Knoxville Regional Odds, Predictions: Picks for NCAA Baseball Tournament’s Top Seed

Knoxville Regional Odds, Predictions: Picks for NCAA Baseball Tournament’s Top Seed article feature image
Credit:

Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Tennessee head coach Tony Vitello.

Knoxville Regional Odds

Tennessee Volunteers Logo
Tennessee Volunteers-280
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Logo
Southern Miss Golden Eagles+270
Indiana Hoosiers Logo
Indiana Hoosiers+700
Northern Kentucky Norse Logo
Northern Kentucky Norse+5000

Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Regionals here.


Tennessee has been a powerhouse all season, as the pitching staff has not missed a beat despite Chase Burns' transfer to Wake Forest.

Friday night starter AJ Causey was more comfortable out of the bullpen, giving Chris Stamos a handful of starts to end the season.

At the plate, junior Christian Moore crushed 28 home runs, giving this roster a top-25 ranking in nearly every category. The Volunteers suffered only three losses at home in SEC play the entire year.

C-Mo cleared for liftoff!

Absolute 🚀

📺 https://t.co/Jt6cQrCA8N (SECN)#GBO // #OTH // #BeatVandypic.twitter.com/GDTOOIPOwC

— Tennessee Baseball (@Vol_Baseball) May 25, 2024

Now, head coach Tony Vitello looks to win a fourth consecutive regional.

Southern Miss has made the College World Series just once — a 2009 trip that new head coach Christian Ostrander is looking to replicate.

The Golden Eagles are on a collision course from last year's Hattiesburg Super Regional, where the Volunteers took two out of three to advance to Omaha.

The Sun Belt champions are red-hot, winning 14 of their last 15 games dating back to April 30.

In a head-to-head meeting, Tennessee's Drew Beam projects as a -220 favorite over USM's Billy Oldham if the top pitchers from each staff were to square off.

Indiana will be happy to not see Nebraska upon arriving in Knoxville. The Hoosiers are 9-2 in their last 11 games against teams not named Nebraska but 1-4 against the Cornhuskers over the past three weeks.

Head coach Jeff Mercer had consistent defensive issues with his squad. With a losing record in Quad 1 and Quad 2 games this season, a Regional victory is unlikely for the Hoosiers.

Tennessee and Southern Miss will have projected lines around -230 to -280 depending on the starting pitchers.

The Volunteers are expected to use the combination of Stamos and Causey in Game 1, saving Beam for Game 2. Those two against Oldham or Niko Mazza of Southern Miss combined with Indiana's pitching staff create true odds of 80% for Tennessee to win the Regional.

The series price on the Volunteers is good up through -400.

Pick: Tennessee -350 or Better

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