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Hurricane Francine Forms In Gulf Of Mexico As Louisiana Braces For Wednesday Landfall

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What was Tropical Storm Francine became Hurricane Francine on Tuesday evening ahead of an expected landfall in Louisiana on Wednesday, which has prompted widespread watches and warnings for the Gulf Coast that includes a hurricane watch for the New Orleans area.

Key Facts

As of the 7 p.m. CDT update from the National Hurricane Center, Francine had maximum sustained winds of 75 mph—just putting it above the 74 mph threshold for Category 1 hurricane status—was located about 350 miles southwest of Morgan City, Louisiana, and was moving northeast at 10 mph.

Forecasters predict the storm will continue strengthening and peak with winds of 90 mph before landfall, noting they expect a period of “steady to rapid strengthening” to take place over the next 24 hours, despite winds remaining steady at 65 mph throughout the day Tuesday before the 7 p.m. upgrade.

Francine, which is expected to hit Louisiana on Wednesday evening, has prompted a hurricane warning for the Louisiana coast from Cameron to Grand Isle, a storm surge warning from Sabine Pass, Texas, to the Mississippi-Alabama border and tropical storm warnings stretching all the way from extreme east Texas to the Alabama-Florida border.

A hurricane watch covers the New Orleans metro area, Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas, which are concurrently under a tropical storm warning.

The storm threatens to bring “life-threatening inundation” to areas under the storm surge warning, with a peak surge of up to 10 feet expected between the Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge and Port Fourchon along the Louisiana coast.

Widespread rainfall totals of four to eight inches are expected, and some areas could get up to a foot of rain, according to the National Hurricane Center, which warned there could be “considerable flash and urban flooding,” and also a threat of tornadoes.

Evacuation orders are in place for large swaths of coastal Louisiana, mainly covering low-lying areas with limited or no levee protection, while many schools in south Louisiana will be closed Wednesday.

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Key Background

Francine is the first named storm to form in weeks after a lull and is the sixth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. Tuesday is the statistical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, according to The New York Times, and this year's season (it runs from June 1 to Nov. 30) was predicted to be among the busiest ever with up to 25 named storms and more than a dozen hurricanes. The most recent named storm before Francine was Ernesto on Aug. 12, and this season is the first since 1968 with no named storms forming between Aug. 13 and Sept. 8.

Further Reading

NBC NewsTropical Storm Francine live updates: Life-threatening conditions set for Gulf CoastForbesTropical Storm Francine: Hurricane Warning Issued For Louisiana As Storm Expected To Hit Cat. 2—Here’s What To KnowForbesGovernment Forecasters Issue Most Dire Hurricane Season Prediction In Their History—Here’s Why
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