MLB Player Prop Odds, Picks Today | Andrew Abbott in Padres vs Reds (May 21)

MLB Player Prop Odds, Picks Today

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Tuesday, May 21

6:40 p.m. ET

MLB.TV

Andrew Abbott

Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Andrew Abbott has only cleared this number in three of his nine starts this season. He has a tough matchup tonight against the Padres, who are one of the toughest teams to rack up strikeouts against.

Abbott's strikeout rate this season is 6% lower than it was in his rookie season, and the underlying data supports the drop. He's getting hitters to chase and to whiff at a much lower rate in general.

Abbott's best strikeout pitch is his changeup, which has a 32% whiff rate. However, the Padres have the third-lowest strikeout rate in the lowest whiff rate against changeups this season.

I have Abbott staying under 4.5 strikeouts 62% of the time and make the fair odds closer to -165.

Pick: Andrew Abbott Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130)