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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
547 FNUS55 KTWC 121216 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected across southeast Arizona through Friday. Min RH values today will be 7-15 percent in valley locations and 14-25 percent in the mountains, rising 5-8 percent on Friday. Increasing moisture Saturday through Monday will result in a chance of showers and thunderstorms, along with min RH values increasing into the 20-40 percent range in the valleys and even higher in the mountains. 20-foot winds will be south-southwest at 15-20 mph and higher gusts today and Friday. Lighter winds return this weekend, with the exception of gusty and erratic winds in/near thunderstorms. Southwest winds of 15-20 mph and higher gusts will start off the new week, next Monday and Tuesday. AZZ150-122215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........95 to 105 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............8 to 18 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 25 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. * Mixing Height............10906 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 23 to 29 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (316274 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. .FRIDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............5 or moderate. * Mixing Height............11146 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 21 to 24 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (267504 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 26 to 36 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 84 to 94. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 83 to 93. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 35 to 45 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 81 to 91. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 83 to 93. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-122215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............11 to 20 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............9393 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 16 to 22 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (206646 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .FRIDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. * Mixing Height............9399 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 16 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (169182 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 45 to 55 pct. .MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 76 to 86. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 76 to 86. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49 to 59. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-122215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............10 to 19 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. * Mixing Height............10246 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 11 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184428 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .FRIDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........86 to 96 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............9774 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 to 13 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (127062 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 38 to 48 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 76 to 86. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 47 to 57 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 77 to 87. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 78 to 88. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-122215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........77 to 87 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Min Humidity.............15 to 25 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. * Mixing Height............10277 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 16 to 20 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (205540 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........50 to 60 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............44 to 54 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. .FRIDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........75 to 85 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............4 or low. * Mixing Height............9311 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 to 13 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (121043 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 76 to 86. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to 29 pct. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 71 to 81. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 66 to 76. South wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 48 to 58 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 67 to 77. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 68 to 78. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-122215- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 516 AM MST Thu Sep 12 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............14 to 24 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. * Mixing Height............11271 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 to 19 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (191607 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear. * Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............3 or very low. .FRIDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature..........76 to 86 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............2 or very low. * Mixing Height............10826 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 14 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (162390 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 74 to 84. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 68 to 78. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 51 to 61 pct. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 66 to 76. South wind around 20 mph. Minimum Humidity 58 to 68 pct. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 66 to 76. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 68 to 78. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson