Trump trails Biden by just 8% in NY — surge of support among black, Jewish voters
Donald Trump is within striking distance of President Biden in a new poll of New York voters — with the former president boosted by big gains among black and Jewish Empire Staters.
If the election were held today, Biden would receive 47% of the vote to 39% for Trump, Siena College found in a survey of 805 registered voters.
The poll’s margin of error — 4.1% — means the race could be even closer.
“We are going to win New York!” the presumptive Republican nominee, 78, claimed at a May 23 South Bronx rally, where he courted black and Hispanic voters by arguing they were being badly impacted by record illegal immigration under Biden, as well as by economic issues such as high inflation.
The Siena survey found that Trump is supported by 29% of black New Yorkers and 26% of Latino residents ahead of his Nov. 5 rematch against 81-year-old Biden.
In 2020, Trump — who at the time also claimed he was on the cusp of winning New York — was supported by just 6% of black New Yorkers and 22% of Hispanics, according to exit polling.
Biden narrowly leads Trump among Jewish voters with 52% support, while the former president has 46% backing in the demographic — following months of vacillation by Biden over the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.
Trump secured just 30% of the Jewish vote nationwide in 2020 after getting 24% in 2016, according to exit polls.
The 45th president, who grew up in Queens but changed his state of residence to Florida while in office, is significantly outperforming other Republicans, with the same Siena poll finding the GOP 15 percentage points behind on the generic congressional ballot (50% to 35%)
The ex-president lost New York to Biden by 23.1 percentage points four years ago and suffered a 22.5-percentage point defeat to Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The last Republican to win the state was Ronald Reagan in 1984, and just one GOP nominee has topped 40% support since 1992 — George W. Bush, who got 40.1% of the New York vote in 2004.
Trump’s campaign celebrated the new poll results, with spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt saying, “New Yorkers are waking up to the fact that Joe Biden and the Democrats are running their historic city into the ground.”
“As a native New Yorker who helped build the city’s skyline, President Trump is the leader who can make New York and America great again,” Leavitt added.
“Joe Biden and the Democrats’ disastrous open border, sanctuary city, soft-on-crime policies have turned New York into a dumping ground for illegal aliens and criminals, like the thugs who beat up NYPD officers in Times Square or the monster who just raped a 13-year-old in broad daylight.”
Biden’s campaign did not immediately respond to The Post’s request for comment.
Siena’s monthly New York surveys have fluctuated — with Trump’s black support ranging from a low of 19% in May to a high of 29% this month and his Jewish support going from a low of 38% in April to a high of 48% last month — though all data points would be an improvement over his showing four years ago.
The latest Siena College survey follows a poll released May 30 by Emerson College finding Trump behind by just 7 points in the Empire State.
The ex-president was convicted the same day by a Manhattan jury on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records in a case brought by District Attorney Alvin Bragg, an elected Democrat.
