Oscar predictions: After NBR and DC

The Washington, D.C. Film Critics Association has now chimed in with its annual winners, including The Artist for Best Picture and Hugo‘s Martin Scorsese for Best Director. Its acting prizes, meanwhile, went to George Clooney (The Descendants), Michelle Williams (My Week With Marilyn), Octavia Spencer (The Help), and Albert Brooks (Drive). Here’s how the six main Oscar races stand, after the D.C. critics and last week’s National Board of Review announcement.

BEST PICTURE

1. The Artist (last week: 1)

2. The Descendants (last week: 2)

3. War Horse (last week: 3)

4. Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 4)

5. Midnight in Paris (last week: 5)

6. The Help (last week: 6)

7. Hugo (last week: 9)

8. Moneyball (last week: 7)

9. The Ides of March (last week: 8 )

10. The Tree of Life (last week: 10)

11. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 11)

12. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows — Part 2 (last week: 13)

13. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 12)

14. Drive (last week: –)

15. J. Edgar (last week: 15)

(Falling off: Young Adult)

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist (last week: 1)

2. Alexander Payne, The Descendants (last week: 2)

3. Steven Spielberg, War Horse (last week: 3)

4. Stephen Daldry, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 4)

5. Martin Scorsese, Hugo (last week: 9)

6. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris (last week: 5)

7. Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life (last week: 7)

8. David Fincher, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 6)

9. Bennett Miller, Moneyball (last week: 8 )

10. Tate Taylor, The Help (last week: 10)

11. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 11)

12. Nicolas Winding Refn, Drive (last week: –)

(Falling off: Steve McQueen, Shame)

BEST ACTOR

1. George Clooney, The Descendants (last week: 1)

2. Jean Dujardin, The Artist (last week: 2)

3. Brad Pitt, Moneyball (last week: 3)

4. Michael Fassbender, Shame (last week: 4)

5. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar (last week: 5)

6. Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy (last week: 6)

7. Woody Harrelson, Rampart (last week: 7)

8. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March (last week: 8 )

9. Ryan Gosling, Drive (last week: 9)

10. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter (last week: 10)

11. Demián Bichir, A Better Life (last week: 11)

12. Matt Damon, We Bought A Zoo (last week: 12)

BEST ACTRESS

1. Viola Davis, The Help (last week: 1)

2. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady (last week: 2)

3. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 3)

4. Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs (last week: 4)

5. Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin (last week: 7)

6. Charlize Theron, Young Adult (last week: 5)

7. Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo (last week: 6)

8. Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene (last week: 8 )

9. Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method (last week: 9)

10. Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia (last week: 10)

11. Felicity Jones, Like Crazy (last week: 11)

12. Ellen Barkin, Another Happy Day (last week: 12)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Christopher Plummer, Beginners (last week: 1)

2. Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 2)

3. Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn (last week: 3)

4. Albert Brooks, Drive (last week: 5)

5. Jonah Hill, Moneyball (last week: 4)

6. George Clooney, The Ides of March (last week: 6)

7. Christoph Waltz, Carnage (last week: 7)

8. Armie Hammer, J. Edgar (last week: 8 )

9. Robert Forster, The Descendants (last week: 10)

10. Nick Nolte, Warrior (last week: 11)

11. John Hawkes, Martha Marcy May Marlene (last week: –)

12. Andy Serkis, Rise of the Planet of the Apes (last week: –)

(Falling off: Tom Hanks, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close; Stellan Skarsgard, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Octavia Spencer, The Help (last week: 1)

2. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants (last week: 2)

3. Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus (last week: 4)

4. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist (last week: 5)

5. Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs (last week: 3)

6. Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids (last week: 6)

7. Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (last week: 8 )

8. Jessica Chastain, The Help (last week: 7)

9. Judy Greer, The Descendants (last week: 9)

10. Carey Mulligan, Shame (last week: 12)

11. Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life (last week: 10)

12. Kate Winslet, Carnage (last week: 11)

Dave on Twitter: @davekarger

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