Leonardo Rodríguez
Philosofia • Economia • Finanzas
Londres y alrededores, Reino Unido
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What are the key factors that influence exchange rates in the long term?
Important to consider is that it is primarily the 'expectations' on the evolution of interest rates and inflation that ultimately impact exchange rates, being that the financial markets are motivated by future performance. The yield curve on government bonds is a key indicator to evaluate the perception of the market regarding the term structure of the interest rates, which also brings information about inflation expectations.
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What are the key factors that influence exchange rates in the long term?
The exchange rate is the price of a currency in terms of another. Economic growth and productivity are crucial elements in determining the level of the exchange rate in the long run, however, these determinants work through the external sector, meaning that their importance is proportional to the level of integration of an economy to the international markets and global trade. The more integrated an economy is to the world economy, the more important its economic performance will become for exchange rate determination (and vice versa).
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What are the key factors that influence exchange rates in the long term?
The flow of capital is the driving force in exchange rate dynamics for both the short and the long run scenarios, while in the short run inflation and interest rates expectations are primarily responsible for inflows and outflows of capital, in the long run institutional factors play a more decisive role, manifested in the form of an open and stable capital account, credible monetary policies and the strenght and integration of the domestic financial institutions with the main international financial centres.
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Not all Central Banks are created equal The Fed focuses on capital markets. Its balance sheet expansion primarily occurred thru purchases of…
Not all Central Banks are created equal The Fed focuses on capital markets. Its balance sheet expansion primarily occurred thru purchases of…
Recomendado por Leonardo Rodríguez
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There are two global companies that are truly irreplaceable. If they disappeared tomorrow, no other company could fill the gap. While Apple is…
There are two global companies that are truly irreplaceable. If they disappeared tomorrow, no other company could fill the gap. While Apple is…
Recomendado por Leonardo Rodríguez
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