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tyler Lee | 10,388 | 42.9 | |
Republican | Andrew Huffman | 8,311 | 34.3 | |
Republican | Nalini Joseph | 5,543 | 22.9 | |
Total votes | 24,242 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe D | March 2, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 140,494 | 62.8 | |
Republican | Tyler Lee | 83,414 | 37.2 | |
Total votes | 223,908 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 13
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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Results Nickel: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hines: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.
The 13th district includes all of Johnston County, the southern half of Wake County, the western half of Wayne County, and the eastern half of Harnett County.
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9f/ReneeEllmers113th_%28cropped%29.jpg/122px-ReneeEllmers113th_%28cropped%29.jpg)
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- DeVan Barbour, RNC Delegate[5]
- Kelly Daughtry, attorney and daughter of N. Leo Daughtry[5]
- Renee Ellmers, former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 2nd congressional district (2011–2017) and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2020[129][173][172]
- Kent Keirsey, businessman and U.S. Army reserve officer[95][34]
- Jessica Morel[5]
- Chad Slotta, businessman[5]
- Kevin Alan Wolff[5]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[174]
U.S. representatives
- Kat Cammack, U.S. Representative from Florida's 3rd congressional district (2021–present)
- Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)[175]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative from Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021–present)[176]
Individuals
- Ryan Fournier, chairman of Students for Trump[175]
- Catalina Lauf, Illinois congressional candidate and former Trump administration staffer[175]
- Karoline Leavitt, New Hampshire congressional candidate and former assistant press secretary to Donald Trump[175]
Organizations
- Club for Growth[114]
- House Freedom Fund[177]
- Turning Point Action[148]
U.S. senators
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[178]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
DeVan Barbour |
Tony Cowden |
Kelly Daughtry |
Bo Hines |
Alan Swain |
John Szoka |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence (R)[179] | February 2022 | – (LV) | – | 7% | 1% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 51% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bo Hines | 17,602 | 32.1 | |
Republican | DeVan Barbour | 12,426 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Kelly Daughtry | 9,300 | 16.9 | |
Republican | Kent Keirsey | 6,223 | 11.3 | |
Republican | Renee Ellmers | 5,176 | 9.4 | |
Republican | Chad Slotta | 3,074 | 5.6 | |
Republican | Jessica Morel | 738 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Kevin Alan Wolff | 344 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 54,883 | 100.0 |
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/ce/SamSearcy_%28cropped%29.jpeg/128px-SamSearcy_%28cropped%29.jpeg)
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Wiley Nickel, state senator (since 2019)[5][62] (previously filed to run in North Carolina's 4th congressional district)
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jamie Campbell Bowles[5]
- Nathan Click, Air Force veteran and small business owner[180][62]
- Denton Lee, teacher and unaffiliated candidate for North Carolina's 26th General Assembly District in 2020[5]
- Sam Searcy, former state senator (2019–2020)[181]
Endorsements
[edit]State officials
- Rufus L. Edmisten, former North Carolina Secretary of State (1989–1996), former North Carolina Attorney General (1974–1984)[182]
State legislators
- Allen Wellons, former member of the North Carolina Senate from the 11th district (1997–2003)[182]
Newspapers and publications
Organizations
- Alliance for Retired Americans[184]
- Equality North Carolina[52]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[185]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[186]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America (post primary)[86]
- Sierra Club[16]
Labor unions
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Wiley Nickel | 23,155 | 51.6 | |
Democratic | Sam Searcy | 10,284 | 22.9 | |
Democratic | Jamie Campbell Bowles | 4,217 | 9.4 | |
Democratic | Nathan Click | 3,866 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Denton Lee | 3,311 | 7.4 | |
Total votes | 44,833 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Tossup | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Tossup | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Lean R | July 28, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Tossup | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Lean R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Lean R | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Likely R | October 21, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Tossup | September 28, 2022 |
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Bo Hines (R) |
Wiley Nickel (D) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[188] | August 6 – October 24, 2022 | October 26, 2022 | 41.8% | 42.6% | 15.6% | Nickel +0.9 |
Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bo Hines (R) |
Wiley Nickel (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA (R)[189][G] | October 21–24, 2022 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 44% | – | 13% |
Global Strategy Group (D)[190] | August 29 – September 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[191] | August 23–24, 2022 | 506 (V) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 40% | – | 20% |
RMG Research[192] | July 31 – August 6, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 39% | 3% | 14% |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[193][H] | May 18–19, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 43% | 45% | – | 12% |
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[194][I] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[195][I] | October 18, 2022 | – | – | 42% | 42% | 16% |
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[193][H] | May 18–19, 2022 | 429 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Wiley Nickel | 143,090 | 51.6 | ||
Republican | Bo Hines | 134,256 | 48.4 | ||
Total votes | 277,346 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
District 14
[edit]![]() | |||||||||||||||||
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Jackson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Harrigan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
|
Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this is a new district with no incumbent.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jeff Jackson, state senator from the 37th district (2014–present) (previously ran for U.S. Senate)[196][197][198]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Chaz Beasley, former state representative from the 92nd district (2017–2021), candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2020[200]
- Julie Eiselt, Mayor Pro Tem of Charlotte (2017–present), At-Large Member of the Charlotte City Council (2015–present)[200][197]
- Malcolm Graham, Member of the Charlotte City Council from the 2nd district (2019–present) and 1st district (1999–2004), former state senator from the 40th district (2005–2015)[197]
- Brandon Lofton, state representative from the 104th district (2019–present)[200][201] (running for re-election)
- Vi Lyles, Mayor of Charlotte (2017–present), former Mayor Pro Tempore of Charlotte (2015–2017)[197] (running for re-election)[202]
- Dan McCready, former U.S. Marine, businessman, and nominee for North Carolina's 9th congressional district in 2018 and 2019[200]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 34,724 | 86.1 | |
Democratic | Ramin Mammadov | 5,598 | 13.9 | |
Total votes | 40,322 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Pat Harrigan, businessman and Green Beret[203][5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Jonathan Simpson, entrepreneur and infantry officer in the United States Army National Guard.[citation needed]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Pat Harrigan | 27,638 | 75.6 | |
Republican | Jonathan Simpson | 8,909 | 24.4 | |
Total votes | 36,547 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Endorsements
[edit]Organizations
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[39] | Solid D (flip) | February 23, 2022 |
Inside Elections[40] | Solid D (flip) | August 25, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe D (flip) | September 29, 2022 |
Politico[42] | Likely D (flip) | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[43] | Likely D (flip) | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[44] | Solid D (flip) | October 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[45] | Likely D (flip) | July 20, 2022 |
538[46] | Solid D (flip) | September 29, 2022 |
The Economist[47] | Safe D (flip) | September 28, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jeff Jackson | 148,738 | 57.7 | ||
Republican | Pat Harrigan | 109,014 | 42.3 | ||
Total votes | 257,752 | 100.0 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Davis's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Foushee
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by GOPAC, which has not endorsed any candidate in the Republican primary for the 11th congressional district
- ^ Poll sponsored by Edwards's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Cawthorn's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Beach-Ferrara's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the John Locke Foundation, a conservative think tank.
- ^ a b This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC.
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC.
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- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses 14 Pro-Equality Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". Human Rights Campaign. July 6, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "Wiley Nickel Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District". June 29, 2022. Retrieved July 2, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Primary Endorsements: US House and Senate". INDY Week. April 27, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ SurveyUSA (R)
- ^ Global Strategy Group (D) Archived September 7, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ RMG Research
- ^ a b DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ @JoeBrunoWSOC9 (February 23, 2022). "Another person to watch: Jeff Jackson-- who has plenty of cash from his Senate run" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b c d @Sharrison_WFAE (February 24, 2022). "Scratch @SenatorMGraham off list for possible Dems running for the new NC#14. "Juice is not worth the squeeze," he…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Wright, Will (February 25, 2022). "Jeff Jackson will run for Congress in new district with parts of Charlotte". Retrieved February 25, 2022.
- ^ "Mammadov announces bid for 9th District seat". www.richmondobserver.com. The Richmond Observer. Archived from the original on November 5, 2021. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
- ^ a b c d @JoeBrunoWSOC9 (February 23, 2022). "One democratic strategist tells me he believes @LoftonforNC would be a strong candidate for the 14th District. You'…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @JoeBrunoWSOC9 (March 1, 2022). "Lofton was seen as a potential #NC14 contender. He's running for re-election to the NC House" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @JoeBrunoWSOC9 (February 28, 2022). "Mayor Vi Lyles will file for re-election today at 4:15" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Wright, Will. "Gas prices, blaming Biden center of new Republican ad running in Charlotte". The Charlotte Observer.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Jeff Jackson for Congress". August 2, 2022.
- ^ "LVC Action Fund Endorses Jeff Jackson for Congress". April 7, 2022. Retrieved July 3, 2022.
- ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Six Candidates for Election to the U.S. House in Four Key States". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 19, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Barbara Gaskins (D) for Congress Archived February 12, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Greg Murphy (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Valerie Foushee (D) for Congress
- Courtney Geels (R) for Congress Archived March 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
- Pam Genant (D) for Congress Archived February 12, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Patrick McHenry (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
- Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D) for Congress Archived March 25, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- Chuck Edwards (R) for Congress
Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
- Alma Adams (D) for Congress
- Tyler Lee (R) for Congress Archived June 5, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates