About
KVP is a principal at Ascent Capital, Final Upgrade, Rvvup, Reform, Hodl Group & SoGal Ventures.
Ascent Capital’s creed + motto are: "Chasing Jupiter" + "Prescient Always, Rising Forever."
KVP is known for always bringing his candid, independent mind, positive energy, & clear thinking to the table.
KVP is a core-contributor at @Reform DAO, driving the next evolution in market making (MM) by cultivating long-term partnerships, transparency, as well as incentives between great projects, teams & their respective ecosystems in the digital assets space. The current state of MM in the crypto space is predatory & mercenary, where there is zero empathy or concern given to the long-term success of hard-working founders, world-class teams & exceptional ventures.
KVP is also a Strategic Executive Advisor to the @HODL Group Board, where he focuses on global strategy, expansion as well as capital raising. The HODL Group is a best-in-class digital asset manager, that returned +8x in the previous cycle. In 2023 their funds returned +135% & 113%. His ambition is to open a sister office for HODL out in the UAE, ideally with a strategic local partner.
KVP is also a founding NED + Angel investor in @RVVUP, a cutting-edge next-gen payment platform (ex-Paypal, BrainTree, Stripe). He has also been a long-term advisor & investor in @SoGal Ventures, a VC focusing on unconventional founders & currently tracking at +10x.
An advisor & investor in AI companies TriSpectra + @Synthar, both of which debuted at the 2023 Singapore Fintech Festival. He is also a lead author & contributor to Final Upgrade AI, a newsletter think piece on The Entropy of AI 👾 taking us to the final evolution of tech & humanity.
With over 20 years of global finance experience across major cities like London, Hong Kong, & Singapore, KVP has a diverse & deep expertise in fields such as global macro, blockchain, AI, wealth management & geopolitics. His career spans across investment banking, hedge funds, asset allocation, & global macro investing.
A seasoned speaker on digital assets, fintech, finance, blockchain with regular features at major finance and tech events like the SALT conferences & Abu Dhabi Finance Week, among others.
Outside of filtering for exceptional opportunities & rare sapiens, KVP is big-time sci-fi junkie, gamer, padawan martial artist (Muay Thai + Jiu Jitsu) + avid runner.
Articles by (KVP) Kay
-
The Macro Dragon: When Money (Fiat) Ceases to Be Money | Why Bitcoin Ascends in a Sinking Ocean of Fiat Inflation & Fiat Surveillance + Control 🌊💸
The Macro Dragon: When Money (Fiat) Ceases to Be Money | Why Bitcoin Ascends in a Sinking Ocean of Fiat Inflation & Fiat Surveillance + Control 🌊💸
By (KVP) Kay V.
-
The Orange Phoenix - Part IV: +1.3M Elon-Trump X Space (Despite Hacker Attacks), Harris Honeymoon Over... 🆇💥📈
The Orange Phoenix - Part IV: +1.3M Elon-Trump X Space (Despite Hacker Attacks), Harris Honeymoon Over... 🆇💥📈
By (KVP) Kay V.
-
The B-O-Jen: Central Banks @ Their -FINEST- 💥$20 Trillion Carry Trade Blowups, 3rd Biggest VIX Move + Biggest JP EQ Fall-out Since 1987...
The B-O-Jen: Central Banks @ Their -FINEST- 💥$20 Trillion Carry Trade Blowups, 3rd Biggest VIX Move + Biggest JP EQ Fall-out Since 1987...
By (KVP) Kay V.
Contributions
-
How do you fix strategy and culture gaps?
I feel if you are talking about fixing gaps in Culture & Strategy, you have already failed before you began. Culture is like discipline, the foundation, of all foundations... it is the 0> or <0 multiplier of everything the firm/entity seeks to do. Show me how you incentivize your people & I will show you, your culture. How many times have we seen "Values" written on a company wall, or report, yet we see mng literally practicing the opposite of those values. Strategy is essential for optimizing one's pathway, yet is defunct Viagra without the right culture that motivates people to bat for their firm, day-in & day-out, i.e. employees first =>clients =>Long-term Sustainable S/H value. Gaps occur due to poor incentivization systems.
Publications
-
#SaxoStrats: GBPJPY could be set for climb higher
Saxo Capital Markets / @KVP_Macro
*This is a structural high-conviction Long on GBPJPY on the back of the US Federal Reserve potentially moving over the next three meetings. As well as subsiding risks on Brexit as well as Japan/Abenomics.
-
The Macro Take: Is 2016 the year of the bear?
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
*Fed Hike => High Yield + EM + CMD Sell Off => DM Sell Off
*EMs are not fixed and the correction is now spilling over into DMs
*It still feels like we’d need more blood on the street to warrant going in aggressively into equities (whilst everyone else is coming out)
*I continue to be bearish on the global macro picture for 2016
*Thank god for Martin Luther King Day, as the US will have Mon off for some continued wound licking with the S&P, Nasdaq & Russell all down -8%, -10%…*Fed Hike => High Yield + EM + CMD Sell Off => DM Sell Off
*EMs are not fixed and the correction is now spilling over into DMs
*It still feels like we’d need more blood on the street to warrant going in aggressively into equities (whilst everyone else is coming out)
*I continue to be bearish on the global macro picture for 2016
*Thank god for Martin Luther King Day, as the US will have Mon off for some continued wound licking with the S&P, Nasdaq & Russell all down -8%, -10% & -11% respectively
*I touch on Volatility, Equities, Currencies, Bonds & Commodities -
The Macro Take: EURUSD-Day is coming - are you in or out?
@KVP_Macro / TradingFloor.Com
*Either way you cut it, that’s what you call ‘a print’: US NFP in at 271,000
*DXY closed over key upper channel levels last week and we’ll likely soon be making new highs despite a pullback this week
*Only thing left to forestall a potential Fed hike is a deterioration in US economic data
This could be a negative inflation print or November manufacturing PMI coming in sub 50 (contraction territory)
*Assuming Mario Draghi follows through on December 3 and the Fed shuffles forward…*Either way you cut it, that’s what you call ‘a print’: US NFP in at 271,000
*DXY closed over key upper channel levels last week and we’ll likely soon be making new highs despite a pullback this week
*Only thing left to forestall a potential Fed hike is a deterioration in US economic data
This could be a negative inflation print or November manufacturing PMI coming in sub 50 (contraction territory)
*Assuming Mario Draghi follows through on December 3 and the Fed shuffles forward (for once) on December 16, do you have these trades on? -
FOMC shuffle still leaves the deck weighted to Fed hike this year
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
*The only certainty from the FOMC statement is it will not move in April
*The short-term disruptions to other currencies v USD will correct very soon
*On AUDUSD - stay short, pick up puts and look into one-touches at 0.7650, 0.7600 -
KVP's Macro Take: I am the USD, the Fed hike, move or get run over
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
*Massive moves while KVP was in HK, with key levels hit or taken out on majors
*The PSI20 looks delicious and we are up 8% from KVP’s bullish EZ equities call
*Stay long USD, EZ, JP, CH equities. Stay short commodities in general, and US -
Hard to Lose Money on European Stocks
Bloomberg TV - Many Thanks First Up with Angie Lau & Team
*Captures super bullish +40-60% Euro-zone equities performance for 2015
*Rationale behind the thesis & preference for peripherals like Portugal
*How to play the exposure
*Structural multi-year issue of Japan vs. South Korea -
Volatility? OFF. Risk? ON - Watch European equities finish the year up +40-60% & the Nikkei take out 21,000.
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
*Fri Mar 6, Another blow up US non-farm number coming up? Run US Macro bears, run!!! Last week's 4Q GDP better than expected at 2.2%a, 2.0%e and thats in a quarter with poor economic data
*European equities will end +30% to +60% for the year, play through peripherals such as Portugal (USD denominated etf PGAL) - which I think could double to triple over next 2-3 years (still -59% from pre GFC highs)
*Stay Long Super High Conviction call on Long USDCHF, up +11% unlevered since Jan 16th…*Fri Mar 6, Another blow up US non-farm number coming up? Run US Macro bears, run!!! Last week's 4Q GDP better than expected at 2.2%a, 2.0%e and thats in a quarter with poor economic data
*European equities will end +30% to +60% for the year, play through peripherals such as Portugal (USD denominated etf PGAL) - which I think could double to triple over next 2-3 years (still -59% from pre GFC highs)
*Stay Long Super High Conviction call on Long USDCHF, up +11% unlevered since Jan 16th call (post SNB), targeting 1.02/1.05 by E15, above 1.15 E16
*Massive shift down in volatility, picking up options is a lot less expensive than the previous few weeks with SNB, ECB & Greeks worries behind us (for now)
*Central banks this week
-
KVP’s Macro Take: In from the cold of Mother Russia
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
*Highlights key data points from recent subzero Moscow trip
*Things have to get a whole lot worse before they get better
*Oil back at $100, would be terrible for Russia but great for Putin’s circle
*Conundrum of bearish sentiment, factual & structural data points being poor & worsening (Assassination of Boris Nemtsov), yet RSX (Russian USD denominated ETF) is up c. +22% YTD & RUB has come off recent highs -
Macro Take: SNB ripples continue into ECB and Greek decisions
TradingFloor.Com / @KVP_Macro
Next up: the ECB on Thursday – will Draghi disappoint again? Or will we see the mother of all QEs?
After which: the Greeks go to the elections booths on Sunday. Will the “Exitonians” win? -
Never trust a Swiss central banker
Saxo Capital Markets / @KVP_Macro
Post SNB surprise announcement yesterday – after leading the market on as recently as a few weeks ago on – the term “Never trust a Swiss central banker” will soon become mainstream. In this piece, KVP takes a snapshot of what happened, the significance and potential ways to look to play things going forward
-
ECB and Greek election: Are you a Bullish Benny or Bearish Billy?
Saxo Capital Markets / @KVP_Macro
January is all about two dates: the 22nd and the 25th, and there are a few ways of expressing either a bullish or bearish stance.
-
The Macro Week Ahead: Get Rich Or Die Trying, Risk-On
TradingFloor.Com
*Calling for a bottom of the Oct 2014 correction
*Lots of cross-asset trades laid out
-
Update: Successful close of profitable Allianz mean reversion spread
TradingFloor.Com
Blue Chip equity long-short mean reversion trade, going long Allianz vs. AXA post the Bill Gross PIMCO exit shuffle... There are always opportunities in dislocations
Languages
-
English
Native or bilingual proficiency
-
Swahili
Full professional proficiency
-
Danish
Limited working proficiency
-
Spanish
Elementary proficiency
Other similar profiles
Explore collaborative articles
We’re unlocking community knowledge in a new way. Experts add insights directly into each article, started with the help of AI.
Explore More