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Predecir el valor Futuro de una Start-Up: ¿Es Hora de Nuevos Métodos? Predecir el futuro en una start-up es una tarea intrínsecamente complicada. Los métodos tradicionales como el Método de los Excesos de Ganancias Económicas (MPEEM, por sus siglas en inglés) han demostrado ser insuficientes en este contexto. Este enfoque se centra en los flujos de efectivo relacionados con un único activo intangible, típicamente el principal activo de la empresa. Como su nombre sugiere, el MPEEM cuantifica los flujos de efectivo residuales (o excesos) generados por el principal activo intangible y descuenta esos flujos de efectivo a su valor presente. Sin embargo, en el volátil y dinámico universo de las start-ups, estos modelos no logran capturar la complejidad y la incertidumbre que caracteriza a estas empresas emergentes. Es hora de replantearse los métodos. Es hora de innovar. La inteligencia artificial (#IA) y las técnicas econométricas representan la vanguardia de las soluciones analíticas y ofrecen un camino prometedor para producir estimaciones mucho más precisas y confiables. Estos métodos avanzados permiten analizar grandes volúmenes de datos en tiempo real, identificar patrones ocultos y realizar predicciones precisas que anteriormente eran inalcanzables. La IA, con su capacidad para aprender y adaptarse, puede ajustar continuamente sus modelos para reflejar cambios en el mercado y las condiciones de la empresa. Los métodos econométricos, por su parte, proporcionan un marco robusto para analizar las relaciones económicas y pueden incorporar múltiples variables y factores externos que impactan en el rendimiento de la start-up. Combinando estas herramientas, podemos desarrollar métodos innovadores que no sólo superan las limitaciones del MPEEM, sino que también proporcionan a los emprendedores una previsión más clara y precisa. Las start-ups, que viven y mueren por su capacidad de adaptación rápida y su visión de futuro, encontrarán en estas nuevas metodologías un aliado esencial para navegar en aguas inciertas y tomar decisiones estratégicas informadas. El futuro no es predecible con exactitud, pero podemos acercarnos mucho más a esa meta. La clave está en abrazar la innovación y dejar atrás los métodos que ya no cumplen con las exigencias de un mundo en constante cambio.

Do you expect valuations to be more or less attractive in the next six to 12 months than they were in the past six to 12 months?

Wich factors do you view as the most important to driving an increase in IPO activity (choose up to three)

Do you expect total dollars of #VC investment in technology #startups to increase or decrease over the next 12 months compared with the previous 12 months?

Absolutely thrilled to share these insightful #VentureCapital survey demographics! 🌟🚀 📝 Roles in VC Firms: The majority are General Partners, followed by Principals. It's exciting to see such leadership diversity! #Leadership #Investment 🌍 VC Firm Locations: A global presence with 35.8% from the US and a strong 34% from Europe! The venture world is truly international. #GlobalInvesting #VC 💡 Tech Investments: Various technologies lead the way, with SaaS and Healthtech also taking significant slices. Innovation is thriving across the board. #TechTrends #Innovation 💰 Firm AUM: Almost 60% of firms manage under $50M, showcasing a vibrant mix of firm sizes and growth potentials. #Finance #Growth Stay tuned for more insights and trends in the VC landscape! 📊✨ #Startups #Entrepreneurship #Data

It was a slow start to the year for #realestate #fundraising, with 37 private closed-end vehicles receiving a cumulative $16.1 billion in commitments in Q1 2024. Should activity continue at this rate, the asset class will not even reach 2023’s $91.3 billion in raised capital, which itself was a 12-year low. However, Q1’s numbers will climb as we capture more fund closings, and activity could pick up throughout the rest of 2024. Still, there is no denying that it is a difficult time to raise a real estate fund. On top of the challenges faced by the private markets more broadly, two of the core four real estate sectors—office and multifamily—are riddled with uncertainty around their future performance

🚀 Despite the widespread expectations of a slowdown due to tighter monetary policy, economic growth has continued to defy predictions! The latest data indicates strong contributions to real GDP growth, especially from consumer spending and nonresidential fixed investment. 📈 In Q3 2022, we saw a remarkable surge, with consumer spending and inventory changes playing significant roles. Fast forward to 2023, and while growth has moderated, the resilience is evident with contributions across various sectors, including residential investment and government spending. As of Q1 2024, consumer spending remains robust, and nonresidential fixed investment continues to be a key driver, demonstrating that the economy is adapting and thriving even under stringent monetary conditions. The YoY growth rates for these core GDP drivers highlight a steady upward trend, with consumer spending at 3.9% and nonresidential investment at 2.4%. This data underscores the resilience and adaptability of our economy. It’s an exciting time for businesses and investors alike, as we navigate and capitalize on these dynamic economic conditions. #EconomicGrowth #MonetaryPolicy #GDP #ConsumerSpending #Investment #BusinessGrowth #Economy  #Resilience #EconomicTrends

Q1 2024 extended #AI ’s run of outlier-fueled deal totals. Out of the $21.6 billion in AI & ML #VC funding in the quarter, we attributed $5.3 billion to foundation model megadeals for Anthropic, Mistral AI, and xAI. Thus far in Q2 2024, xAI and Mistral AI are already continuing the trend of megadeals, suggesting that financial VCs can continue the momentum set by corporate VC investors last year. Though it invested $650 million while hiring the team, Microsoft’s takeover of Inflection AI did not add to this total, but the deal demonstrated the strong position of corporates with the companies they have invested in. Leading #LLM performance and access to unique datasets can justify large deals, with pure talent concentration becoming less important given the underperformance of some promising teams. The focus on early-stage leaders shows up in the median early-stage pre-money valuation exceeding the late-stage median, reaching $55.0 million across 78 recorded valuations.

In Q1 2024, the #gaming ecosystem modestly increased in deal value QoQ while deal count reached parity with Q4 2023’s total. $1.3 billion was invested across 153 deals, marking deltas of 22.1% and -0.6%, respectively. This excludes Disney’s $1.5 billion late-stage investment into Epic Games per our research methodology, as the deal has yet to close. With the hype-driven investment throughout the COVID-19 pandemic further in the rearview mirror, YoY deal value ticked upward 23.3% while deal count slid 17.3%. The #gaming venture market has reached a steady state over the past six quarters, each of which has produced between $800.0 million and $1.4 billion in investments, a more realistic band as “tourist” Web3 and Metaverse capital dries up. At this pace, 2024 is on track to exceed 2023’s aggregate funding by about $1.0 billion.

2023 marked a sharp decline for #ecommerce from the historic highs of the previous two years: $8.9 billion was generated across 461 deals compared to 2022’s $31.8 billion raised from 972 deals, decreases of 72% and 53%, respectively. In Q4 2023, there were 116 ecommerce deals worth a combined $3.8 billion, a more than 100% increase in deal value quarter-over-quarter. Startups working in the prepurchase space raised $135.3 million across 21 deals in Q4.