DoubleLine Macro Analyst Ryan Kimmel discusses with Phil Gioia, CFA his updated research on the U.S. deficit and debt spirals, whose possible implications include weaker GDP growth, a steeper Treasury yield curve, higher gold prices and a weaker dollar.
About us
DoubleLine is an independent, employee-owned money management firm, founded in 2009. The firm offers a wide array of investment strategies run by an experienced team of portfolio managers that has worked together for many years, employing active risk management, in-depth research, and innovative product solutions. Led by CEO-CIO Jeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine was founded in 2009 when Mr. Gundlach came to believe his goal of asset management excellence was not shared by owners of the firm that his team had built to prominence over the preceding 24 years. "Active management permeates all stages of the investment process. Starting with the top-down macroeconomic outlook, which influences sector rotation, yield curve positioning and credit exposures, to the bottom-up security selection, each step in the process is focused on finding the best reward-to-risk opportunities." -Jeffrey Sherman, CFA, DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer
- Website
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http://www.DoubleLine.com
External link for DoubleLine
- Industry
- Investment Management
- Company size
- 201-500 employees
- Headquarters
- Tampa, Florida
- Type
- Privately Held
- Founded
- 2009
Locations
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Primary
2002 N. Tampa St.
Suite 200
Tampa, Florida 33602, US
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333 S. Grand Avenue
18th Floor
Los Angeles, CA 90071, US
Employees at DoubleLine
Updates
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For much of the post-World War II era, whenever the Federal Reserve began to cut its policy rate, long term interest rates quickly followed suit and also saw declines in yields, leading to strong returns across fixed income markets especially in longer duration bonds. With the Federal Reserve expected to start cutting rates next month, a question arises: will longer-term interest rates behave similarly this time?
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En la revista RankiaPro, Joel Pena, CFA, CAIA, responsable de US Offshore, Latinoamérica y El Caribe para DoubleLine Capital, reseña los posibles beneficios y riesgos que la inteligencia artificial plantea para el sector de la gestión de activos.
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DoubleLine reposted this
In a new paper, DoubleLine Macro Asset Allocation Analyst Ryan Kimmel updates his 2023 outlook on the possible trajectories of the U.S. deficit and debt spirals toward theoretical crisis levels under different interest rate scenarios.
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DoubleLine reposted this
Great discussion with Jeffrey Sherman, Deputy CIO at DoubleLine, about the fixed income market and his outlook in this week's podcast episode: https://lnkd.in/gfvwWeNM
#34 - Jeffrey Sherman: Fixed Income, Market Outlook
https://www.youtube.com/
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“Stability leads to instability. The more stable things become and the longer things are stable, the more unstable they will be when the crisis hits.” – Hyman Minsky #volatility #seasonality #stocks
Seasonal Instability
DoubleLine on LinkedIn
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It has been more than four years since the COVID pandemic forced many office workers to work from home leaving office buildings largely vacant around the world. During that period, there were predictions that employees would mostly return to their offices just as they did in the pre-pandemic era while others suggested that a ‘new normal’ with more remote or ‘hybrid’ work arrangements would prevail. It appears that the latter is correct. #WFH #jobs #CRE #CMBS
A ‘New Normal’ in Office Occupancy
DoubleLine on LinkedIn
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DoubleLine reposted this
While gains in unemployment and moderation in labor demand have sparked fears of a fragile consumer, we are not seeing a pullback in travel. Even though other factors might be supporting demand for airline seats, the true health of the consumer appears to be up in the air.
Up in the Air
DoubleLine on LinkedIn
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DoubleLine reposted this
Looking at market expectations via an inflation derivatives market known as “CPI fixings”, the next headline year-over-year CPI reading is expected to be 2.9%. This would be the lowest year-over-year inflation figure since March 2021. This week’s chart shows the number of consecutive months when the headline CPI year-over-year inflation rate has been 3.0% or higher. If the aforementioned market expectations turn out to be correct, the current streak of 3% or higher for U.S. inflation rate will have ended with June 2024. #inflation #Fed #bonds
From Surge to Stability
DoubleLine on LinkedIn
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DoubleLine reposted this
DoubleLine’s Robert Cohen, CFA and Chris Stegemann analyze private credit, its expansion beyond middle-market lending in the pandemic-ushered corporate capital vacuum and the end of the attractiveness of that trade with the recovery of the liquid credit markets.