Amanda Serrano vs Stevie Morgan Odds, Pick & Prediction: Bet on Lack of Knockout Finish (Saturday, July 20)

Amanda Serrano vs. Stevie Morgan Odds

Here's everything you need to know about the Amanda Serrano vs. Stevie Morgan odds for the boxing co-main event on Saturday, July 20.

Amanda Serrano is not fighting Katie Taylor until November, and since that's the big one, consider tonight's return to the ring a stay-busy fight.

Serrano (46-2-1, 30 KOs), the undisputed featherweight champion of the world, is moving up from 126 to 140 pounds – the super lightweight division – to face little-known opponent Stevie Morgan (14-1, 13 KOs).

Serrano vs. Morgan serves as the co-feature of the Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry main event, so plenty of eyeballs will be on this card.

Serrano is the world record holder for most titles in different weight classes among women after taking home championships in seven divisions. The only other septuple (or more) champion in boxing history is Manny Pacquiao, who has won championships in eight weight classes in his career.

Tonight's co-headlining bout, unlike Serrano's last in late 2023, will be 10 two-minute rounds, per BoxRec, which is important to note.

Here's my Serrano vs. Morgan pick and prediction for Saturday night's event on DAZN pay-per-view (9 p.m. ET).

Serrano vs. Morgan Breakdown & Analysis

Serrano is fighting at 140 pounds for the first time since September 2018, when she won the WBO world title against Yamilla Reynoso at Barclays Center. The decision win was her only fight at the weight limit, per BoxRec.

Morgan, a Tampa native, has fought all but three pro bouts in Colombia, and this will be her first fight at super lightweight since her debut in June 2022.

By the time she made her debut, Serrano had already lost to Katie Taylor.

Morgan and Serrano are both 35. Morgan will also have a size advantage having predominately pieced together her career at lightweight. Although Serrano has been a champion there, she's primarily been a featherweight for the last five years of her career, and in general, most of her fights have been at the 126-pound limit.

Serrano is about 5-foot-6 with a roughly 66-inch reach, and the southpaw will be fighting above featherweight for the first time since April 2022, her last loss, which came to Taylor via close – to some, controversial – decision.

Morgan is 5-foot-8, and her reach is unlisted (I'd venture to say it won't matter).

I could literally copy and paste this following sentence because I say it every time: Serrano is one of the best volume punchers in boxing, and she's one of the best body punchers we've seen.

Morgan has generally fought unimpressive competition, and this pasta October, she even lost to journeywoman Calista Silgado, whom Serrano knocked out in the first round of their July 2016 bout (the first time I covered a Serrano fight live, actually).

It's hard to say who has the power advantage. Serrano has pop and has beaten vastly better opponents, though she – again – is moving up three weight classes. Morgan has knocked out nearly all her opponents, but they have either padded or straight-up bad records.

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Serrano vs. Morgan Prediction & Pick

It's my habitual Serrano betting concern returning.

I've brought this up before, but you just get to a point where you stop knocking people out.

Manny Pacquiao fought 17 times after 2009 and knocked out one opponent – that was in 2018 against Lucas Matthysse, who then retired. Canelo Alvarez has now boxed to five straight decisions and has just three knockouts in his last nine fights since 2019.

Serrano has boxed to seven straight decisions, including a 12-rounder, with her last stoppage win coming in March 2021.

Maybe she's due, who knows, but Serrano is moving up, and Morgan is hard to gauge in terms of ability because her opposition is weak. But she looks competent and strong, and despite the massive step up in competition, I just don't see how Serrano stops her given her recent showings unless Morgan is just alarmingly overmatched. And sure, that could be the case. Additionally, Morgan is going to come forward, which isn't wise against Serrano. But Serrano gets hit too.

I'm leaning more toward this being a brawl for 10 rounds and Serrano winning a wide decision as opposed to this being her first stoppage in a few years.

I'll take Serrano by decision at +110 on bet365 (and if sportsbooks eventually offer odds specifically on a unanimous decision, I'll take that too). I made this bet on Thursday, but you may be able to find even better odds on fight day.

Enjoy the fight and don't go broke!

The Pick: Amanda Serrano by Decision (+110 at bet365)