Braves vs Red Sox Odds, Prediction, Pick: Why to Bet Boston

Wednesday, June 5

1:35 p.m. ET

MLB Network

Braves Odds
Moneyline	Total	Run Line
-105	10 -110o / -110u	-1.5 +145

Red Sox Odds
Moneyline	Total	Run Line
-115	10 -110o / -110u	+1.5 -175

Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Spencer Schwellenbach is a top prospect for the Atlanta Braves and will get his second start in the majors. The Braves called up Schwellenbach from Double-A, where he hadn't yet allowed a run. However, he was just serviceable in his first start against the Washington Nationals.

On Wednesday, he will face the Boston Red Sox. Nick Pivetta starts for Boston and has much more experience under his belt. Pivetta strikes out plenty of hitters and doesn't issue walks.

Both lineups have been pretty comparable over the past month, but Boston’s bullpen has been better. On the back of a Pivetta start, the Red Sox should hold value on the moneyline.

Let's dive into the Braves vs. Red Sox odds and make a prediction and pick in our MLB betting preview for Wednesday, June 5.

Atlanta Braves

Schwellenbach was fine in his first appearance. The former second-round pick allowed three earned runs over five innings. He struck out five and only gave up one walk. In the minors this year, Schwellenbach notched 51 strikeouts over 45 innings. His most impressive attribute was probably only allowing one homer. That said, he may not impress as much as Pivetta in this matchup.

The Braves have faltered a bit at the dish against righties. They own a 96 wRC+ with an 8.4% walk rate and a 23.5% strikeout rate over the past month. The injury to Ronald Acuña, Jr. was a major blow to this offense as Atlanta now only just five active batters with an xwOBA above .320 since May 5.

The Braves’ relief staff has not been much to write home about, either. Over the past month, Atlanta's relievers have a 4.17 xFIP.

Boston Red Sox

Pivetta has great swing-and-miss stuff and rarely walks batters. He does permit some fly balls and allows hard contact, but doesn't do so particularly often. His 30% strikeout rate and 5% walk rate have yielded a sub-4.00 xERA, so he can get better in the coming games. He has had some trouble in the past month, but can turn things around here.

The Red Sox have a similar lineup to the Braves. They own a 97 wRC+ with a 7.5% walk rate and a 23.4% strikeout rate over the past month. Since May 5, the top of the lineup has done damage against righties. Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have xwOBAs over .400. Otherwise, the Red Sox have only a few others above the .340 mark. Overall, the Red Sox should have the edge against an inexperienced starter.

The Boston relief staff has been great. The Red Sox have six arms with an xFIP under 4.00 over the past month and have the fifth-best xFIP (3.55) in that timeframe.

Braves vs. Red Sox

Betting Pick & Prediction

Boston gets the edge at home with the better pitching staff. The lineups are comparable, but Boston has some more power with Acuña out for the season. Atlanta is getting a bit too much credit in this spot. Pivetta can throw strikes and will generate strikeouts. Take the Red Sox to win this one in Fenway Park and bet them to -125.

Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline (-106) | Play to -125

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