Sequoia Capital reposted this
I’ve been fortunate enough to do AI shows with Sam Altman, Yann LeCun & Arthur Mensch. But this show today with David Cahn at Sequoia Capital is the best of all of them: 🧠 AI’s $600BN question 🏃 Why no one will never train a frontier model on the same data center twice 🏗️ Servers, steel & power: The 3 pillars of the future of AI Not one to be missed, my 8 key takeaways 👇 1. The Oligopoly That is Blowing Billions on AI - Microsoft, Azure, & Google now represent $7T market cap. - Of course they will spend billions to protect their oligopoly - What is most interesting is Meta is the only incumbent that is financing this not with cloud being their cash cow. 2. How Startups Could Win with the Cost of Compute Coming Down - Big tech companies are producers of compute & startups are consumers of compute. - Overproduction of compute = lower prices. - This gives startups higher margins & makes them more valuable. 3. Is Compute the Currency of the Future or Do the Costs Come Down and It Is Commoditised? - We are forgetting “compute” is a euphemism for a $2BN data center in the middle of nowhere. - They have GPUs & liquid cooling systems that need to be constantly optimized & upgraded. - We cannot simply build 15 years worth of compute all at once. No one's ever going to train a frontier model on the same data center twice. 4. Data Centre Teams and Model Teams Need to Be Coupled - You cannot have separate teams running data centers & building models. - Elon & Zuck control all their data centres. - It will not work as these models get better & better. 5. Why the Data Center Is the Most Important Asset - There is not much difference between these models today. - AI researchers are jumping from one lab to another. - Scaling laws will become more dominant as these models get bigger. 6. Servers Steel and Power: The Three Bottlenecks of AI Three things: 1. Servers: NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom… 2. Steel: Construction & real estate developers for data centers. 3. Power: All the energy required for AI. - More factories will be built in 12 months for AI and we will see another industrial revolution. 7. You Have to Have a Cash Machine to Play the Big Model Game - Amazon has AWS - Meta has Instagram - Microsoft has Azure - You need a cash machine to compete and it CANNOT be the AI business. 8. There is One Definition of Success in Venture: Are you a Slugger? - If you are generating billion dollar gains, you are a slugger. - Doug Leone, Pat Grady, Andrew Reed are all sluggers. - You cannot be good at this business without being a slugger. (links in comments) #founder #funding #business #investing #vc #venturecapital #entrepreneur #startup #seed #funding #sequoia