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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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918 FXUS64 KLIX 111822 AFDLIX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 122 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 108 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern for the next couple of days. Tonight through Tuesday morning, conditions will continue to be drier and hot. Isolated chance of showers is possible tomorrow afternoon, which could have some lightning and brief, gusty winds (30-40mph). But for much of the area, tomorrow will be dry and similar to the conditions we saw this past weekend. Highs are forecast to be in the upper 90s with heat index values in the low to mid 100s for most of the area. Be sure to stay hydrated! MSW && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday night) Issued at 108 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Tuesday through the end of the workweek, a shortwave trough attempts to push into the area as the ridge weakens slightly. There are still a lot of areas of uncertainty in the models on how far south this trough will be able to push and also how much moisture it will bring with it. Regardless, models tend to agree that there will be enough moisture to allow our more normal summertime pattern to resume with daily PoPs around 30-40% for the long term forecast. These scattered showers will have the potential for some lightning and brief, gusty winds (30-40mph) where they occur. But the coverage will not be enough to provide widespread relief from the heat. Temperatures will remain hot with highs in the upper 90s, but with increasing humidities throughout the week, the heat index values are forecast to once again increase as the week progresses. Heat index values are forecast to be between 108-112 degrees Tuesday through the end of the week. So, make sure to stay hydrated this week and take frequent breaks! MSW && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 108 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 VFR conditions prevail at all area airports and will persist through the forecast period. MSW && .MARINE... Issued at 108 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024 Benign marine conditions expected for the rest of the forecast period with moderate (10-15kts) and predominantly southerly winds expected. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible daily, which could have lighting and gusty 30-40mph winds, which could be a hazard to mariners. MSW && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MCB 71 96 74 97 / 0 20 0 10 BTR 77 99 79 100 / 0 20 0 20 ASD 76 98 77 98 / 0 20 0 20 MSY 79 96 79 97 / 0 20 0 20 GPT 78 95 79 96 / 0 10 10 20 PQL 75 100 77 100 / 0 10 10 20 && .LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...MSW LONG TERM....MSW AVIATION...MSW MARINE...MSW