Finance & economics | Free exchange

China may soon become a high-income country

Has it truly escaped the middle-income trap?

CHINA IS HAUNTED by the spectre of the “middle-income trap”, the notion that emerging economies grow quickly out of poverty only to get stuck before they get rich. “During the next five years, we must take particular care to avoid falling into the middle-income trap,” said Li Keqiang, China’s prime minister, in 2016. Lou Jiwei, then China’s finance minister, once put the odds of China becoming ensnared at 50%.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “The high kingdom”

How high will interest rates go?

From the February 3rd 2022 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition

More from Finance & economics

Europe’s economic growth is extremely fragile

Risk is concentrated in one country: Germany

How vulnerable is Israel to sanctions?

So far, measures have had little effect. That could change


Why companies get inflation wrong

Bosses should pay less attention to the media


What is behind China’s perplexing bond-market intervention?

The central bank seems to think the government’s debt is too popular

How to invest in chaotic markets

Contrary to popular wisdom, even retail investors should pay attention to volatility