UFC 302 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo: +750 Flier for Opening Bout (Saturday, June 1)

UFC 302 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo: +750 Flier for Opening Bout (Saturday, June 1) article feature image
Credit:

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC fighter Andre Lima

Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo Odds

Lima Odds
-290
Raposo Odds
+235
Over/Under
2.5 (-142 / +112)
Location
Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey
Time
6:30 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN+
UFC 302 odds as of Saturday and via FanDuel. Bet on UFC 302 with our FanDuel promo code.

Here's everything you need to know about the Andre Lima vs. Mitch Raposo odds for UFC 302 on Saturday, June 1 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.

After Andre Lima badly missed weight, UFC 302's flyweight opener became a catchweight bout.

Still, there's value on the board in his fight against Mitch Raposo.

Tale of the Tape

LimaRaposo
Record9-18-0
Avg. Fight Time8:1111:26
Height5'5"5'7"
Weight (pounds)130 lbs.125 lbs.
Reach (inches)64"67"
StanceSwitchOrthodox
Date of birth10/16/19982/4/1999
Sig Strikes Per Min2.573.98
SS Accuracy25%60%
SS Absorbed Per Min3.182.67
SS Defense56%60%
Take Down Avg3.671.31
TD Acc66%66%
TD Def0%61%
Submission Avg0.01.3

Lima missed weight by four pounds on Friday. You might remember him as a fighter who got a tattoo of the bite mark that disqualified his first UFC opponent, earning him a "Bite of the Night" bonus. This is a very normal sport.

Raposo, who lost a Contender Series bout to Jake Hadley in 2021 but is 4-0 regionally since (all finishes), will get a short notice debut – as Lima's third different scheduled opponent for Saturday.

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Lima is the bigger man (two inches taller, three-inch reach advantage); Raposo could probably compete at strawweight if he could find other opponents. There should be a significant discrepancy in power and physicality in favor of the Brazilian.

His cardio seemed uninspired in his UFC debut – his opponent was coming on before the disqualification – but I'm not sure if it will matter against Raposo, who prefers a far lower pace than Igor Severino pushed in Lima's last fight.

Lima vs. Raposo Pick

I show slight value on Lima by submission (projected +627, listed +800) in this fight.

You can place a small straight wager or use it to juice up round-robin tickets to kick off UFC 302.

The Pick: Andre Lima wins by Submission (+750, 0.1u) at FanDuel

QuickSlip Link for FanDuel Sportsbook

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