Cardinals vs Nationals Pick & Predictions Monday | MLB Odds (July 8)

Monday, Jul 8

4:05pm ET

MASN

Cardinals Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
-1.5 +146	9.5 +104o / -128u	-108

Nationals Odds
Spread	Total	Moneyline
+1.5 -176	9.5 +104o / -128u	-108

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Cardinals vs. Nationals odds for Monday have both teams evening out at -108 moneyline with an over/under of 9.5.

The starting pitching matchup for the Cardinals vs. Nationals series finale features right-hander Miles Mikolas for St. Louis and left-hander Mitchell Parker for Washington.

For my Cardinals vs. Nationals prediction, I will be looking at the total.

St. Louis Cardinals

Mikolas has struggled this season, posting a 6-7 record with a 5.19 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor as he ranks in the 37th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA and hard-hit rate.

While St. Louis' lineup hasn't put up the greatest numbers this season, it is still capable of producing. The Cardinals hover around the league average in hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and stolen bases.

This lineup has never faced Parker prior to Monday, but there is reason for optimism for one of the league's hottest teams. This group is averaging nearly six runs per game over their past six outings.

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Washington Nationals

It'll also help the Cardinals that Parker is due for regression. Despite posting a 3.61 ERA and 1.10 WHIP through 15 starts, the southpaw possesses a 4.08 xERA and ranks in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

Following Parker is an untrustworthy bullpen. Washington's relief staff ranks in the bottom half of the league in ERA.

With that said, the Nats profile similarly to St. Louis in the sense that the lineup can produce in the right spots. Washington hovers around the league average in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP and stolen bases.

Through 48 combined career plate appearances against Mikolas, this current Nationals lineup boasts a .289 BA, .533 SLG and .342 wOBA.

Cardinals vs. Nationals

Betting Pick & Prediction

While 9.5 is a relatively high total, it is worth taking a shot on the over at plus-money. Both Mikolas and Parker rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.

St. Louis possesses a strong bullpen, but that is offset but Washington's struggles out of the pen. Neither lineup is necessarily explosive, but both can get on base and take advantage of weaker pitchers.

Finally, the weather could give us a slight boost with the forecast calling for winds blowing out to left-center during the game.

Pick: Over 9.5 (+104 at FanDuel | Play to -105)