5.58% for me vs. 4.4% implied. He's as short as +1325 at Circa, so I will take the discount.

Larson has topped Bell in 4 of 5 Next-Gen races at Richmond. Model has Larson slightly ahead straight up.

40.1% for me vs. 28.6% implied. Poor finishes here, but he has led 100-plus laps in 2 of 5 Next-Gen races.

I'm about double his implied odds. No top 10s in Richmond, but he has finished there in the other three races at short, flat tracks this year.