A string of underwhelming performances on Thursday nights has set the backdrop for what could be a similar affair between the Cardinals and Saints — two teams that have struggled with consistency through the first six weeks of the season. Will we see a similar story in this one?
Here are three of our favorite prop bets to target ahead of Thursday night:
Chris Olave Over 63.5 receiving yards (-114)
Few receivers have generated more yardage downfield than Olave, who is being overlooked with this number, though I’m not entirely sure why.
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Following a 41-yard effort in Week 1, the rookie wideout averaged six catches for 98 yards on 11 targets per game over the next three weeks, recording at least 67 yards in all three contests. He was on pace for a similar output in Week 5, too, posting 54 receiving yards before leaving early in the third quarter with a concussion.
That injury sidelined him last week, but he should be good to go this week against a flimsy Cardinals defense that ranks 24th in pass defense DVOA thanks to one of the worst secondaries in football. Regardless which quarterback starts for New Orleans on Thursday, if Olave is 100 percent, it should be his time to shine once again.
Wil Lutz Over 6.5 kicking points (-125)
Thursday night has been a kicking paradise this season, with a combined 19 field goals in five weeks and 14 in the last three weeks alone. That sets the stage perfectly for what could be a prolific night for the Saints kicker.
Lutz drilled four field goals last week in a loss to the Bengals, which followed a busy day of extra points in New Orleans’ shootout win over the Seahawks. In total, Lutz has scored 32 points in six weeks and has been responsible for seven or more points in three of six games this season, including each of the last two.
Kickers are averaging 7.6 points per game against the Cardinals, who are allowing 3.8 trips to the red zone per game but surrendering touchdowns just 56.5 percent of the time in that spot. That’s a perfect recipe for a big day for New Orleans’ big-legged kicker.
Kyler Murray longest completion Under 35.5 yards (-110)
It has been a tough few months for Murray, who endured endless criticism for his preparation before the season only to post the 10th-worst QBR (46.6) among regular starters during it. One major issue? He can’t seem to get anything going down the field.
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Through six weeks, Murray has yet to complete a pass longer than 32 yards, and he has failed to even net a 30-yarder in four of six games. In fact, he’s tied for 32nd among all passers in yards per attempt (5.8) and passing attempts that travel at least 30 yards downfield (two) — somehow ranking behind both of the Saints’ starting quarterbacks, each of whom has played just three games.
It doesn’t help that he just lost deep-threat Marquise Brown (foot) for extended time, and malcontent-addition Robbie Anderson isn’t likely to be a factor on such short notice, if he plays at all. Even with injuries along the Saints’ defense, I wouldn’t expect this offense to dramatically reinvent itself on a short week.