Artificial Intelligence and the Apocalyptic Imagination: Artificial Agency and Human Hope
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About this ebook
Michael J. Paulus Jr.
Michael J. Paulus Jr. is Dean of the Library, Assistant Provost for Educational Technology, and Associate Professor of Information Studies at Seattle Pacific University.
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Artificial Intelligence and the Apocalyptic Imagination - Michael J. Paulus Jr.
Introduction
Imagined and Real AI
In R.U.R. (Rossum’s Universal Robots) , first performed in Prague in 1921 , the Czech writer Karel Čapek used the word robot
to describe living and intelligent labor machines.
The play begins with the hope that these artificial beings—mass-produced on an assembly line—could free people from work. This would transform all of humanity into a worldwide aristocracy
and make people something even greater.
This hope, like many hopes for social and technological progress aborted by the world’s first high-tech global war, is not realized. Freed from work, people cease being creative—even literally generative—and then the robots rebel to destroy humankind. ¹
Čapek’s play was a sudden success, and American and British productions were performed, respectively, in 1922 and 1923. Within a couple of years, it had been translated into thirty languages.² Čapek’s popular robot was an apocalyptic figure of the modern industrial age, revealing and uncovering disturbing dynamics of what Arnold Toynbee called the Industrial Revolution.
³ Humans, Čapek complained, had become captive to the principles and practices of mass production. But this terrible machinery must not stop,
he admitted, for many lives and livelihoods depended on it and stopping it would destroy the lives of thousands.
So the system must continue, even though in the process it destroys thousands and thousands of lives.
A product of the human brain,
he concluded, has at last escaped from the control of human hands.
⁴ Čapek’s fictional figure soon became a science project. The logic and machinery automating much physical work expanded to include mental work.
Automata—artifacts powered to work independently—are ancient. Hero of Alexandria, for example, described steam-powered machines in the first century. The Industrial Revolution, powered first by steam and then by electricity, enabled the automation of many physical tasks at a scale that eclipsed muscle power. Although the idea of automata preforming tasks associated with human intelligence has a long history, the development of computational artifacts, programmed to perform mathematical or logical operations automatically, was not fully realized until World War II. Indeed, the deployment of Alan Turing’s code-breaking computer (the Bombe) against the German Enigma encryption machine could be described as the first war of intelligent machines.⁵ These machines could be considered minimally intelligent because, like a plant perceiving and responding to the direction of light, these encoding and decoding programs effectively processed inputs for certain outcomes.⁶ With the invention of the electronic digital computer in the 1940s, machines could be programmed for more sophisticated tasks with data and a new information age, society, and revolution began. Since then, we have become increasingly dependent on automated information processing. More recently, this dependence has come to include autonomous information processing: computers are given goals and data, and programmed to learn
on their own how to improve perception, analysis, and decisions related to predetermined goals.
In the introduction to Artificial Intelligence: A Guide for Thinking Humans, leading AI scientist Melanie Mitchell explains being perplexed a few years ago by hopes and fears associated with AI. While Mitchell could acknowledge that AI had made significant progress in some narrow areas,
it was nowhere close to having the broad, general intelligence of humans.
On one hand, Mitchell was startled by the optimism
of some of her peers who thought general, humanlike AI would emerge within the next thirty years. On the other hand, Mitchell was surprised by a slew of prominent people suddenly telling us we should start worrying, right now, about the perils of ‘superhuman’ AI.
In 2014, the year in which Amazon released the digital assistant Alexa, Stephen Hawking proclaimed, The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race
; and Elon Musk said AI was probably our biggest existential threat . . . with artificial intelligence we are summoning the demon.
Bill Gates agreed with Musk and didn’t understand why some people are not concerned.
⁷
Today, robots—physical objects controlled by AI—are a reality. Most are mostly harmless. An automated vacuum cleaner, while upsetting to my dog, can map and clean my floor and adapt to avoid messes my dog may have made.⁸ But the sensors on my vacuum cleaner convert physical details about my house into digital data that, when shared with the manufacturer and others, may be used to violate my privacy—or at least my dog’s. My vacuum cleaner is not capable of determining that my dog creates too much work for it, and therefore should be eliminated to optimize its own performance. (If it did, with its current technology stack, I would wager that my dog could eliminate that threat pretty quickly.) My vacuum cleaner can be considered more intelligent than a code-breaking machine or a plant: it efficiently processes data to accomplish complex tasks, and it also constantly improves its performance as it acquires new data relevant to achieving its goals. But this is still a narrow form of intelligence. Goals are given and learned, not self-generated. Moreover, my vacuum cleaner cannot adapt to unexpected changes in the environment—such as a sunken or flooded floor—as well as my dog can.
The current sophistication of real AI can be illustrated by considering the system used to control the operations of the factory that manufactures my vacuum cleaner, which would look something like figure 1.
Figure
1
: From OECD Framework for the Classification of AI Systems,
61
.
In this complex system, different types of data, associated with particular activities, are input into different types of AI models. These models then perform a number of tasks that previously would have depended on human intelligence—as well as some new tasks that would not have been possible previously—such as analyzing activities, optimizing operations, applying rules, interacting with customers, and formulating predictions. All of these models are combined in the factory’s hybrid model, which interconnects the various tasks performed at the factory and produces outputs—alerts, reports, schedules, customer communications, and simulations of possible futures—to inform decision-making and feed data back into the physical environment. While humans may interact with system outputs, factory processes can become increasingly autonomous. All of this creates a digital twin
or augmented dimension of the physical factory, which profoundly transforms what a factory is and is able to do.⁹ And these automated intelligent systems have a profound impact on us and the world.
In Anatomy of an AI System,
Kate Crawford and Vladan Joler analyze the manufacture and functioning of Amazon’s Alexa to show how the stack enabling interactions with it goes well beyond the multi-layered ‘technical stack’ of data modeling, hardware, servers and networks.
The full stack reaches much further into capital, labor and nature, and demands an enormous amount of each
; the true scale and costs of these systems—social, environmental, economic, and political—remain hidden.
¹⁰ In The Atlas of AI, Crawford further reveals how, At a fundamental level, AI is technical and social practices, institutions and infrastructures, politics and culture.
It is a massive industrial formation,
and we need to expand our understanding of what is under way in the empires of AI, to see what is at stake, and to make better collective decisions about what should come next.
¹¹ AI systems are much more than technological artifacts. Like Čapek’s robots, they are revelatory or apocalyptic figures of our current technological society. As a product of human imagination and intelligence, AI reveals our hopes and fears. And, as we continue to design and develop our increasingly complex technological society, it is important to understand how AI is shaping our imagination as our imagination shapes it.
AI and the Apocalyptic Imagination
This book explores two phenomena: a new phenomenon, artificial intelligence, and an ancient phenomenon, the apocalyptic imagination. And it aims to show how the latter may help shape the former. Both of these terms have broad and broadening semantic ranges, which are explored throughout this book. John McCarthy created the term artificial intelligence
in 1955 to describe the project of simulating intelligence with computers. Before then, computers could be programmed to perform a variety of logical operations with data through automated processing. Now, computers can be programmed to program themselves and information processing can be autonomous or self-directed. What is considered AI
today is contested: it can be extended to any type of automated information processing, such as a calculator or a thermostat, or it can be applied to nothing, since no computational artifact matches—let alone exceeds—all of which human intelligence is capable. For many, human-level or general intelligence is the holy grail
and real
goal of AI development.¹² In contemporary usage, AI typically refers to self-learning predictive models, such as a machine learning system that determines the optimal way to heat a house based on the observed behaviors of its inhabitants. Throughout this book, AI is used broadly to refer to automated information processing by computational artifacts.
The apocalyptic imagination,
likewise, can be defined broadly or narrowly. In the broadest sense, an apocalypse
is a revelation or uncovering of something that is hidden. An imagination that is apocalyptic is open to such disclosures through apocalyptic texts, images, objects, and events. More narrowly, due to the popularity of certain apocalypses that focus on the end of the world, the apocalyptic imagination often focuses on the end of life as we know it. In theology, the apocalyptic imagination seeks to uncover the relationships between divine and human knowledge, heaven and earth, eternity and time, and divine and human action. This cognitive orientation
includes "a transcendent reality, which defines the cosmos and everything in it, but remains almost entirely concealed from observation and beyond the grasp of human intellection. It further involves the realization of good over evil, the revelation of which
gives life meaning and purpose" and inspires the creation of a better world in the future.¹³ While apocalyptic imagination
is used broadly in this book, in order to explore and link different visions of anticipated ends, the overarching goal in what follows is to present the apocalyptic imagination as an interpretation of reality that uncovers deeper dimensions of knowledge, space, time, and agency to reveal and help realize a new and hopeful view of the world.
It may not be surprising that AI, developed during hot and cold wars, has been connected with the apocalyptic imagination from the beginning. But that association is largely in a narrow, end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it sense. From a biblical and theological perspective, a richer understanding of the apocalyptic imagination, such as the one found in the book of Revelation or the Apocalypse of John, can help us reflect on the role of AI and shape it. Some argue that we cannot confidently map AI and robots onto
the biblical apocalyptic vision of new creation, which is represented in the Apocalypse of John by a new heaven, a new earth, and a new city.¹⁴ This book highlights resources within the Christian tradition to map new terrain in connection with the automation of information and intelligence, and it argues that this cartographic work may help us discern how AI may participate in new creation and transform other maps of and plans for AI futures.
New information and communication technologies have been reshaping our lives and the environments in which we live for decades. Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum claims we are living through a revolution that is fundamentally changing the way we live, work, and relate to one another.
Schwab labels this the fourth industrial revolution,
which is driven by transformative digital technologies such as big data (i.e., the analysis of large datasets), cloud computing, and AI.¹⁵ More profoundly, the philosopher Luciano Floridi argues we are living through a fourth modern scientific revolution, an information revolution,
in which our dependence on automated information processing by artificial agents is affecting our sense of self, how we relate to each other, and how we shape and interact with our world.
¹⁶ AI is transforming what we do, how we understand ourselves, and what we will become and do.
Within the last ten years, especially following the introduction of Siri in 2011, AI has become a ubiquitous and general-purpose technology—like the steam engine, electricity, and the digital computer—and it is now a regular part of our daily lives and our social imagination. AI applications show us stuff on websites we may be interested in purchasing, enable us to speak to digital devices to purchase stuff, manage the logistics of getting us stuff, and learn how to show us more stuff we may desire. Other AI systems operating in the world include financial decision-making systems, health monitoring and diagnostic systems, facial and other biological recognition systems, warehouse and police robots, and autonomous vehicles. Often, AI functions in seemingly banal ways, as in the ubiquitous recommended for you
displays we see constantly on our devices. But AI raises a number of questions about how all the data collected by and for these applications is obtained and used, about the influences the algorithms that drive these systems have on our actions, and about the broader social impacts of complex AI systems that may operate independent of human responsibility and accountability.
In addition to ethical questions about data collection, algorithmic agency, and social justice, the power and potential of AI continues to inspire a range of hopes and fears about the future. AI has been described as the Second Coming and the Apocalypse at the same time.
¹⁷ Some visions of AI are optimistic and utopian, anticipating AI to solve known problems and create a superior form of life. Others are pessimistic and dystopian, expecting AI to exacerbate old problems and create new ones. The most extreme anticipations and anxieties include apocalyptic visions of an earthly paradise, posthuman immortality, and the end of the human species and civilization.
The COVID-19 pandemic became a test for many of our aspirations for AI. Governments, businesses, and research centers looked to various AI technologies to identify useful patterns in data, discover information about the virus, and inform our responses to the pandemic. As demonstrated by an online exhibition called Technologies of Hope,
of one hundred pandemic technologies—from quarantine bracelets to surveillance drones—the hype and haste with which AI was applied during the pandemic revealed many of our hopes and fears.¹⁸ These attempts represented imaginative possibilities, but also the practical limits of AI. Pandemic applications of AI also highlighted ethical concerns about both the perpetuation and the creation of economic, racial, and other inequities. The pandemic was also an information crisis that revealed deep challenges in our current information environment about what we may hope, what we can know, and what we should do. As we shape a post-pandemic world with more sober assessments and ethical visions of AI, it is time, as Ruha Benjamin wrote before the pandemic, to reimagine what is possible.
¹⁹
The increasing role and power of artificial agents in our lives and world requires us to imagine desirable futures with intelligence automation and reimagine undesirable present realities. Since visions of AI often draw from Jewish and Christian apocalyptic categories and narratives, discussions about AI hopes and fears present an opportunity for a deeper engagement with the apocalyptic imagination as we strive for another and a juster world.
²⁰ This book explores how the Christian apocalyptic imagination provides a constructive conceptual and narrative framework that can transform how we think about and use AI. This framework can help us view our current information revolution as an information revelation about how AI may participate in new creation and enable us to realize a more hopeful, wiser, and better future.
From Negative to Affirmative Apocalypses
To argue the value of the apocalyptic imagination for AI—AI for AI—a few other theses need to be explored. The first is that our entanglement with information and technology is ancient, and that from the beginning we have been shaping technology as it has been shaping us. The second thesis is that we are living through a unique and transformative moment in history. The first chapter explores our historic and current integration with technology and situates the development of AI within the history of information revolutions. Our current information revolution, connected with information automation, is changing how we understand ourselves and our role in the world. But we have experienced previous information revolutions, and this chapter explores three. The first, which accompanied the emergence of our species, was related to information attention. A second was linked with the development of cities and information agencies. A third occurred with the invention of writing and the creation of information artifacts. These three revolutions—from which we gained powers associated with reflective attention, structural agency, and knowledge augmentation—significantly advanced human development and enhanced our lives. Moreover, there are corollary spiritual developments related to the emergence of spirituality, religious practices, and anticipatory religions that reveal a deeper significance of each information revolution as well as the limits of human autonomy, autonomous agency, and augmented knowledge.
The third thesis is that we have been digitally naïve for too long, and it is past time to upgrade our understanding and use of the digital information communication technologies that enable automated information processing and intelligence automation. The city is our most ancient complex technology, and it is an important image for understanding the history and future of our technological society. To explore the dynamics shaping our present and emerging relationship with technology, the second chapter explores the city of Las Vegas as an apocalyptic image of our technological society as well as a site of competing technological hopes and fears. The surreal and strange city of Las Vegas challenges our expectations