BAL @ NYY
11:05 pm • TBSOrioles vs. Yankees Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Orioles 56-32 | +1.5-166 | o8.5-122 | +120 | |
![]() Yankees 54-36 | -1.5+140 | u8.5+101 | -142 |
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PRO Insights
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Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured Insight
Orioles have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for second best in MLB. Yankees have won just 32% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.
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Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured Insight
Yankees RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB. Orioles left-handed hitters have struck out 24% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Orioles vs. Yankees Game Analysis
Orioles vs. Yankees Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Aaron Judge has 37 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for most in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 89th Percentile.
31% of Juan Soto strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 49% of Albert Suarez's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP-- 91st Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (32/97) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- fifth Percentile.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.0 innings he's appeared -- Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 56.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (49/176) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Albert Suarez over the last 14 days -- tied for 2nd lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- sixth Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Orioles are 130-100 (.565) after a win since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Yankees are 10-6 (.625) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .373.
The Yankees are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
Orioles vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 26-22 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Yankees' 42 last games at home
Orioles vs. Yankees Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Yankees vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Yankees Injuries
Anthony Rizzo
IFRizzo is out with arm
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DHStanton is out with hamstring
Out
Jon Berti
IFBerti is out with calf
Out
JT Brubaker
PBrubaker is out with elbow
Out
Jasson Dominguez
OFDominguez is out with elbow
Out
Oswald Peraza
IFPeraza is out with shoulder
Out
Orioles Injuries
John Means
PMeans is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Tyler Wells
PWells is out with elbow
Out
Orioles vs. Yankees Box Score
Orioles Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RA.Suarez, P | 96 | 3.2 | 3 | 3 | |
LK.Akin, P | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
RD.Tate, P | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
LN.Vespi, P | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Westburg, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1R.Urias, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Rutschman, DH | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3R.Mountcastle, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4G.Henderson, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5A.Santander, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6A.Hays, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6C.Mullins, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Mateo, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8C.Cowser, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.McCann, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LN.Cortes, P | 105 | 6 | 6 | 0 | |
RM.Tonkin, P | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RL.Weaver, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RC.Holmes, P | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1A.Volpe, SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
2J.Soto, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3A.Judge, CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Grisham, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Grisham, CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Verdugo, LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5G.Stanton, DH | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6B.Rice, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6O.Cabrera, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7G.Torres, 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
8A.Wells, C | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9D.LeMahieu, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9D.LeMahieu, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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Orioles vs. Yankees Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Orioles 56-32 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Yankees 54-36 | N/A | N/A |