🆕 Actor Profile: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) is an Islamist political and militant group mainly operating in #Syria’s Greater Idleb area, which includes parts of Aleppo’s western countryside, the Lattakia mountains, and al-Ghab Plain in northwestern Hama. HTS leadership was historically composed of both Syrian and foreign Islamists, with links to the Islamic State and al-Qaeda. However, the group’s current identity is largely Syrian Islamist, reflecting a pragmatic shift in its strategic goals. HTS has rebranded itself from a former transnational Salafi-Jihadi group to a more localized Islamist group that at times targets and clashes with other radical Islamist groups such as the Islamic State and the al-Qaeda-affiliated Hurras-al-Din. With this change, the group has increasingly sought to cultivate a more moderate public image. HTS actively maintains an area of territorial control in northwest Syria. The group’s capacity to project territorial authority came to the fore in the aftermath of the February 2023 earthquakes, when HTS blocked the entry of foreign aid from regime-held areas, preferring to wait for aid via Turkey, in order to deprive the regime of any ability to demonstrate control in the region. Our latest actor profile tracks recent patterns of HTS activity, with a specific focus on its interactions with regime forces, Islamist- and Turkey-backed opposition factions, and civilian populations, while also exploring potential trajectories for the group into the future. Read it here: bit.ly/3qbOY0M
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𝗧𝗼𝗽 𝟱𝟬 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘅 𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀: 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 The #ACLED Conflict Index indicates that 50 countries are now categorized under extreme, high, or turbulent conflict levels, with a 15% increase in political violence recorded over the past year. Palestine, Myanmar, Syria, and Mexico hold the highest positions, reflecting the severe and complex challenges these nations face. Alarmingly, more than half of the countries at the top of the ranking are experiencing sustained or escalating conflict. With one in seven people worldwide exposed to violence in 2024, the global conflict landscape continues to deteriorate. Explore: https://lnkd.in/di6dsRCs
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𝗦𝘂𝗱𝗮𝗻 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝘂𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝗱𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗳𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗲𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝘀 𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗸𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗹 The ongoing conflict in #Sudan continues to evolve, with the use of drone warfare pushing the boundaries of the battlefield deeper into previously safe regions. As peace talks falter, the humanitarian crisis worsens, with areas like El Fasher facing severe famine. Key developments include: ▪ Over 420 political violence events and 1,195 fatalities recorded between 6 July and 16 August 2024. ▪ The RSF’s strategic use of drones, including a high-profile assassination attempt on Sudanese army chief Burhan. ▪ Renewed fighting in El Fasher, North Darfur, leading to severe civilian casualties and famine conditions in Zamzam IDP camp. Explore the full report for detailed insights: https://lnkd.in/eZNVKTek
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New conflict profile: Amhara Conflict - Fano Insurgency #ACLED's - #Ethiopia Peace Observatory has released a new conflict profile focusing on the Fano insurgency in Amhara region, which escalated in August 2023. This profile provides an in-depth analysis of the conflict’s origins, the key players involved, and the ongoing violence. Highlights: ▪ Roots of the conflict: Uncover the political and security factors driving the Fano insurgency. ▪ Key developments: Track the major events and turning points in the conflict. ▪ Current situation: Get the latest on the clashes and their impact on the region. Explore the full profile for a detailed understanding of the Amhara conflict and its broader implications: https://lnkd.in/ebngQJCW
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𝗪𝗲𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗿: 𝗨𝗻𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗔𝗻𝗴𝗹𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗖𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗼𝗼𝗻 #ACLED and Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime are pleased to invite you to the launch of our latest report on Anglophone Separatists in #Cameroon, part of a broader series profiling non-state armed groups in West Africa. Event highlights: ▪ Analysis of the governance structure of Anglophone Separatists. ▪ Examination of their role in illicit economies. ▪ Discussion on the implications for regional stability in West Africa. This session is essential for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of political unrest and organized crime in the region. Don’t miss out—register today: https://lnkd.in/eizYatuy
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𝗠𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘁'𝘀 𝗵𝘂𝗺𝗮𝗻 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗰𝘁 How close are populations to the violence that shapes their lives? #ACLED & WorldPop’s Conflict Exposure Calculator provides a groundbreaking way to measure the impact of conflict on civilian populations. With this tool, you can explore the exposure of people to conflict by proximity, event type, and more. This is a must-use resource for anyone working to understand or mitigate the effects of conflict. Delve into the data and uncover the realities on the ground: https://lnkd.in/e4ychMZZ
Conflict Exposure - ACLED
https://acleddata.com
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𝗖𝗮𝗯𝗼 𝗟𝗶𝗴𝗮𝗱𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝟱-𝟭𝟴 𝗔𝘂𝗴𝘂𝘀𝘁 Islamic State’s sustained use of IEDs prompts air operations by Rwandan forces in northern Mozambique. For this and more, see the latest Cabo Ligado Update: https://lnkd.in/ezX7ddEq
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𝗨𝗽𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘄𝗲𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗿: 𝗔𝗻𝗴𝗹𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗖𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗼𝗼𝗻 Join #ACLED & Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime for the virtual launch of the third installment in our joint publication series profiling non-state armed groups in West Africa. This session will dive into the operations and governance structures of Anglophone Separatists in #Cameroon, offering key insights for policymakers, researchers, and anyone interested in the region’s political landscape. Register now to stay informed on the dynamics shaping the region: https://lnkd.in/eizYatuy
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Is the Wagner Group still the Wagner Group? Following Prigozhin's death, Russian mercenaries in Africa have undergone significant changes, including rebranding as the 'Africa Corps.' But is it merely a name change? The group continues to operate under the Wagner identity in some regions, with a new paramilitary structure and closer ties to Moscow. This evolution raises critical questions about the future of Russian mercenary operations on the continent. Explore the details in our latest Q&A: https://lnkd.in/ezETg7ki
Q&A: The Wagner Group’s new life after the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin
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It feels like many have forgotten about the situation here with the Ukraine conflict going on. Didn't HTS use to fall under the name Al Nusra or was that another group.