MLB Best Bets: Over/Under Picks & Predictions for Thursday (6/6)
Getty Images. Pictured: Reynaldo Lopez.
The MLB schedule for Thursday, June 6 features 10 games, and our baseball betting staff has come through with two MLB best bets for Braves vs Nationals and Royals vs Guardians.
Both picks target the over/under — find are MLB Best Bets: Picks & Predictions for Thursday below.
MLB Best Bets: Over/Under Picks & Predictions for Thursday (6/6)
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from the Thursday slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific MLB over/under bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 6:45 p.m. | ||
| 1:10 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Royals vs. Guardians
By Tony Sartori
This is one of those matchups where both starting pitchers are due for regression, so it is the perfect time to sell high on them simultaneously. Brady Singer is set to take the mound for Kansas City while Cleveland will hand the ball to Tanner Bibee.
Both guys boast winning records with ERAs south of 3.75 and WHIPs south of 1.18. However, both pitchers also rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and barrel rate.
Those surface-level stats are going to come down sooner rather than later and that regression could certainly hit in a matchup between two strong offenses. Both teams rank in the top half of the league in runs scored per game, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases.
All that being said, let's bet the over.
Pick: Over 7.5 | Play to -115
Braves vs. Nationals
By D.J. James
Reynaldo López has had some successful outings as a member of the Atlanta Braves. López has a career-best 1.73 ERA and although his xERA is well above that, it's still below 4.00. He holds a below average Hard-Hit Rate and average Exit Velocity, but his slider and fastball are elite and have helped him transition back into the rotation.
His opponent will be Mitchell Parker and the Washington Nationals. Parker is a 24-year-old southpaw with above average ground-ball and walk rates. As a result, he has a 3.60 ERA and a sub-4.00 xERA.
This total would seem to indicate two red-hot lineups, right? Well, that's not necessarily the case. Atlanta was just shut out in Boston on Wednesday. In the past month against lefties, the Braves have a 104 wRC+ with a 22.8% strikeout rate and a 6.5% walk rate.
Washington is even worse. Since May 6, the Nationals have an 85 wRC+, a 21.9% strikeout rate and a 8% walk rate off of right-handers.
The bullpens have just enough arms to get the job done and hold the opposition in check late in the game.
Fade both of these lineups and take the under in this game. Bet it from 9.5 to 8.5.
Pick: Under 9.5 | Play to 8.5
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