TV Article Tony nominees -- Our predictions By Thom Geier Published on April 27, 2012 08:36PM EDT Photo: Richard Termine The Tony Awards season is heating up. The Tony administration committee met today to decide eligibility for various categories: One Man, Two Guvnors will compete for best (new) play despite a push from its producers to be considered in the less-competitive revival category (the comedy is loosely based on Carlo Goldoni’s 1743 play Servant of Two Masters). James Earl Jones will be up for Lead Actor in a Play for Gore Vidal’s The Best Man. Ricky Martin will contend as Featured Actor in a Musical even though his name is above the title of Evita. And in a real head-scratcher, Newsies sidekick Ben Fankhauser is up for Lead Actor in a Musical even though he has less stage time than Martin and not a single solo number. But whose names will be called when Kristin Chenoweth and Jim Parsons announce the nominations this Tuesday at 8:30 a.m.? After the jump, check out our predictions in the major categories. (The awards will be handed out June 10 at the Beacon Theatre, in a Neil Patrick Harris-hosted ceremony airing on CBS.) Disagree with our picks? Well, that’s why the gods of theater (and websites) created the comments section! Best Musical Leap of Faith Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once Newsies and Once are sure things. Nice Work is a safe bet. But the fourth slot could go to any of three shows without a lot of critical support: Ghost, Leap of Faith, or Spider-Man: Turn Off the Dark. Best Play Clybourne Park One Man, Two Guvnors Other Desert Cities Peter and the Starcatcher The first three on this list are locks. Other plays vying for that fourth slot include The Columnist, The Lyons, and The Mountaintop. Best Musical Revival Evita Follies The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess Jesus Christ Superstar Best Play Revival Death of a Salesman Gore Vidal’s The Best Man A Streetcar Named Desire Wit Best Actress, Musical Jan Maxwell, Follies Audra McDonald, The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess Cristin Milioti, Once Kelli O’Hara, Nice Work If You Can Get It Bernadette Peters, Follies In this scenario, Elena Roger fails to make the cut for Evita. Best Actor, Musical Danny Burstein, Follies Raul Esparza, Leap of Faith Jeremy Jordan, Newsies Steve Kazee, Once Norm Lewis, The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess Burstein, Jordan, Kazee, and Lewis are all sure things. The fifth slot is a showdown between four-time nominee Esparza, Matthew Broderick (Nice Work If You Can Get It), and Reeve Carney (Spider-Man: Turn Off the Dark). Best Actress, Play Nina Arianda, Venus in Fur Tracie Bennett, End of the Rainbow Stockard Channing, Other Desert Cities Linda Lavin, The Lyons Cynthia Nixon, Wit This is arguably the year’s most competitive category. Nixon has the weakest claim on a nomination. Her slot could easily go to one of three others: Angela Bassett (The Mountaintop), Nicole Ari Parker (A Streetcar Named Desire), or Tyne Daly (Master Class). Best Actor, Play James Corden, One Man, Two Guvnors Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Death of a Salesman James Earl Jones, Gore Vidal’s The Best Man John Lithgow, The Columnist Alan Rickman, Seminar The final nod could also go to either Stacy Keach (Other Desert Cities) or Samuel L. Jackson (The Mountaintop). Featured Actress, Musical Jayne Houdyshell, Follies Judy Kaye, Nice Work If You Can Get It Elaine Page, Follies Da’Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost NaTasha Yvette Williams, The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess Melissa van der Schyff has received Outer Critics and Drama Desk nods for playing Clyde’s uptight sister-in-law in the short-lived Bonnie & Clyde. But if I were in charge, Lindsay Nicole Chambers would be recognized for her scene-stealing turn in the equally short-lived Lysistrata Jones. Featured Actor, Musical Phillip Boykin, The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess Michael Cerveris, Evita Ricky Martin, Evita Michael McGrath, Nice Work If You Can Get It Patrick Page, Spider-Man: Turn Off the Dark Martin’s chances for a nomination improve with his shift from the lead actor category, but a nomination ain’t necessarily so. For one thing, Porgy and Bess star David Alan Grier could sneak into his slot. Featured Actress, Play Linda Emond, Death of a Salesman Spencer Kayden, Don’t Dress for Dinner Angela Lansbury, Gore Vidal’s The Best Man Judith Light, Other Desert Cities Annie Parisse, Clybourne Park Featured Actor, Play Christian Borle, Peter and the Starcatcher Tom Edden, One Man, Two Guvnors Andrew Garfield, Death of a Salesman Jeremy Shamos, Clybourne Park Frank Wood, Clybourne Park Director, Play Nicholas Hytner, One Man, Two Guvnors Pam MacKinnon, Clybourne Park Joe Mantello, Other Desert Cities Mike Nichols, Death of a Salesman Director, Musical Jeff Calhoun, Newsies Michael Grandage, Evita Eric Schaeffer, Follies John Tiffany, Once Read more: EW’s Stage Coverage Broadway’s new ‘Annie’ Lilla Crawford talks landing the role of a lifetime Emma Stone, Paul Rudd, James Woods, and Lena Dunham will read ‘The Apartment’ for Jason Reitman ‘Bring It On: The Musical’: Stream musical number ‘It’s All Happening’ here — EXCLUSIVE